Poll

Who are you leaning towards?

Likud
5 (17.2%)
Blue and White
0 (0%)
Shas
0 (0%)
Charedi Parties(UTJ Aguda)
15 (51.7%)
Labor
2 (6.9%)
Zeut
1 (3.4%)
Meretz
0 (0%)
Yisroel Bateinu
0 (0%)
New Right (Bennet, Shaked)
1 (3.4%)
Kahane Parties
5 (17.2%)

Total Members Voted: 29

Voting closed: April 09, 2019, 05:19:44 AM

Author Topic: 2019-2021 Israeli Election (See Also: Definition Of Insanity)  (Read 91775 times)

Online ExGingi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #60 on: April 09, 2019, 04:52:00 PM »
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Online ExGingi

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I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Online ExGingi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #62 on: April 09, 2019, 05:20:49 PM »
As of now, here's a snippet of real results out of 29,403 valid votes counted:  ;D

נ נח - הרשימה הממלכתית - תרימו את הראש   ףץ   0.01%   4
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Online ExGingi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #63 on: April 09, 2019, 05:39:54 PM »
I have no clue what will happen on a national level, though I do think Bibi will remain Prime Minister, the only question is at what cost and how hard will he have to work to piece together a coalition.

What intrigues me the most and where I am willing to make a guess, knowing that I will probably be wrong, is how the vote in Kfar Chabad will split up. For that I guess we will see 55%-65% Aguda, 30%-40% Ichud Yemin, 3%-7% Shas, 1%-4% Zehut.

Seems like I was wrong:

תוצאות סופיות בכפר חב"ד:

6 קלפיות שנספרו:
טב איחוד הימין, מובילה בפער ניכר מהאחרות עם 1551 קולות. -57.31%
ג' יהדות התורה רושמת 563 קולות -20.80%
הליכוד עם נתניהו מביאים תוצאה מפתיעה: 448 קולות -16.56%
רשימת ש"ס עם 68 קולות -2.51%
'זהות' של פייגלין עם 76 קולות -2.80%

I guess with certain developments in recent years that went counter to the Rebbe's instructions, I should have predicted more of a vote which cannot be aligned with the Rebbe's directive to vote for המפלגה החרדית ביותר. Very unfortunate.
« Last Edit: April 09, 2019, 05:52:13 PM by ExGingi »
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline Mordyk

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #64 on: April 09, 2019, 05:44:10 PM »
#TYH

Online ExGingi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #65 on: April 09, 2019, 05:50:34 PM »
https://www.vosizneias.com/320805/2019/04/09/jerusalem-gantz-declares-victory-over-netanyahu-hails-historic-vote/


how is he so convinced if final polls arent out?

What do you want him to say? Let's wait for final results so we can concede defeat?

He's taking advantage of his high point in the cycle to create some buzz, but it will fade away in the face of reality and they all know it!. An analogy would be if HRC would have come out to celebrate and declare winning the popular vote.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Online zh cohen

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #66 on: April 09, 2019, 05:57:59 PM »
What do you want him to say? Let's wait for final results so we can concede defeat?

He's taking advantage of his high point in the cycle to create some buzz, but it will fade away in the face of reality and they all know it!.

To add, if he succeeds in getting the story to be about how he won, he has an increased (although still slight) chance of forming a coalition.

Online ExGingi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #67 on: April 09, 2019, 06:22:19 PM »
To add, if he succeeds in getting the story to be about how he won, he has an increased (although still slight) chance of forming a coalition.

Lieberman, Kahlon, Shas, Aguda, Ichud Yemin have all pledged to recommend Netanyahu. Doing otherwise for any of them would be political suicide. Gantz has NO CHANCE.

The only chances of survival parts of the Blue & White party have, is if they break up to the parts that formed them, and then some parts might join Netanyahu and survive. Maybe if Lapid & Co. were out, Netanyahu could talk to the rest. But Lapid is a non-starter.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline yitzgar

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #68 on: April 09, 2019, 07:28:21 PM »
Gantz is Prime minister until 1 am
lapid until 5 am
and bibi is from the morning for 4 years
 ;) ;)

Online ExGingi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #69 on: April 09, 2019, 07:36:54 PM »
At this point it seems like Gantz will be hosting the biggest Crow Feast of the century.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline myi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #70 on: April 09, 2019, 07:38:29 PM »
At this point it seems like Gantz will be hosting the biggest Crow Feast of the century.
where's @JTZ?
Don't try to be someone else , be who you are because everyone else is taken.

Online ExGingi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #71 on: April 09, 2019, 07:45:34 PM »
« Last Edit: April 09, 2019, 07:57:20 PM by ExGingi »
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline whYME

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #72 on: April 09, 2019, 07:48:09 PM »
At this point it seems like Gantz will be hosting the biggest Crow Feast of the century.
Or he can just go the Stacy Abrams route and never admit that he lost.

Offline yitzgar

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #73 on: April 09, 2019, 08:05:15 PM »


Or he can just go the dems route and never admit that he lost because there's an open investigation

Ftfy

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #74 on: April 09, 2019, 08:09:09 PM »
Can someone explain, how this election helps anything? The previous government was vary narrow with approx 66 seats. Lieberman "quit" so a few months later Bibi called for new elections.
Wont it be the same way now all over again?
Bibi will create "right" government with the same narrow coalition, and then again Lieberman can bolt in a few months and were right back to were we were.

Online ExGingi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #75 on: April 09, 2019, 08:12:01 PM »
Can someone explain, how this election helps anything? The previous government was vary narrow with approx 66 seats. Lieberman "quit" so a few months later Bibi called for new elections.
Wont it be the same way now all over again?
Bibi will create "right" government with the same narrow coalition, and then again Lieberman can bolt in a few months and were right back to were we were.

It definitely helps with the greater numbers of Shas and UTJ (with Shas pre-pledging support for Netanyahu, which wasn't that obvious in the past. Maybe UTJ should learn from them and make a similar pledge in the future).
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #76 on: April 09, 2019, 08:51:27 PM »
It definitely helps with the greater numbers of Shas and UTJ (with Shas pre-pledging support for Netanyahu, which wasn't that obvious in the past. Maybe UTJ should learn from them and make a similar pledge in the future).

Im pretty sure I remember seeing ג did pledge for Bibi. They for sure said that they would never sit in a coalition with Lapid.

Offline churnbabychurn

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #77 on: April 09, 2019, 08:57:31 PM »
Who won?

Offline yitzgar

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #78 on: April 09, 2019, 09:01:48 PM »
Who won?
Looks like netanyahu is slightly ahead of gantz, and right wing Bloc has the majority of seats

Online ExGingi

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Re: 2019 Israeli election
« Reply #79 on: April 09, 2019, 09:04:14 PM »
Im pretty sure I remember seeing ג did pledge for Bibi. They for sure said that they would never sit in a coalition with Lapid.
They definitely said Lapid is a non-starter, but they didn't put Bibi in the center of their campaign like Shas did. Had they done so, maybe they would have got more votes in Kfar Chabad and Beitar (amongst other places) rather than people voting Likud.
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan