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Re: Program / Song Suggestions for Video Montage
Another funny thing about that song: Country Yossi love to kill people in his songs. More people die in his songs than in songs from any other Jewish artist. In that song, the original lyrics read "that was uncle Hershal's LAST mistake." Eli Gerstner changed it to "BIG mistake".  ;D
So true. Even poor shalom ber was dead for a while. Who kills kids?

June 22, 2020, 12:03:06 PM
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Re: urgent help needed with Windows Movie Maker corrupted file Maybe it's referring to the underlying files that are in the movie? Did you move or change those?
June 24, 2020, 10:07:57 PM
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Re: Is there a second wave?
Only as a part of a much bigger picture. Hate 'em or hate 'em, NY's restrictions effectively lowered the number of active infections to a point where spread became minimal. Not only did it keep hotspots from sprouting (bars, restaurants, churches, etc.), but it also kept people out of the city. People who live there left to places where they either felt safer or less restricted, and people who would normally visit stayed away either for safety or because there was nothing to do (no shows or games, nowhere to eat, hang out, etc.).

At a certain point, however, the tide does begin to turn. Restrictions in NY are easing, so many people who left town are returning. As the numbers rise around the rest of the country, their restrictions get tighter, and people start traveling to less restrictive locales they deem to be safer, such as a place which looks to be passed it's outbreak. In this regard, we're seeing a reverse of what happened in Florida during NY's peak. A quick look at TSA's checkpoint numbers in conjunction with the surge of new positive cases will tell you that greater spread is coming. TSA logged an average of around 575k passengers in the last 14 days. The 14 days before, they averaged about 440k, and the 14 days before that they averaged just over 300K daily travelers. That's an increase of almost 90% from a month ago. When infections get reintroduced into the NY metro area, and they coincide with the reopening of higher risk public spaces, the numbers are guaranteed to go up. This is being played out on a smaller scale in Lakewood, and I would be shocked not to hear of more such cases in other NY/NJ communities over the next couple of weeks.

Additionally, a theory bandied about here which I subscribe to is the weather factor. As long as the weather in nice and people can be outdoors, I think spread is somewhat limited. However, with hotter and more humid conditions, people will look to move to indoor air conditioned spaces. Combine that with a declining amount of people taking precautions, either because of a false sense of security from low numbers over the last month, or because of quarantine fatigue, and you're creating optimal conditions for a spike in spread. Of note, today NY recorded their highest new positive count since 6/2. I don't think that's an anomaly; I think it's the start of a new upward trend.
This is what happened in California. Restrictions were quicker and tighter to begin with and there was much less of a first wave as a result. But now that restrictions have loosened the second wave is bigger than Chicago or NY where the first wave was much harder hitting.
However, the frum community, which was hit pretty strongly in the first is so far having a light second. And the general community doesn't seem as severe per capita, presumably the medical community is better equipped for this knowledge wise

July 03, 2020, 10:53:21 AM
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Re: Brother Printer printing very light , faded on one side. Any fixes? Need a new drum. Try generic, might get lucky
July 12, 2020, 02:24:29 PM
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Re: Dave Ramsey Plan This is silly. OP was just saying that people should live within their means and he gives a good framework for that.
For the more sophisticated people, you can ignore the mortgage advice.
For those confident they'll never carry a balance they can ignore the credit card advice. (one of the most responsible people I know had one bad month that ended up being a 60k credit card debt).
For those who sell insurance, they can tell everyone to ignore the life insurance advice.
For those who think he's a conman, don't have a beer with him.
But the hashkafa and attitude toward money in general is very sound, and the mehalech helps a lot of people to can't get themselves out of debt.

July 24, 2020, 03:37:11 AM
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Re: Dave Ramsey Plan
I always pay as late as possible.
0% cards I would pay minimum each month until BT 0% runs out.

During the BT frenzy I had over 200k @ 4.5-5% just sitting there.
I have 4 kids.
1 I would say do it and even more if you can.
2 others I would say do it and I would watch them
The other one H*LL NO!!!  :)
The reason you don't get DR, is because you're a responsible and smart person who doesn't play stupid and doesn't borrow money unless they are certain they can pay back.
You are an exception to the rule, which is why 40-60% of American I have revolving credit card debt, and 70% have nothing in savings put away.
All those people need hand holding, motivation, and should not have debt at all, like child #4. DR helps them, because you're not their dad.

July 26, 2020, 10:00:00 PM
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Re: Stella Immanuel Asks Why We Don't Prescribe Prophylactic Hydroxychloroquine My four cents -
1) anyone who goes off the rails like that shouldn't be listened to. There's clear issues. Sentence by sentence her speech made no sense.
2) HCQ advocates run in the same circles as anti vaxxers.
3) a treatment doesn't preclude the need for a vaccine at all. So no reason for conspiracy theories.
4) plenty of dubious stuff about zelenko that makes a rational person doubt the veracity of what he says on his say so

July 28, 2020, 11:02:30 PM
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Re: All Halocha Shailos and teiffa Questions
Is there such an halacha that one can't smoke before chatzos?
Yes. Brought in MB. IIRC chatzos is 'if needed' as well

July 29, 2020, 09:25:42 PM
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Re: All Halocha Shailos and teiffa Questions
   Anyone that holds different?
many allow smoking on fast days, including Tisha BAv (see e.g. shut Har HaKarem siman 19). The Chafetz Chaim (Mishna Berrura 556:sif katan #8) strongly disagrees and disallows smoking on any taanis, especially Tisha Bav by pain of excommunication! Others are lenient (see Yabia Omer 1:33 who allows one to be meikel in private).

source: https://www.bvkkosher.com/smoking HT:google

July 29, 2020, 11:33:14 PM
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Re: All Halocha Shailos and teiffa Questions
There are two shailos here. One is when the heter starts in a year like this, and the other if non tzorchei shabbos are also muter. Rav Falk addresses mainly the first one and is mattir completely. And on the second one he also believes it to be muter, but he has no clear source for it.
Barditchover ruv's psak is brought down in Piskei Thuvos as well, in the bottom notes.
1) To clarify - Rav Falk is dealing with laundry / bathing / haircuts. Not meat and wine. He is very explicit at the end of the teshuva
2) He only discusses non tzorchei Shabbos with regards to laundry. There's a strong sevara because of the takanos Ezra, that he brings in s"k #10 as well. I heard the same from other poskim as well.
3) Haircuts and rechitza lkovod shabbos he is matir as well
4) what he does not discuss is our question - where it's not lkovod shabbos. I'm going to shower tonight, but will shower again before shabbos. (same would apply to shaving).
5) There is no sevara in his teshuva that should be matir that.

July 31, 2020, 02:53:23 AM
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