Author Topic: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?  (Read 267295 times)

Offline Lurker

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #960 on: May 25, 2020, 04:05:35 AM »
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/280793
.26% death rate

If that's the case, then 28K deaths in NY means nearly 11 million infections!?!? which should mean 50% antibody rates. But that's not what the numbers say?
And 100K deaths in the US means 38 million infections?

And Sweden's 4K deaths should mean 1.5 million infections, so why is there antibody levels in Stockholm only 7%

Something doesn't add up

This may explain it:
From what I hear, someone who tests positive multiple times will be counted as multiple cases.

Whether it's intentional or not... for another thread
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Offline S209

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #961 on: May 25, 2020, 10:41:29 AM »
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/280793
.26% death rate

If that's the case, then 28K deaths in NY means nearly 11 million infections!?!? which should mean 50% antibody rates. But that's not what the numbers say?
And 100K deaths in the US means 38 million infections?

And Sweden's 4K deaths should mean 1.5 million infections, so why is there antibody levels in Stockholm only 7%

Something doesn't add up
This sounds great. I’d love to see where the CDC has that information, they don’t link to it.

There are some serious discrepancies in their reporting.

First, they are misleadingly comparing COVID’s IFR to flu’s CFR. Even at a .26 IFR,  that is estimated to be around 5-10x flu’s IFR.

Second, the “60,000 die of the flu in the US every year” line is obviously blatantly false. The real number of average annual deaths isn’t anywhere close. Here and here are some interesting pieces discussing the obvious phenomenon of us not actually knowing any people who died of the flu when based on the statistics it should be far more prevalent.

Third, that would extrapolate to more than a 100% infection rate in NYC..... Do YOU believe 110% of NYC has been infected????
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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #962 on: May 25, 2020, 10:44:35 AM »
This sounds great. I’d love to see where the CDC has that information, they don’t link to it.

There are some serious discrepancies in their reporting.

First, they are misleadingly comparing COVID’s IFR to flu’s CFR. Even at a .26 IFR,  that is estimated to be around 5-10x flu’s IFR.

Second, the “60,000 die of the flu in the US every year” line is obviously blatantly false. The real number of average annual deaths isn’t anywhere close. Here and here are some interesting pieces discussing the obvious phenomenon of us not actually knowing any people who died of the flu when based on the statistics it should be far more prevalent.

Third, that would extrapolate to more than a 100% infection rate in NYC..... Do YOU believe 110% of NYC has been infected????
Numbers are amazing things.
Feelings don't care about your facts

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #963 on: May 25, 2020, 10:48:51 AM »
Here and here are some interesting pieces discussing the obvious phenomenon of us not actually knowing any people who died of the flu when based on the statistics it should be far more prevalent.

wow
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #964 on: May 25, 2020, 11:30:30 AM »
wow
+1

And we accuse China of falsifying information
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #965 on: May 25, 2020, 01:11:28 PM »
Third, that would extrapolate to more than a 100% infection rate in NYC..... Do YOU believe 110% of NYC has been infected????

130% of the Frum people in my community had it, and the Frum communities had it harder than other communities. I estimate at least 180% of NYC residents were infected.

/s
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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #966 on: May 25, 2020, 01:33:17 PM »
This sounds great. I’d love to see where the CDC has that information, they don’t link to it.

There are some serious discrepancies in their reporting.

First, they are misleadingly comparing COVID’s IFR to flu’s CFR. Even at a .26 IFR,  that is estimated to be around 5-10x flu’s IFR.

Second, the “60,000 die of the flu in the US every year” line is obviously blatantly false. The real number of average annual deaths isn’t anywhere close. Here and here are some interesting pieces discussing the obvious phenomenon of us not actually knowing any people who died of the flu when based on the statistics it should be far more prevalent.

Third, that would extrapolate to more than a 100% infection rate in NYC..... Do YOU believe 110% of NYC has been infected????
Love posts where I actually learn something. Thank you. I feel so stupid for believing the 30-60K number
Life isn't about checking the boxes. Nobody cares.

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #967 on: May 26, 2020, 05:04:16 PM »
A bunch of poeple here have mentioned sewage testing. Well, here is a study and it is looking to be a leading indicator.

https://twitter.com/BrennanSpiegel/status/1265119535901732865
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Offline KSMH

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #968 on: May 26, 2020, 05:05:01 PM »
A bunch of poeple here have mentioned sewage testing. Well, here is a study and it is looking to be a leading indicator.

https://twitter.com/BrennanSpiegel/status/1265119535901732865

Want Wasnt Israel doing this?
« Last Edit: May 26, 2020, 05:25:15 PM by KSMH »
Always praying for delayed baggage.

Offline Lurker

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #969 on: May 26, 2020, 05:11:27 PM »
Want Israel doing this?

If this is accurate? Every place should be doing this! Can you imagine what a difference a week's notice can make? Especially when you can narrow it down by specific areas in a city and contact trace from there? This is the most disgusting amazing thing if it works.
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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #970 on: May 26, 2020, 05:13:32 PM »
If this is accurate? Every place should be doing this! Can you imagine what a difference a week's notice can make? Especially when you can narrow it down by specific areas in a city and contact trace from there? This is the most disgusting amazing thing if it works.
And can be a major impetus to allow much more flexibility in reopening.
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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #971 on: May 26, 2020, 05:19:15 PM »
Want Israel doing this?
Israel figuring out how to test sewage to pinpoint neighborhoods/cities with COVID-19 cases. Excuse the headline.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/down-the-tubes-how-israels-poop-may-prevent-second-coronavirus-wave/

Offline Lurker

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #972 on: May 26, 2020, 05:20:57 PM »
And can be a major impetus to allow much more flexibility in reopening.

100%! A complete game changer if this works. No waiting for symptoms, no waiting for people to bother getting tested, no clogging up medical establishments with paranoid people getting tested just because. And the best part... every 2-3 days, you have a sample from pretty much every single person. And then we can start a thread asking everybody how much it meant to them when they said Asher Yatzar.
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Offline Afrages6

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #974 on: May 26, 2020, 05:22:43 PM »
100%! A complete game changer if this works. No waiting for symptoms, no waiting for people to bother getting tested, no clogging up medical establishments with paranoid people getting tested just because. And the best part... every 2-3 days, you have a sample from pretty much every single person. And then we can start a thread asking everybody how much it meant to them when they said Asher Yatzar.
How will this stop any of that?

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #975 on: May 26, 2020, 05:24:05 PM »
He meant *wasn't*.


I understood that, and my answer was "yes, as posted previously"

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #976 on: May 26, 2020, 05:24:06 PM »
How will this stop any of that?
It seems that it detects within 3 days and before symptoms show
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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #977 on: May 26, 2020, 05:32:13 PM »
How will this stop any of that?

Given that someone can be asymptomatic for up to 14 days, testing the waste will allow you to do proactive, targeted, individual testing up to 10 days before symptoms. Additionally, there are people who dismiss the symptoms as "something else" or have other reasons for not getting tested, and this would eliminate them not getting tested. And if there is a general sense of containment, there will be fewer people testing themselves unnecessarily.
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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #978 on: May 26, 2020, 05:41:45 PM »
So instead of tracing post positives they would be proactive and attack the areas which have the virus coming from them?
Interesting.

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #979 on: May 26, 2020, 10:09:02 PM »
https://twitter.com/stevecheney/status/1265135244195192832

Some really fantastic ideas in the responses
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