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Messages - Der Deutsche Jude

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General Discussion / Re: Stocks
« on: May 28, 2020, 05:42:05 PM »
This is wrong on so many levels.
What he says actually makes sound sense and is the prevailing view in financial theory.

General Discussion / Re: Stocks
« on: May 28, 2020, 01:53:46 PM »
Isnt it easier to just buy VTI?

There were 1,000 grand prize winners. Let's see how many were nominated by DDF or DDMS readers.
where do you get 1,000 from?

Montana lifting quarantine restrictions on June 1. Yellowstone NP has stated that the reason only the WY entrances to to the park have opened is due to the MT quarantine, so this likely means that all entrances - and, I assume, all roads - will be open by that time.
but is there going to be an enforced quarantine on out of state residents?

Agreed. The view at the top of precipice trail is nothing like the Adirondacks... (here it is: 1, 2, 3, 4.)
Wouldnt do Precipice with kids under the age of ten though.

Any recommendations for GSM, in terms of where to base out of, hikes, sights, etc. ?
In terms of nature, I think Cherokee is a bit more conveniently located than Gatlingurg, except for its distance from Cades Cove(a must do). Gatlinburg though has more touristy things and more lodging options. So I guess it depends if you’re going this summer or some time in the future. Cherokee is near blue ridge mountains which are less crowded than the national park and offers the same scenery. Hikes depend on your capabilities and time. My LeConte is very nice but will take up your whole day.  Also if you happen to go May/June the synchronous fireflies are a bucket list item, but hard to predict exactly when it’ll occur.

General Discussion / Re: Stocks
« on: May 15, 2020, 03:14:16 PM »
Correct, but in most cases (in my experience) you still come out ahead.
Not that individual experiences really matter, but on a theoretical level a knowledgeable option trader should come out somewhat ahead as the required returns are obviously greater for such tremendously risky instruments that options are. I’m questioning whether these times are necessarily a better time than others to trade options.

General Discussion / Re: Stocks
« on: May 15, 2020, 02:40:39 PM »
Ever heard of option straddles? (if you haven't don't go there- great place to lose $$$ if you don't know what you're doing).
Though straddles are designed for volatility, I’m not sure they’re a great purchase right now. The real value in a straddle is when you have reason to believe that the true volatility is higher than perceived. If everyone believes volatility is very high, options in general and straddle-type strategies should be more pricey up-front as well.

The reality is that the eastern half of the country simply doesn't have the natural wonders that the west does. I think that the few truly spectacular places are either already national parks (Acadia, GSM, etc.), or too small/one trick pony/completely commercialized to constitute a national park (Watkins Glen and Niagara are two examples in NYS).
It also has to do with if it’s federal or state. Some of the most spectacular parks are State parks.

Dry Tortugas is a national park (deservedly so) but is still really small

File it together with Hot Springs NP and (nothing personal, @Dan) Cuyahoga Valley NP. Not sure why either of those are deserving of that title.
I believe Cayahuga, Gateway Arch, and Indiana Dunes were designated NP’s just to add some balance to the eastern side of the country. If they used Western Standards on the East, the eastern half of the country may only have 6 National Parks.

General Discussion / Re: Stocks
« on: May 13, 2020, 02:34:19 PM »
AA is at its lowest point
I assume you mean AAL, although both may be true

Destination Guides And Trip Planning / Re: Kvish Hapeleh Near Amuka
« on: May 11, 2020, 10:34:44 AM »
I'm surprised nobody replied to this question. Having a level would prove whether or not it's really going downhill. My phone has a level built in. Next time I go there, IYH, I will test it.
doesnt the fact that the water runs already prove that it’s going downhill?

Logan, WV

Coding with Python

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