I haven't seen anything compelling to tell me things will be massively different in the future from what they were in the past because of COVID19.
1918 Spanish flu was far more deadly than COVID19 so far. What did that change long term other than all of the casualties? It was mostly an afterthought until now.
I agree in theory that things are mostly going to bounce right back, but there are a few things to watch
1) Reversal of the urbanization trend? Manhattan is straight out collapsing. Buildings are reporting 30% occupancy. Between increasing taxes (Trum revoking the local tax deduction & Cuomo raising the possibility of taxing NY stock trades), ever-increasing improvements in virtual communication technologies, and liberal policies promoting anarchy & crime (the city is housing homeless people in hotels in prime neighborhoods), city life is becoming less and less palatable.
2) Permanent changes in Corporate travel habits? I think leisure travel will make up for any slack in corporate travel policies, but this is something to watch.
3) Global macro economics. Gold is up 30% for the year and at an all time record. While Trump has been remarkably cautious, there will no alternative but printing a large amount of USD. The government makes the burden of complying with US banking laws & sanctions more and more onerous. Will we see the USD lose it's position as the global reserve currency? Goldman Sachs is warning about this possibility. Its effects would be more geopolitical than economical, as the US being a net exporter stands to benefit from a lower USD value.
4) Any large seismic shifts will have a large impact on many lives as industries fail and others emerge in their place.