But Death & Hospitilizations seem less severe. Anyone have numbers
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@Ergel said, I don't think those numbers will tell you anything, for a number of reasons.
1) Timeline. What stage are you going to compare the numbers against? By all accounts, all of those states have been dealing with Covid hospitalizations and deaths since March, albeit on a much lower scale. NY's numbers skyrocketed immediately, versus the slower climb here.
2) Social distancing, masks, precautions in stores and public places, high-risk self-isolation. These are all factors which contribute to a slower spread, and slower consequences of hospitalization and deaths.
3a) Medical knowledge at a PCP level. When someone calls their PCP because they feel sick or had a positive test, PCPs are far less likely to send patients to the hospitals. Even on a layman's level, the average person is less likely to panic and run to the ER now than they were in March in NY.
3a) Medical knowledge with regard to treatment protocols. We're eons away from where we were 2-3 months ago, so the deaths should go down as a result. This is aside from the fact that deaths come at a later stage in the game.
4) Political reaction. If FL and TX keep doubling down on their stance to let things ride, you're going to see much crazier numbers than NY. NY/NJ reacted late, but at least they reacted before their numbers hit what we're seeing out of FL, TX, AZ, and CA. You can probably include the political reaction to protests in here, but it will be hard to gauge the impact of those.
There are other variables, as well, but this is what I'm pulling off the top of my head.