Author Topic: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?  (Read 218173 times)

Online aygart

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #60 on: March 20, 2020, 12:14:15 PM »
Look at the logarithmic chart, it took Italy 8 days to go from 10 to 100, and 8 days from 100 to 1000. It took the US 13 days to go from 10 to 100, and we're on day 3 of the trajectory from 100 to 1000. I am not trying to downplay the seriousness, I'm just trying to get to find the facts. There are enough people showing the worst case scenario that I don't need to.
Why is doing better than the county with the most known deaths such a big thing? Keep in mind that Italy is Moore comparable to NY metro than the US
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline mercaz1

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #61 on: March 20, 2020, 12:52:17 PM »
how real is the second wave of reinfection and what does that mean for the rest of the year? will we all be at risk again of being reinfected?

Online avromie7

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #62 on: March 20, 2020, 01:07:37 PM »
how real is the second wave of reinfection and what does that mean for the rest of the year? will we all be at risk again of being reinfected?
From what I've seen, there is shaky evidence of reinfection, and it may have been due to faulty test or not completely recovering before the second test is administered.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

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Offline hvaces42

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #64 on: March 21, 2020, 09:44:10 PM »
https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/evidence-over-hysteria-covid-19-1b767def5894
Not one metric is valid if it includes the numbers from China. Can we say that out loud already?
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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #66 on: March 21, 2020, 09:48:28 PM »
Not one metric is valid if it includes the numbers from China. Can we say that out loud already?

or Iran. 100 percent agree.

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Offline hvaces42

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #68 on: March 21, 2020, 10:21:00 PM »
https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1241501750030471175?s=20
Right because all those people would have died anyway in the week since they contracted the virus.
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Offline zevi

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #71 on: March 21, 2020, 10:24:31 PM »
https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1241501750030471175?s=20
ok so deduct the amount of deaths reported per week, and you have an accurate number.
500+ deaths a day, is just crazy.

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #72 on: March 21, 2020, 10:26:27 PM »
Right because all those people would have died anyway in the week since they contracted the virus.


if you consider that NY stats has so far shown that the average age of those contracting the virus is significantly younger, hopefully that would mean a lower death rate.

Also, looking for statistics on percent of tests that result is positives (from a real news source)

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #73 on: March 21, 2020, 10:29:00 PM »

if you consider that NY stats has so far shown that the average age of those contracting the virus is significantly younger, hopefully that would mean a lower death rate.

luckily we had a pretty good heads up. and from the close circles I know, the older ppl are all locked in thier homes.
the older people here are taking things pretty seriously.

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #74 on: March 21, 2020, 10:31:49 PM »
luckily we had a pretty good heads up. and from the close circles I know, the older ppl are all locked in thier homes.
the older people here are taking things pretty seriously.
+1. Have 2 grandparents in upper 80s and neither have left their houses in a week

Offline sguitarist18

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #75 on: March 21, 2020, 10:39:54 PM »
Right because all those people would have died anyway in the week since they contracted the virus.

Someone can have COVID-19 and simultaneously die from an unrelated issue. Many people have COVID-19 with no/minor symptoms, but if something else comes up and they go to the hospital, they're going to test positive.

Best/simplest way to check that (I guess) would be to compare average number of deaths with # of deaths during this time...although that still might not give an accurate picture, because with health system being overwhelmed, more people are likely to die from other causes anyway.

Offline S209

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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #76 on: March 21, 2020, 11:04:06 PM »
Someone can have COVID-19 and simultaneously die from an unrelated issue. Many people have COVID-19 with no/minor symptoms, but if something else comes up and they go to the hospital, they're going to test positive.

Best/simplest way to check that (I guess) would be to compare average number of deaths with # of deaths during this time...although that still might not give an accurate picture, because with health system being overwhelmed, more people are likely to die from other causes anyway.
As of 4 days ago, death rate in Lombardy was up 80%. Keep in mind, the deaths per day doubled twice since then..

https://reason.com/2020/03/17/italian-daily-death-rate-up-20-because-of-coronavirus-lombardy-up-about-80/
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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #77 on: March 21, 2020, 11:35:46 PM »
1.94/gal for gas
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Re: Is there any good news in the fight against COVID-19?
« Reply #78 on: March 21, 2020, 11:39:10 PM »
1.94/gal for gas
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