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« Last edited by username on June 19, 2020, 10:39:33 AM »

Author Topic: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread  (Read 120243 times)

Offline AsherO

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2625 on: May 19, 2020, 10:32:23 AM »
In the five boroughs of NYC:

1 out of every 333 people in the Bronx has died of COVID-19
1 out of every 378 people in Queens has died of COVID-19
1 out of every 400 people in Brooklyn has died of COVID-19
1 out of every 510 people in Staten Island has died of COVID-19
1 out of every 590 people in Manhattan has died of COVID-19

(Based on estimated population for 2019, so actual numbers may be slightly lower.)

How does this correlate to population density? What about on the zip code level where the data is more granular?
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2626 on: May 19, 2020, 10:34:25 AM »
How does this correlate to population density? What about on the zip code level where the data is more granular?
I haven't seen a breakdown by zip code.
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2627 on: May 19, 2020, 10:35:47 AM »
How does this correlate to population density? What about on the zip code level where the data is more granular?
I haven't seen a breakdown by zip code.
There's a heat map by zip code here:
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2628 on: May 19, 2020, 11:12:48 AM »
There's a heat map by zip code here:
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page
According to that, 11239 has the highest death rate, at 1 out of every 164 people. Crazy.

Even though 11219 is quite dark, with high percentage of cases, death rate is lower than other zip codes with lower case rate.
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2629 on: May 19, 2020, 11:45:23 AM »
How does this correlate to population density? What about on the zip code level where the data is more granular?
SI has the lowest population density, so that makes sense, but Manhattan has the highest while also the lowest death rate.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.


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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2631 on: May 19, 2020, 12:12:37 PM »
<--- See location

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2632 on: May 19, 2020, 12:19:57 PM »
SI has the lowest population density, so that makes sense, but Manhattan has the highest while also the lowest death rate.
Maybe due to more hospital capacity. The small local hospitals were hardest hit and most overloaded.
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2633 on: May 19, 2020, 02:02:43 PM »
Maybe due to more hospital capacity. The small local hospitals were hardest hit and most overloaded.
I just saw the numbers, The Bronx has the highest percentage positive for antibodies - 27.9%. None of the other boroughs have more than 20% with Manhattan being the lowest at about 17%.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2634 on: May 19, 2020, 02:23:17 PM »
I just saw the numbers, The Bronx has the highest percentage positive for antibodies - 27.9%. None of the other boroughs have more than 20% with Manhattan being the lowest at about 17%.
So there is a clear correlation of deaths to percentage with antibodies? That would obviously make a lot of sense, and give us a better idea of the IFR.
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Offline AsherO

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2635 on: May 19, 2020, 02:36:52 PM »
I just saw the numbers, The Bronx has the highest percentage positive for antibodies - 27.9%. None of the other boroughs have more than 20% with Manhattan being the lowest at about 17%.

Source?
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2636 on: May 19, 2020, 03:18:44 PM »
I just saw the numbers, The Bronx has the highest percentage positive for antibodies - 27.9%. None of the other boroughs have more than 20% with Manhattan being the lowest at about 17%.
After speaking to an energy company dealing with calculating changes in usage, I may have some speculative insight into this. They are finding that energy usage changes are very dependent on the type of multi-family building. In low end apartments usage has gone up due to everyone being home, but in the higher end apartments in Manhattan the usage has actually gone down about 15% mostly due to many of the residents having laft the city to vacation homes and the like. This also lowered the density of Manhattan by quite a bit.

I wonder if the zip code map shows this too.
The thing with the hamster is that running on the wheel is actually what it is trying to do.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2637 on: May 19, 2020, 03:36:36 PM »
After speaking to an energy company dealing with calculating changes in usage, I may have some speculative insight into this. They are finding that energy usage changes are very dependent on the type of multi-family building. In low end apartments usage has gone up due to everyone being home, but in the higher end apartments in Manhattan the usage has actually gone down about 15% mostly due to many of the residents having laft the city to vacation homes and the like. This also lowered the density of Manhattan by quite a bit.

I wonder if the zip code map shows this too.
The question is when they left? Most of them left around the time the lockdowns were starting after most of the spread occurred

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2638 on: May 19, 2020, 04:18:09 PM »
After speaking to an energy company dealing with calculating changes in usage, I may have some speculative insight into this. They are finding that energy usage changes are very dependent on the type of multi-family building. In low end apartments usage has gone up due to everyone being home, but in the higher end apartments in Manhattan the usage has actually gone down about 15% mostly due to many of the residents having laft the city to vacation homes and the like. This also lowered the density of Manhattan by quite a bit.

I wonder if the zip code map shows this too.
Very interesting theory
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Offline avromie7

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2639 on: May 19, 2020, 04:34:24 PM »
Source?
https://www.governor.ny.gov/sites/governor.ny.gov/files/atoms/files/NYForwardReopeningGuide.pdf Page 30. My numbers were off by a fraction of a percentage point because I already closed the page and was posting from memory.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.