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« Last edited by Joel on July 19, 2021, 01:49:19 AM »

Author Topic: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread  (Read 580357 times)

Offline Lurker

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4120 on: February 25, 2021, 12:12:00 AM »
I don't think either of them are attempting to predict the future. They are illustrating what would happen if R would be x, nobody is assuming it will be a steady x for 5 months.

Forgive the stupid question, but what's the point in creating models based on hypotheticals no one expects to happen because they aren't based on reality?
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4121 on: February 25, 2021, 12:20:51 AM »
Forgive the stupid question, but what's the point in creating models based on hypotheticals no one expects to happen because they aren't based on reality?
It gives you the best case & worse case scenario so you can plan taking both ends into account
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4122 on: February 25, 2021, 12:44:27 AM »
It gives you the best case & worse case scenario so you can plan taking both ends into account

I don't see how they can possibly give you either scenario while ignoring certain realities, but it's the CDC, so I guess I should just trust that they know what they're doing.
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4123 on: February 25, 2021, 10:01:39 AM »
I don't see how they can possibly give you either scenario while ignoring certain realities, but it's the CDC, so I guess I should just trust that it's political BS.
FTFY
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4124 on: February 25, 2021, 11:18:38 AM »
FTFY

I said CDC, didn't think the /s was necessary.
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4125 on: February 25, 2021, 02:23:46 PM »
https://twitter.com/whcos/status/1364922853326540806

There is no way this isn’t already having a major impact on current deaths
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4126 on: February 25, 2021, 02:41:52 PM »
https://twitter.com/whcos/status/1364922853326540806

There is no way this isn’t already having a major impact on current deaths

Again, no argument there. You just won't see the right numbers right away.
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4127 on: February 25, 2021, 02:43:54 PM »
Again, no argument there. You just won't see the right numbers right away.
You agree, but @avromie7 doesn't.

Deaths begin to be affected around 20 days after first dose.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4128 on: February 25, 2021, 02:51:13 PM »
You agree, but @avromie7 doesn't.

Deaths begin to be affected around 20 days after first dose.
-1 I never disagreed with the fact that giving the vaccine to the most vulnerable will have a major impact on the number of deaths. All I said was that your "evidence" was incomplete and meaningless and therefore anything you said was just conjecture.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4129 on: February 25, 2021, 03:53:08 PM »
-1 I never disagreed with the fact that giving the vaccine to the most vulnerable will have a major impact on the number of deaths. All I said was that your "evidence" was incomplete and meaningless and therefore anything you said was just conjecture.
Did you not say vaccines won't impact deaths for many months?
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4130 on: February 25, 2021, 04:11:43 PM »
Did you not say vaccines won't impact deaths for many months?
I said we won't see it in the data.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4131 on: March 02, 2021, 03:17:44 PM »
Texas Governor says statewide mask mandate ends March 10th & all businesses can reopen at 100% capacity.


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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4132 on: March 02, 2021, 03:23:29 PM »
Texas Governor says statewide mask mandate ends March 10th & all businesses can reopen at 100% capacity.

Put a pin in this and revisit it at the end of April.
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4133 on: March 02, 2021, 05:34:34 PM »
Mississippi Governor ends mask mandate and social distancing requirements; all businesses can reopen at 100% capacity starting tomorrow.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4134 on: March 02, 2021, 06:18:14 PM »
Texas Governor says statewide mask mandate ends March 10th & all businesses can reopen at 100% capacity.
Mississippi Governor ends mask mandate and social distancing requirements; all businesses can reopen at 100% capacity starting tomorrow.

I think these moves will actually help encourage more people to get vaccinated in May. The numbers climbing during the third wave should coincide with greater vaccine availability, pushing people who were on the fence or slightly opposed to getting the shots to take the plunge (no pun intended).
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4136 on: March 04, 2021, 02:19:52 PM »
Mississippi Governor ends mask mandate and social distancing requirements; all businesses can reopen at 100% capacity starting tomorrow.
https://twitter.com/jeffzeleny/status/1367526319085522944
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4138 on: March 04, 2021, 04:18:17 PM »
It’s PC to ditch masks?
Abott is certainly not doing it because of science...
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4139 on: March 04, 2021, 04:23:20 PM »
It’s PC to ditch masks?

Depends on whose politics...
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