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« Last edited by Joel on July 19, 2021, 01:49:19 AM »

Author Topic: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread  (Read 593114 times)

Offline yuneeq

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2900 on: June 21, 2020, 11:55:01 AM »
Are you saying it would be better if the increase was older people?

Option a - 1000 people get sick, 900 are old
Option b - 1500 people get sick, 1200 are old

Tell me, which option is better?

And for extra credit if you really wanna be honest:
Option c - 50 people get sick, all 50 are old.
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Offline biobook

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2901 on: June 21, 2020, 12:08:58 PM »
No, fake news that a shift toward younger people can somehow be a bad thing.

Higher number of cases among nursing home elderly
    Bad for those individuals - their illness is more likely to be serious or fatal
    Good for society - the spread can be contained by locking down nursing homes
Higher number of cases among younger people
    Good for those individuals - they're more likely to recover
    Bad for society - younger people take more risks, move around more, have more contacts - so more likely to have already spread it widely in the community. 

Offline shaulyaakov

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2902 on: June 21, 2020, 12:16:21 PM »
No, fake news that a shift toward younger people can somehow be a bad thing.
False. Spread rates among younger people will undoubtedly be higher, so even though the fatality rate is much lower, the absolute number of deaths could rise.

Offline Lurker

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2903 on: June 21, 2020, 12:19:44 PM »
Another thing to take into account about Florida's numbers is where they come from. I think the number was 90% of testing is being done privately, with the 20-30 crowd more likely to utilize public testing. LTCFs are self-reporting, and there is no uniformity on the reporting from private facilities and labs.

At this point, everything is speculation. I don't think there will be any clarity until after the election, because of swing state politics.
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2904 on: June 21, 2020, 12:26:48 PM »

At this point, everything is speculation. I don't think there will be any clarity until after the election, because of swing state politics.
Once hospitals overflow the government will inevitably sing a different tune
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline Lurker

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2905 on: June 21, 2020, 12:31:11 PM »
Once hospitals overflow the government will inevitably sing a different tune

Doubtful. There's too much riding on this. DeSantis is looked at like a mini-Trump, and there will be every incentive in the world to deny, deny, deny until mid-November.
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Offline avromie7

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2906 on: June 21, 2020, 12:31:44 PM »
Option a - 1000 people get sick, 900 are old
Option b - 1500 people get sick, 1200 are old

Tell me, which option is better?

And for extra credit if you really wanna be honest:
Option c - 50 people get sick, all 50 are old.
Do you have any evidence this is the case?
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline Kobe Bryant

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2907 on: June 21, 2020, 12:35:24 PM »
This thread belongs in the Politics Board.

Offline Lurker

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2908 on: June 21, 2020, 12:37:41 PM »
Do you have any evidence this is the case?

Look at the dashboard. We've gone from 600-700 cases a day to over 4000. Even if 80% of the cases were old people then (they weren't) and 80% of the cases are young people now (possible, but I don't think so), you've still increased the infections in old people by a very significant amount.
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Offline yuneeq

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2909 on: June 21, 2020, 12:55:40 PM »
Do you have any evidence this is the case?

Look at the dashboard. We've gone from 600-700 cases a day to over 4000. Even if 80% of the cases were old people then (they weren't) and 80% of the cases are young people now (possible, but I don't think so), you've still increased the infections in old people by a very significant amount.

In addition, you said it was good news that more young people are getting infected. Do you have evidence that old people stopped getting infected or are decreasing? South Carolina daily numbers increased 4 fold in the last 16 days, but only 18% of the total cases are people 21-30 that they are blaming the increases on. Meanwhile, 75% of the total new cases are just from increases.

Also are the young people not spreading to any old people? Or is everything good news no matter what happens?
« Last Edit: June 21, 2020, 12:59:59 PM by yuneeq »
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Offline avromie7

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2910 on: June 21, 2020, 01:01:23 PM »
In addition, you said it was good news that more young people are getting infected. Do you have evidence that old people stopped getting infected or are decreasing? South Carolina daily numbers increased 4 fold in the last 16 days, but only 18% of the total cases are people 21-30 that they are blaming the increases on. Meanwhile, 75% of the total new cases are just from increases.

Also are the young people not spreading to any old people? Or is everything good news no matter what happens?
I don't know the details about SC, but i think we can agree 30 isn't the cutoff for young people.

I don't think anyone disagrees that there may very well be an increase in the number of cases amongst old people. If the majority of the increase is due to more younger people testing positive that makes the increase much less alarming and it can indicate that their strategy is working.
« Last Edit: June 21, 2020, 01:05:53 PM by avromie7 »
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline yelped

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2911 on: June 21, 2020, 01:06:15 PM »
This thread belongs in the Politics Board.
That's the whole problem with this country's miserable response to Covid-19, it became wholly political.

Offline avromie7

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2912 on: June 21, 2020, 01:08:15 PM »
That's the whole problem with this country's miserable response to Covid-19, it became wholly political.
The irony is posts like this from people complaining about the covid response becoming too political.
The number of cases are doubling, tripling, and quadrupling in these states, and young people make up a larger percentage of the increase. That is not a good thing unless you’re wearing Trump 2020 glasses.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline yelped

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2913 on: June 21, 2020, 01:20:41 PM »
The irony is posts like this from people complaining about the covid response becoming too political.
You're not understanding him.

Offline avromie7

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2914 on: June 21, 2020, 01:25:40 PM »
You're not understanding him.
I am.

If you agree with me good, if not you're being political.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline yuneeq

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2915 on: June 21, 2020, 01:34:37 PM »
I don't know the details about SC, but i think we can agree 30 isn't the cutoff for young people.

I don't think anyone disagrees that there may very well be an increase in the number of cases amongst old people. If the majority of the increase is due to more younger people testing positive that makes the increase much less alarming and it can indicate that their strategy is working.

I used the same age group that they claim caused all the increases.

Let me get this straight - the cnn article is fake news because - it was not optimistic about a 4 fold increase in the last 16 days, in addition to positive rates going up. Meanwhile, the age group the states are blaming it on, is responsible for a marginal %  of the increase, and total  less than a 5th of the cases.

Got it. In other words, CNN should ignore the data, because ignorance is bliss.
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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline avromie7

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2918 on: June 21, 2020, 03:48:06 PM »
I used the same age group that they claim caused all the increases.

Let me get this straight - the cnn article is fake news because - it was not optimistic about a 4 fold increase in the last 16 days, in addition to positive rates going up. Meanwhile, the age group the states are blaming it on, is responsible for a marginal %  of the increase, and total  less than a 5th of the cases.

Got it. In other words, CNN should ignore the data, because ignorance is bliss.
I didn't even make it thru the entire article, and i certainly didnt look at any of the sources. All i saw was an article saying how terrible it was that the new cases are shifting to younger people which is ridiculous.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline S209

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #2919 on: June 21, 2020, 04:44:25 PM »
Quote from: YitzyS
Quotes in a signature is annoying, as it comes across as an independent post.