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Does Brexit outcome indicate anything about Trump's chances As we are hours away from the Brexit referendum, the outcome might have multiple economic and political repercussions beyond the British shores.

One of the repercussions the political elites seem to be most scared of, is the emboldening of other nations to follow the example. This is why leaders from all over the world have been trying to influence the British to vote for Remain.

If indeed the referendum ends up decided as LEAVE, the Dutch will probably be next with a referendum, and from there it might snowball (or domino effect).

If I were in the UK, I would vote to Leave. While I am aware of possible short term financial instability, I think that will be short lived as all sides will want to enter free trade agreements in short order.

I see this as a simple question of sovereignty, and the interests are simply too divergent to agree to a surrender of sovereignty to the EU.

I am thinking that if the British indeed vote to leave, this could be a meaningful difference in favor of Trump in November. If the British can do it, so can we!


June 22, 2016, 10:37:45 PM
Re: **Shipping Master Thread** What service To Use When
Hi! Anyone has a good idea how to bring a keyboard (large Yamaha) and some boxes from NY to Israel?

I would take it when flying but oversize would cost $100 on the flight. Anyone knows someone who is shipping a container, like doing Aliya or stam shipping stuff, that would have some room for a reasonable fee? Please let me know, thanks!

If you fly business class you might even be able to take it on board with you.

July 26, 2016, 10:27:15 PM
Re: Going/Gone through 11 Months at the Amud? (All others proceed with caution...)
At least when I was saying kaddish I felt like I was doing something for my Mom. When I woke up the day after it was like...Now What?....
I know quite a few people who were lax about davening with a minyan, who got to appreciate it while serving time at the Omud and kept on going.

I personally started answering אמן etc. louder, as I got an appreciation of what it means to be at the Omud and feel like you're davening in a בית החיים where you can hear no feedback.

August 31, 2016, 12:23:09 PM
Investing with an eye on the November Election I am contemplating possible stock market reactions to the elections.

I've drawn parallels between our election and the Brexit referendum, and I think that the market risk is similarly asymmetric (though I might be wrong - this isn't based on any research, just my feeling based on the mood I sense).

Regardless of who is better for the economy or the stock market (two totally different things), it seems to me that a Trump win would be met with a huge spike in volatility, whereas a Clinton win, regardless of how bad her economic or tax policies might be, is a signal of stability. There are obviously also specific industries which are perceived to be affected by each candidate's positions. Would be interesting to get feedback on which Lying Poison Pill has a perceived effect on which industry.

September 01, 2016, 05:07:38 PM
Re: Messianism among Lubavitch
So it wasn't a gay wedding?
Must have been....after all, I don't think I've ever seen any females in 1414 since Moussia Nemotin stopped cooking for Pesach.

September 02, 2016, 12:18:46 AM
Re: Messianism among Lubavitch
Is that a failed קולע or is it ערב יו״כ מלקות in your profile picture?

September 02, 2016, 12:28:25 AM
Re: BOGO Tuition Scam Simple reading comprehension. Look what I wrote, and how you responded:

So now tell me again who is lying? When I state that I have not invested and suggest that people take prudent actions you call me a fool, and when I quote you for what you said, you call me a liar.

September 05, 2016, 01:18:57 AM
Re: BOGO Tuition Scam
This is a good development, I am actually surprised that allowed it in the first place, as the way it was worded seemed totally incongruent with the types of campaigns that site is made for.

I will clearly state here: I was wrong by initially implying that there was some merit, as I didn't initially carefully read the ad or wording on the website. As soon as I realized what was being attempted here I clearly differentiated between the "tuition match" campaign and the "loyalty program" and encouraged prudent approach.

My personal opinion is that with this fiasco he killed his loyalty program, which seems like a legitimate business which might or might have not worked, before even getting to try it. If it is to have any chance he will have to take some radical steps (such as renaming it, and removing himself from the business, and only collecting royalties if indeed it ever works out. My guess is that he wouldn't take those steps).

My personal lesson learned here is to take an extra step of caution when making public statements that could be construed in any way as an endorsement.

September 08, 2016, 12:12:48 PM
Re: 2016 Election Pick Your Poison Master Thread
Exactly, 1 among 16. Fracture the establishment vote and win without a majority.
There's no way he would've won a 1:1 from the start.
Or to use Kasich parlance: there's no way Joseph would have been favorite if he only had one sibling.

September 12, 2016, 04:02:50 PM
Which BUSINESS credit card is best for everyday spending? While I know that no-one is stopping me from doing everyday spend on consumer cards, with the various limits such as 5/24 etc. it might be hard to get two of the same card, and mixing personal and business charges on the same card is just too much of an accounting headache.

And while it is possible to stack up on $300 VGC from Staples using Ink cards, it's not always practical.

For a while United Club was my PERSONAL card of choice for everyday spend giving 1.5 miles per $. When AMEX came out with Everyday Preferred, that became my card of choice for everyday spend at 1.5 MR points per $. Now with Freedom Unlimited giving 1.5UR points per $ and Sahpphire Reserve putting a 1.5 cents per point floor value on the points, the Freedom Unlimited became my preferred everyday spend card (non-category, not subject to foreign transaction fees).

This is all fine and dandy for PERSONAL spend, but that is overshadowed by non-category business spend. Also, as we know, many business accounts don't show on the Credit Report, which is helpful in certain instances.

For now, AMEX SPG is my card of choice for everyday BUSIENSS spend. With the 25% bonus on transfer to airlines, I count it as the equivalent as 1.25 points per $, and while points are very flexible, transfers are not instant.

I am wondering if anyone has any ideas for best value for BUSINESS everyday spend account.

September 23, 2016, 02:31:00 PM