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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
It's getting easier for me to see a Trump win. FL/NC/GA/TX/IA/OH all have decent polls that show Trump leading. PA/AZ/WI/MI have a relatively small lead for Biden of under 4%, and all but MI have oddball pollsters showing a small Trump win.

What's going against Trump is mainly the much larger gap in the national polls suggesting the pro Biden trend will be stronger in the swing states, the swing state polling average being way worse for Trump that the 2016 polls (PA -3.9% vs -2.1%, AZ -1.3% vs +4%) , and  the  Biden polls have him at 50%+, which is more than HRC had and less likely to be wrong.

The real unknown is the turnout numbers. If Election Day turnout underwhelms, there is no doubt Biden will win, as EV, especially in Texas, is clearly biased D. I don't think there is a consensus on how to interpret a large overall turnout if it includes ED.

I see youre starting to hedge.  :D so that when youre wrong and Trump wins you can say that you really did say that it could happen

October 29, 2020, 01:59:29 PM
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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election? Why dont we all just wait a day and find out instead of hashing this out forever. Nobody will agree to anyone elses opinion
November 02, 2020, 05:14:50 PM
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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election? Fox is getting crazy heat over the AZ call
November 04, 2020, 12:22:37 AM
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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
Looks like there's 5 big states it could come down to: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia.
Trump leading in all of them now, but various things may be skewing the numbers (especially in PA).
Which, if any, of these states will we know tonight?

My bet, just NC. For Trump

November 04, 2020, 12:36:17 AM
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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
Possibly. But is my electoral map math flawed?
Im not seeing what youre seeing. Trump at 213. GA 16, NC 15, PA 20 ME 1, AK 3 = 268. No? 1 short

November 04, 2020, 01:26:28 PM
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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
Yes
If that happens Fox would really look terrible, after they doubled down on AZ for Biden

November 04, 2020, 02:38:21 PM
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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
You have a link?

AP. Just google election results

November 05, 2020, 09:11:11 PM
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Re: Civil War?
FTFY
While I vehemently disagree with the actions of these protestors, I am 100% sure than none of these folks think that they're destroying the country. They believe that they're the last thing standing between liberty as we know it and the country going into the abyss

January 06, 2021, 04:44:42 PM
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Re: Are we going too far?


I cant believe Ewomanuel Cleaver would say something so dumb!!!:)

January 08, 2021, 02:04:59 PM
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Re: R.I.P. Freedom
You were good while you lasted. You will be dearly missed :'(

Okay relax. Everything will be okay. Just stop following the news and you will be fine.

January 09, 2021, 10:43:17 PM
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