I don't think either of them are attempting to predict the future. They are illustrating what would happen if R would be x, nobody is assuming it will be a steady x for 5 months.
Forgive the stupid question, but what's the point in creating models based on hypotheticals no one expects to happen because they aren't based on reality?
It gives you the best case & worse case scenario so you can plan taking both ends into account
I don't see how they can possibly give you either scenario while ignoring certain realities, but it's the CDC, so I guess I should just trust that it's political BS.
FTFY
https://twitter.com/whcos/status/1364922853326540806There is no way this isn’t already having a major impact on current deaths
Again, no argument there. You just won't see the right numbers right away.
You agree, but @avromie7 doesn't. Deaths begin to be affected around 20 days after first dose.
-1 I never disagreed with the fact that giving the vaccine to the most vulnerable will have a major impact on the number of deaths. All I said was that your "evidence" was incomplete and meaningless and therefore anything you said was just conjecture.
Did you not say vaccines won't impact deaths for many months?
Texas Governor says statewide mask mandate ends March 10th & all businesses can reopen at 100% capacity.
Mississippi Governor ends mask mandate and social distancing requirements; all businesses can reopen at 100% capacity starting tomorrow.
https://twitter.com/jeffzeleny/status/1367526319085522944
It’s PC to ditch masks?