Author Topic: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?  (Read 1936 times)

Offline atwnsw

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I can’t help but wonder what is going to happen after all these schools/events resume in 2-6 weeks.  Yes, we will have more test results and understand the overall spread of community virus, but won’t re-opening put us right back in the same pickle?  I understand the goal is to flatten the curve which will result in a longer duration but am trying to understand what happens after our initial round of school/business closures?  Won’t the same rate of infection return?  How did China open apple stores in the last few days without re-ignitions the rates of infection?

Offline yuneeq

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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2020, 10:10:40 PM »
China is not in pre-pandemic mode yet, far from it. Still wearing masks, taking temperature, sanitizing, etc.
IMHO we shouldn't reopen anything until we are able to do the same.
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Offline ah giten

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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2020, 10:38:18 PM »
I can’t help but wonder what is going to happen after all these schools/events resume in 2-6 weeks.  Yes, we will have more test results and understand the overall spread of community virus, but won’t re-opening put us right back in the same pickle?  I understand the goal is to flatten the curve which will result in a longer duration but am trying to understand what happens after our initial round of school/business closures?  Won’t the same rate of infection return?  How did China open apple stores in the last few days without re-ignitions the rates of infection?
if the closures prove to be working, then they"ll put in place a full on closure. until it dies off.

Offline RewardsAddict

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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2020, 10:41:32 PM »
China is not in pre-pandemic mode yet, far from it. Still wearing masks, taking temperature, sanitizing, etc.
IMHO we shouldn't reopen anything until we are able to do the same.
China is back at work though.

Offline yuneeq

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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2020, 10:57:10 PM »
China is back at work though.

Correct, for the most part.
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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2020, 11:09:20 PM »
Correct, for the most part.
Does anyone know how opening back up affected the outbreak? Did their number rise again or did they successfully ward off Corona virus for the most part?

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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2020, 11:29:50 PM »
Does anyone know how opening back up affected the outbreak? Did their number rise again or did they successfully ward off Corona virus for the most part?
For now they have it contained.
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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2020, 01:05:02 AM »
For now they have it contained.
So it appears that isolation does help contain the virus. If we would all quarantine for the required 2 weeks we could get rid of this much faster...

Offline chevron

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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2020, 01:12:09 AM »
So it appears that isolation does help contain the virus. If we would all quarantine for the required 2 weeks we could get rid of this much faster...

Yes and no we have to look at the UK model as well.

The main problem is that everybody getting it at once will overwhelm the healthcare system. I mean everybody going to quarantine until they manufacture more respirators and come up with a vaccine might work.

The US is playing ketchup. I'm very surprised that we don't have a system in place to immediately make emergency hospitals for 1 million people at a minimum.

We should have the capacity to add 10k emergency triage facility in every major us city.

Obviously what do I know?

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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #9 on: March 15, 2020, 01:43:03 AM »
Yes and no we have to look at the UK model as well.

The main problem is that everybody getting it at once will overwhelm the healthcare system. I mean everybody going to quarantine until they manufacture more respirators and come up with a vaccine might work.

The US is playing ketchup. I'm very surprised that we don't have a system in place to immediately make emergency hospitals for 1 million people at a minimum.

We should have the capacity to add 10k emergency triage facility in every major us city.

Obviously what do I know?
Forget the hospital, we dont even have our testing figured out...

Offline chevron

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Re: What happens after closures to the infection rate of Coronavirus?
« Reply #10 on: March 15, 2020, 01:55:18 AM »
Forget the hospital, we dont even have our testing figured out...

2 close friends of mine who are ER doctors are fairly confident.

Again ultimately the emergency rooms in the hospitals have a certain capacity they can deal with this stuff.

They can develop ARDS

Condition in which fluid collects in the lungs' air sacs, depriving organs of oxygen.
Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) can occur in those who are critically ill or who have significant injuries. It is often fatal, the risk increasing with age and severity of illness.

People with ARDS have severe shortness of breath and often are unable to breathe on their own without support from a ventilator.

This is why it's critical that we get more ventilators and also not clog the hospitals at once