Author Topic: 2019-2022 Israeli Election (See Also: Definition Of Insanity) (Read 228535 times)

Boruch Parnes · « **Reply #260 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:23:40 PM »

Quote from: BP16 on September 17, 2019, 03:22:58 PM

What happens if neither could form a government again?

Unity netanyahu-ganz

Dan · « **Reply #261 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:25:01 PM »

Quote from: BP16 on September 17, 2019, 03:22:58 PM

What happens if neither could form a government again?

Unity government or another redo.

shaulyaakov · « **Reply #262 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:28:22 PM »

Quote from: Dan on September 17, 2019, 03:25:01 PM

Unity government or another redo.

Based on exit polls, either that or the Chareidim and Lieberman make a deal.

Can't see another redo this time.

Boruch Parnes · « **Reply #263 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:29:30 PM »

Quote from: shaulyaakov on September 17, 2019, 03:28:22 PM

Based on exit polls, either that or the Chareidim and Lieberman make a deal.

Can't see another redo this time.

Thats only if netanyahu gets offered to be PM...

ExGingi · « **Reply #264 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:29:57 PM »

Quote from: whYME on September 17, 2019, 03:10:29 PM

I'm not sure, but I think with Israel in general you need to assume it's the opposite of what the exit polls show...

The problem is that there's no opposite. Either way you slice it it's not a workable situation unless B&W breaks up (unlikely at this point IMHO).

shaulyaakov · « **Reply #265 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:33:34 PM »

Quote from: ExGingi on September 17, 2019, 03:29:57 PM

The problem is that there's no opposite. Either way you slice it it's not a workable situation unless B&W breaks up (unlikely at this point IMHO).

A Likud breakup might be more likely if gantz is allowed by rivlin to attempt to form a government. B&W, Lieberman, and a portion of Likud could get to 61 without anyone else.

Throw in Yamina for pledges in the settlements, and you're there with less than half of Likud splitting.

ExGingi · « **Reply #266 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:37:44 PM »

Quote from: shaulyaakov on September 17, 2019, 03:33:34 PM

A Likud breakup might be more likely if gantz is allowed by rivlin to attempt to form a government. B&W, Lieberman, and a portion of Likud could get to 61 without anyone else.

Throw in Yamina for pledges in the settlements, and you're there with less than half of Likud splitting.

Likud isn't breaking up.

Boruch Parnes · « **Reply #267 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:39:57 PM »

Quote from: ExGingi on September 17, 2019, 03:37:44 PM

Likud isn't breaking up.

Bibi might back off and the number 2 will make the unity

ExGingi · « **Reply #268 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:44:02 PM »

Quote from: Boruch Parnes on September 17, 2019, 03:39:57 PM

Bibi might back off and the number 2 will make the unity

Highly unlikely IMHO. Also who is #2?

Boruch Parnes · « **Reply #269 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:44:47 PM »

Quote from: ExGingi on September 17, 2019, 03:44:02 PM

Highly unlikely IMHO. Also who is #2?

Their going to have internal elections

ExGingi · « **Reply #270 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:46:13 PM »

Quote from: Boruch Parnes on September 17, 2019, 03:44:47 PM

Their going to have internal elections

Now?

ExGingi · « **Reply #271 on:** September 17, 2019, 03:53:03 PM »

As ballot boxes are counted, results will be posted here: https://votes22.bechirot.gov.il/cityresults

ExGingi · « **Reply #272 on:** September 17, 2019, 04:16:56 PM »

Quote from: ExGingi on August 01, 2019, 12:36:27 PM

Lieberman seems to agree with me that Labor is the weakest link in the opposition to Netanyahu.

Can't forget this important tidbit.

Ergel · « **Reply #273 on:** September 17, 2019, 05:40:59 PM »

So...who's up for round 3?

Ergel · « **Reply #274 on:** September 17, 2019, 05:44:16 PM »

Quote from: Ergel on August 12, 2019, 05:06:41 PM

I really don't see how a government will be formed...unless Labor sits with Likud + United Right + Chareidim.
I know pollsters all put the Arabs in left wing camp, it's just not accurate.
So you have ~53-55 for the right wing camp
10 for Lieberman
~45 for left wing camp
And 11 for Arab

The math just doesn't add up. Crazy country

Spot on (except take 2 from Lieberman and give them to the left
Still a crazy country

Ergel · « **Reply #275 on:** September 17, 2019, 05:47:42 PM »

So right now there are only 2 paths to a government
1. Likud + Yamina + Chareidim + Labor
2. Likud + Blue/White
I don't know which is more unlikely. Especially since if Likud doesn't have more mandates than Blue/White no way Netanyahu sits under Gantz

ilherman · « **Reply #276 on:** September 17, 2019, 07:49:06 PM »

How come last time around at this hour there was over 50 percent of the vote counted and now I see nothing?

ExGingi · « **Reply #277 on:** September 17, 2019, 07:50:04 PM »

Quote from: ilherman on September 17, 2019, 07:49:06 PM

How come last time around at this hour there was over 50 percent of the vote counted and now I see nothing?

Website isn't updated.

ilherman · « **Reply #278 on:** September 17, 2019, 07:52:18 PM »

That's my question. Why?

ExGingi · « **Reply #279 on:** September 17, 2019, 07:53:54 PM »

Quote from: ilherman on September 17, 2019, 07:52:18 PM

That's my question. Why?

Maybe less people working night shift. Attitude is different than last time around.

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Author Topic: 2019-2022 Israeli Election (See Also: Definition Of Insanity) (Read 228535 times)