Topic Wiki

Official election website https://votes22.bechirot.gov.il/
« Last edited by Abey on September 18, 2019, 01:17:26 AM »

Poll

Who are you leaning towards?

Likud
5 (17.2%)
Blue and White
0 (0%)
Shas
0 (0%)
Charedi Parties(UTJ Aguda)
15 (51.7%)
Labor
2 (6.9%)
Zeut
1 (3.4%)
Meretz
0 (0%)
Yisroel Bateinu
0 (0%)
New Right (Bennet, Shaked)
1 (3.4%)
Kahane Parties
5 (17.2%)

Total Members Voted: 29

Voting closed: April 09, 2019, 05:19:44 AM

Author Topic: 2019 Israeli election  (Read 26757 times)

Online ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 6206
  • Total likes: 1084
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 7
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #30 on: April 02, 2019, 02:27:12 PM »
LOL his qualification is that he has longevity, which is an absurd reason to back him,
In fact the only reason people vote for him the pathetic reason they there's no one better. Basically fear of the unknown is why people vote for him, again a recipe for disaster because one day it'll be more convenient to sell out the Left/charedim & he'll have no problem in doing so.

The man has no spine all he's interested is staying in power.

People forget that he was the one that gave back a tremendous amount of land at
the Wye Accords

Do you really see him saying no to Trump if the deal he presents is bad.
I don't.

Check out the video on YouTube.com Never saw such comments before.


I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline Proisrael

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2012
  • Posts: 1044
  • Total likes: 47
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: Krayot,Israel
  • Programs: SPG,Hilton,Club Carlson
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #31 on: April 09, 2019, 11:28:39 AM »
Anyone have some predictions??

I think Bibi is going to lose to Gantz by at least 6-7 seats.

Online ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 6206
  • Total likes: 1084
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 7
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #32 on: April 09, 2019, 11:38:55 AM »
Anyone have some predictions??

I think Bibi is going to lose to Gantz by at least 6-7 seats.

I have no clue what will happen on a national level, though I do think Bibi will remain Prime Minister, the only question is at what cost and how hard will he have to work to piece together a coalition.

What intrigues me the most and where I am willing to make a guess, knowing that I will probably be wrong, is how the vote in Kfar Chabad will split up. For that I guess we will see 55%-65% Aguda, 30%-40% Ichud Yemin, 3%-7% Shas, 1%-4% Zehut.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline Proisrael

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2012
  • Posts: 1044
  • Total likes: 47
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: Krayot,Israel
  • Programs: SPG,Hilton,Club Carlson
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #33 on: April 09, 2019, 12:01:45 PM »
I have no clue what will happen on a national level, though I do think Bibi will remain Prime Minister, the only question is at what cost and how hard will he have to work to piece together a coalition.

What intrigues me the most and where I am willing to make a guess, knowing that I will probably be wrong, is how the vote in Kfar Chabad will split up. For that I guess we will see 55%-65% Aguda, 30%-40% Ichud Yemin, 3%-7% Shas, 1%-4% Zehut.

Zehut will be a lot higher then you expect.

Offline Yonah

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite
  • ****
  • Join Date: Mar 2014
  • Posts: 287
  • Total likes: 97
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 4
    • View Profile
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #34 on: April 09, 2019, 12:02:47 PM »
Interesting tweet from Bibi -
From earlier this morning in the US (about 12 noon in Israel). Bibi went to the beach to convince people to go vote, that he's losing to Lapid and Gantz.

Even if Bibi gets the lower end of polls at 25-26, and Gantz gets 30+ - can Gantz really get a coalition together? and with whom?

Online ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 6206
  • Total likes: 1084
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 7
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Online ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 6206
  • Total likes: 1084
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 7
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #36 on: April 09, 2019, 12:57:38 PM »
Zehut will be a lot higher then you expect.

What do you know about Kfar Chabad that makes you think so?

IMHO those that will vote for Zehut in Kfar Chabad would mostly be OTD (or rebellious but not considered OTD) youngsters, and a handful of others.

I might be wrong, and I don't claim to have a crystal ball, or to even be able to guess things on a national level. But I do get some wind of what goes on within Kfar Chabad where I have family and friends.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline Proisrael

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2012
  • Posts: 1044
  • Total likes: 47
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: Krayot,Israel
  • Programs: SPG,Hilton,Club Carlson
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #37 on: April 09, 2019, 12:59:40 PM »
What do you know about Kfar Chabad that makes you think so?

I might be wrong, and I don't claim to have a crystal ball, or to even be able to guess things on a national level. But I do get some wind of what goes on within Kfar Chabad where I have family and friends.

Sorry, I meant in the general elections...

Online ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 6206
  • Total likes: 1084
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 7
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #38 on: April 09, 2019, 01:03:09 PM »
Sorry, I meant in the general elections...
I sincerely hope they get a lot less than expected based on polls, though once a party is in, then IINM they get at least 3 MK's, which in this case would include the highly problematic Amsalem.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline Yonah

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite
  • ****
  • Join Date: Mar 2014
  • Posts: 287
  • Total likes: 97
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 4
    • View Profile

Online ExGingi

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Nov 2015
  • Posts: 6206
  • Total likes: 1084
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 7
    • View Profile
  • Location: 770
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #40 on: April 09, 2019, 01:09:17 PM »
Thanks - it looks like 'Gevalt' is the theme of the day - https://www.makorrishon.co.il/%D7%91%D7%97%D7%99%D7%A8%D7%95%D7%AA-%D7%AA%D7%A9%D7%A2%D7%98/129735/


;D

Quote
19:00 מה זה בכלל געוואלד? זמן טוב לברר.

קודם כל, בעברית אפשר לכתוב "גוואלד", או כמו ביידיש געוואלד. בשום אופן לא "גוועלד" או צורה אחרת שבה העי"ן נמצאת אחרי הו"וים.
המילה מקורה ביידיש, ואליה היא הגיעה מהגרמנית: המילה Gewalt פירושה "כוח", "אלימות", "שליטה ו"סמכות", וכך בצירופים כמו:
Naturgewalt כוח טבע
Husliche Gewalt אלימות ביתית (דהיינו, בין בני זוג, ובדרך כלל מה שמכונה בעברית אלימות נגד נשים)
Staatsgewalt סמכות המדינה, שליטת המדינה
אז איך הגענו מ"כוח" ל"געוואלד" שמשמעותו קריאה לעזרה? כמו דברים אחרים ביהדות, דרך אלוהים. ככל הנראה, יהודים דוברי יידיש נהגו לקרוא לכוח עליון, או ביקשו כוח מהאל, בעת צרה. הם זעקו "אוי, געוואלד", שפירושו מעין "תן לי כוח", וכשנשכחה המשמעות המקורית של המילה נותרה רק המשמעות המשנית, של קריאה לעזרה ולהצלה.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline ilherman

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jun 2013
  • Posts: 8393
  • Total likes: 59
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 35
    • View Profile
  • Location: Brooklyn
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #41 on: April 09, 2019, 01:19:00 PM »
Anyone have some predictions??

I think Bibi is going to lose to Gantz by at least 6-7 seats.
I don't think so. It might be tight. I believe Bibi will pull it off.
You can say what you think when you think what you say.

Offline ilherman

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jun 2013
  • Posts: 8393
  • Total likes: 59
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 35
    • View Profile
  • Location: Brooklyn
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #42 on: April 09, 2019, 01:21:07 PM »
 When can we expect to see results? Where is the best place to watch live results come in?
You can say what you think when you think what you say.

Offline Proisrael

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2012
  • Posts: 1044
  • Total likes: 47
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: Krayot,Israel
  • Programs: SPG,Hilton,Club Carlson
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #43 on: April 09, 2019, 01:25:34 PM »
When can we expect to see results? Where is the best place to watch live results come in?

Polls close at 10PM (3PM EST) results should start trickling in right away but by midnight they usually have an idea and by Israel morning time it usually is official. I24 news is probably best (you need to make an account with a CC)

Offline Yonah

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite
  • ****
  • Join Date: Mar 2014
  • Posts: 287
  • Total likes: 97
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 4
    • View Profile
Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #44 on: April 09, 2019, 01:44:58 PM »
I don't think so. It might be tight. I believe Bibi will pull it off.

I think Bibi will lose to Gantz in seats, but is more likely to pull of the coalition - the golden question is - who are his bedfellows?