So here’s the lowdown:
NOAA is predicting a KP up to 7. That means that anything 52.2° magnetic north could possibly see the aurora overhead. Locations from 47.2° should see it on the horizon, with the display getting higher and higher overhead the more north you are.
The southern part of the Adirondacks (Lake Pleasant area) is at about 52.25° - absolutely perfect. That night sky there has a Limiting Magnitude of 7.1-7.5, which is the second to darkest rating – again, perfect. Driving time from Brooklyn is 4:10.
There’s one location closer to the city with a decent LM, and that’s Pepacton Reservoir NW of Liberty in the Catskills. It’s a 2:45 drive from NY, but not only is it a low altitude, it’s also about 1-1.5° further south in latitude. That means that if (and it’s a big “if”) the KP 7 pans out, there may[i/] be something to see. If the KP is any lower, there probably won’t be anything much, while there may still be a chance up in the Adirondacks.