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Messages - thaber

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Only as a part of a much bigger picture. Hate 'em or hate 'em, NY's restrictions effectively lowered the number of active infections to a point where spread became minimal. Not only did it keep hotspots from sprouting (bars, restaurants, churches, etc.), but it also kept people out of the city. People who live there left to places where they either felt safer or less restricted, and people who would normally visit stayed away either for safety or because there was nothing to do (no shows or games, nowhere to eat, hang out, etc.).

At a certain point, however, the tide does begin to turn. Restrictions in NY are easing, so many people who left town are returning. As the numbers rise around the rest of the country, their restrictions get tighter, and people start traveling to less restrictive locales they deem to be safer, such as a place which looks to be passed it's outbreak. In this regard, we're seeing a reverse of what happened in Florida during NY's peak. A quick look at TSA's checkpoint numbers in conjunction with the surge of new positive cases will tell you that greater spread is coming. TSA logged an average of around 575k passengers in the last 14 days. The 14 days before, they averaged about 440k, and the 14 days before that they averaged just over 300K daily travelers. That's an increase of almost 90% from a month ago. When infections get reintroduced into the NY metro area, and they coincide with the reopening of higher risk public spaces, the numbers are guaranteed to go up. This is being played out on a smaller scale in Lakewood, and I would be shocked not to hear of more such cases in other NY/NJ communities over the next couple of weeks.

Additionally, a theory bandied about here which I subscribe to is the weather factor. As long as the weather in nice and people can be outdoors, I think spread is somewhat limited. However, with hotter and more humid conditions, people will look to move to indoor air conditioned spaces. Combine that with a declining amount of people taking precautions, either because of a false sense of security from low numbers over the last month, or because of quarantine fatigue, and you're creating optimal conditions for a spike in spread. Of note, today NY recorded their highest new positive count since 6/2. I don't think that's an anomaly; I think it's the start of a new upward trend.
This is what happened in California. Restrictions were quicker and tighter to begin with and there was much less of a first wave as a result. But now that restrictions have loosened the second wave is bigger than Chicago or NY where the first wave was much harder hitting.
However, the frum community, which was hit pretty strongly in the first is so far having a light second. And the general community doesn't seem as severe per capita, presumably the medical community is better equipped for this knowledge wise

Destination Guides And Trip Planning / Re: Los Angeles Master Thread
« on: July 03, 2020, 03:07:34 AM »
can you be more specific?
whats closed as of today and is their talk of  closing more places?
As of today, bars and indoor eating. Can still have outdoor seating at restaurants.
See attached graphic. Everything is day by day. In some areas you can get a summons for no mask.

Had them done for free
Were you symptomatic? Perhaps only available for free if one has symptoms and if not need to go private and pay? Hypothesis

Deals/Deal Requests / Re: Laptop Deals Master Thread
« on: June 30, 2020, 10:02:46 AM »
Where did you pick up the carbon x1? See.s like they are only really sold to companies?
Straight from Lenovo. It was a couple of generations / years ago.
You can buy from the guys companies buy from. I'll look up who I did that with a while back

Deals/Deal Requests / Re: Laptop Deals Master Thread
« on: June 30, 2020, 02:49:49 AM »
Macbook? Did you look into the Lenovo x1 Carbon Extreme?

I've also been looking but I cant seem to figure out where business class laptops are sold?
+1 my Lenovo x1 cost 2k and some of the best dollars I ever spent. Dollar for dollar it puts MacBook to shame
Thanks, looking around I'm only seeing them at 512 ssd not the 1T I'm looking for
This probably doesn't exist, and with cloud storage is totally unnecessary

Destination Guides And Trip Planning / Re: Los Angeles Master Thread
« on: June 30, 2020, 02:43:18 AM »
I went in November and I give it a B. The bacon was A+, everything else worse, high prices, bad service, had to pay for parking.
There's plenty of street parking on Wilshire for free especially close after 7pm
Which upscale restaurants in Los Angeles are currently open for eat in?
What is the best place now for Week night takeout?
Everyone is open in a limited capacity. For take out try Jeff's (new menu, restrictive ordering) Lenny's Casita is a new mexican take out place with awesome food (former chef at charcoal). Postmates has the most restaurants, and citi aa exec card has discounts.

Tech Talk / Re: Internet Filters
« on: June 28, 2020, 11:08:50 AM »
Why'd you get rid of K9?  Router-level filter does *not* replace what K9 was doing..
Of course not. That's why I'm asking here. But k9 is no longer supported, and is also no longer approved by my kids school :)

Maybe it's referring to the underlying files that are in the movie? Did you move or change those?

General Discussion / Re: Kosher, Kashrus and Hechsherim Master thread
« on: June 24, 2020, 09:42:32 PM »
Glucose drink used at park slope midwives for the gestational diabetes test has a KOA on it. Anyone know if this is acceptable?
Auspiciously absent from the lists

I've never had a problem. Did you export to a different file type or you're still working on movie maker?

General Discussion / Re: All Halocha Shailos and teiffa Questions
« on: June 24, 2020, 09:22:40 PM »
I am not totally familiar with the piece of equipment, but some issues I can see at a glance are the porcelain grates (new ones are abviously an option) and the enameled sides.
Missed those. Thanks

General Discussion / Re: All Halocha Shailos and teiffa Questions
« on: June 24, 2020, 06:39:28 PM »
I ain't no Rabbi but there an issue with switching בשר to חלב. From the kashring standpoint yeah should be easier then kashring something with top since you dont have the clean ins and out of the lid.
That I know. I'm taking treif to kosher

General Discussion / Re: All Halocha Shailos and teiffa Questions
« on: June 24, 2020, 12:41:25 PM »
since there's no lid on a flat top grill, it should be an easy kasher. am I missing something?

Tech Talk / Re: Program / Song Suggestions for Video Montage
« on: June 22, 2020, 12:03:06 PM »
Another funny thing about that song: Country Yossi love to kill people in his songs. More people die in his songs than in songs from any other Jewish artist. In that song, the original lyrics read "that was uncle Hershal's LAST mistake." Eli Gerstner changed it to "BIG mistake".  ;D
So true. Even poor shalom ber was dead for a while. Who kills kids?

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