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« Last edited by Joel on July 19, 2021, 01:49:19 AM »

Author Topic: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread  (Read 575066 times)

Offline Jellybelly

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #220 on: February 27, 2020, 08:16:54 PM »
From the Jerusalem Post - "Israeli scientists: 'In a few weeks, we will have coronavirus vaccine'

https://www.jpost.com/HEALTH-SCIENCE/Israeli-scientists-In-three-weeks-we-will-have-coronavirus-vaccine-619101
What’s BDS gonna do?

Offline yuneeq

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #221 on: February 27, 2020, 08:18:58 PM »
This is besides that in the closed cramped quarters of the plane it may be more likely to spread.

Exactly

Again, you are mistaking statistical overall risk with incidental risk.  Obviously, I can't know what your risk on one particular flight is but we can estimate the risk of taking one flight among thousands in a world of 7 billion people that even if they are undereported has maybe a couple hundred thousand cases.  I'm trying to focus on the thought processes that cause hysteria.  I also don't know when or where the next lightning strike will be but I do know my overall risk of getting struck is pretty low.  But hey lots of people waste millions on lotto tickets too so I know people overestimate their odds for the both the positive and negative!  :)

TLDR, I don't think you understand risk. Bottom line COVID-19 is a pandemic, traveling during a pandemic is risky and it will get increasingly risky until it peaks. There are literally cases in almost every country, and you don't need an entire infected flight to get infected. It can be a single passenger or more likely, a single FA that becomes a super spreader.
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Offline yelped

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #222 on: February 27, 2020, 11:11:58 PM »

Offline yuneeq

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Offline yuneeq

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #224 on: February 28, 2020, 08:29:14 AM »
Another 2 deaths reported from the giant petri dish known as the Diamond Princess, raising the total to 6 deaths/705 confirmed cases/34 serious/10 recoveries. This massive real-life lab experiment should shed a lot of insight in the next month or so as to how deadly COVID really is, though the numbers need to be analyzed by each demographic group. So far it ain't looking good :(
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Offline NTorch

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #225 on: February 28, 2020, 08:30:06 AM »
What’s BDS gonna do?

Let's hope they boycott.

Offline Yonah

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #226 on: February 28, 2020, 08:40:38 AM »
What’s BDS gonna do?

Most likely - insist that Israel give its formula to other countries so that they can manufacture the drug.

Offline yuneeq

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #227 on: February 28, 2020, 08:43:16 AM »
From the Jerusalem Post - "Israeli scientists: 'In a few weeks, we will have coronavirus vaccine'

https://www.jpost.com/HEALTH-SCIENCE/Israeli-scientists-In-three-weeks-we-will-have-coronavirus-vaccine-619101

Not sure why people get excited about this. Almost every health official saying it's likely that the earliest vaccine will not be released until at least 12-18 months, and that's considered extremely quick. It won't stop the spread in the US right now. You can't simply inject billions of healthy people with a vaccine that hasn't gone through the clinical trials process.
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Offline aygart

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #228 on: February 28, 2020, 08:45:31 AM »
Not sure why people get excited about this. Almost every health official saying it's likely that the earliest vaccine will not be released until at least 12-18 months, and that's considered extremely quick. It won't stop the spread in the US right now. You can't simply inject billions of healthy people with a vaccine that hasn't gone through the clinical trials process.
Part of the advantage here is that they "Just happened" to e testing on coronaviruses already.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline yuneeq

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #229 on: February 28, 2020, 08:51:20 AM »
Part of the advantage here is that they "Just happened" to e testing on coronaviruses already.

Which puts them in the same boat as other researchers who have been doing the same. Clinical trials will take a while even if it's a good vaccine.
https://time.com/5790545/first-covid-19-vaccine/
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Offline NTorch

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #230 on: February 28, 2020, 08:56:26 AM »
Part of the advantage here is that they "Just happened" to e testing on coronaviruses already.

Rec'd - 100%. Look at the hashgacha pratis - they were working on a vaccine for a different virus and when Covid-19 showed up they analyzed it and found that it was practically identical to what they were working on.

Offline free123cc

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #231 on: February 28, 2020, 10:16:28 AM »
Anyone think what will be with Pesach hotels if this thing spreads all over USA? Gonna be a issue

Offline Boruch Parnes

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #232 on: February 28, 2020, 10:17:52 AM »
Anyone think what will be with Pesach hotels if this thing spreads all over USA? Gonna be a issue
*if

Offline ltttc

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #233 on: February 28, 2020, 10:18:35 AM »
Anyone think what will be with Pesach hotels if this thing spreads all over USA? Gonna be a issue
Lots of things will be in an issue  if it indeed spreads

Offline Yonah

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #234 on: February 28, 2020, 10:37:52 AM »
Anyone think what will be with Pesach hotels if this thing spreads all over USA? Gonna be a issue

In Milan it seems that they've closed houses of worship down and are concerned about megila:

 https://www.jta.org/2020/02/27/global/this-italian-jewish-kid-was-supposed-to-have-a-600-person-bar-mitzvah-party-then-coronavirus-hit

Offline aygart

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #235 on: February 28, 2020, 10:46:20 AM »
Anyone think what will be with Pesach hotels if this thing spreads all over USA? Gonna be a issue
What about hotels in Israel as it stands now?
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline grodnoking

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I'm not who you think I am.

Offline yuneeq

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #237 on: February 28, 2020, 11:13:00 AM »
Another 2 deaths reported from the giant petri dish known as the Diamond Princess, raising the total to 6 deaths/705 confirmed cases/34 serious/10 recoveries. This massive real-life lab experiment should shed a lot of insight in the next month or so as to how deadly COVID really is, though the numbers need to be analyzed by each demographic group. So far it ain't looking good :(

Thinking about this a little more, the cruise might be good to study for pure death rates, but it won't account for deaths caused due to overcrowded hospitals/overburdened health system. And given that so far approximately 20% of cases are severe or critical, the CFR will vary greatly depending on a country's ability to treat patients.
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Offline efflpetzel

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Offline Luvisrael

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #239 on: February 28, 2020, 02:24:36 PM »
Should I be concerned to Wear clothing recently made In/  brought from China?