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« Last edited by Joel on July 19, 2021, 01:49:19 AM »

Author Topic: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread  (Read 243965 times)

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4360 on: July 15, 2021, 07:22:06 PM »
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline AsherO

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4361 on: July 15, 2021, 09:50:29 PM »

This sounds a lot like the beginning of COVID being endemic...

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4362 on: July 17, 2021, 09:00:18 PM »
Judging by the UK & Israel data it seems clear the US will hit 100k cases/day soon. (Your prediction of a fourth wave will materialize just after it seemed to have been off table). I would say very likely 500 deaths/days  and possibly 1000-1500, the main variable is how the new wave will influence vaccination hesitancy.

Israel is doubling every 2-4 days. UK is at 150 cases per million today while the US is at 35. The US has better vaccines but less quarantine adherence and etc

Interestingly, the UK still has less new hospitalizations, likely because the US has larger pockets of unvaccinated people whom are hit harder than the UKs Delta variant hits vaccinated people.

It's easy to blame the politicians, but the real problem is they aren't responding fast enough.
Israel doubling time is now 6 days (1100 cases yesterday) and we are right on track to get to 100k/day in the US.

Luckily the percentage of severely ill is much lower, likely because of higher vaccination rates in more vulnerable populations.

Interestingly, the UK still has less new hospitalizations, likely because the US has larger pockets of unvaccinated people whom are hit harder than the UKs Delta variant hits vaccinated people In the UK

This sounds a lot like the beginning of COVID being endemic...
I still think modified mRNAs with scaled up production and mandatory vaccination will eradicated it by 2022/2023.

In a race between variants and vaccines, we can win if we try hard enough.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4363 on: July 20, 2021, 09:14:25 PM »
New York City will require all workers at city-run health care facilities and hospitals to be vaccinated or take weekly Covid tests, with positivity rates continuing to tick upward as the delta variant spreads, City Hall officials told NBC New York.

The plan is aimed at the one-third of all health care and hospital workers in the city still not vaccinated. An announcement on such a move is expected sometime this week.


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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4364 on: July 20, 2021, 09:19:08 PM »
New York City will require all workers at city-run health care facilities and hospitals to be vaccinated or take weekly Covid tests, with positivity rates continuing to tick upward as the delta variant spreads, City Hall officials told NBC New York.

The plan is aimed at the one-third of all health care and hospital workers in the city still not vaccinated. An announcement on such a move is expected sometime this week.

I would think all healthcare workers would need to take regular Covid tests, regardless of vaccination status, considering the data we have on breakthrough cases.
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Offline avromie7

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4365 on: July 20, 2021, 11:02:02 PM »
I would think all healthcare workers would need to take regular Covid tests, regardless of vaccination status, considering the data we have on breakthrough cases.
It's all about forcing people to vaccinate.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4366 on: July 20, 2021, 11:11:39 PM »
It's all about forcing people to vaccinate.

I get that (not sure I disagree with what they did). I'm more curious about the standard protocol for HC workers now. If the threat of weekly tests is supposed to be an incentive to vaccinate, it makes me wonder how often vaccinated workers are tested.
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4367 on: July 21, 2021, 01:44:04 PM »
For anyone still keeping track of all the variants; Gamma is sweeping Illinois while Lambda has made its way into Texas.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4368 on: July 21, 2021, 07:04:23 PM »

I would take a 3rd Pfizer dose now if I had the opportunity.
« Last Edit: July 21, 2021, 07:08:48 PM by PlatinumGuy »
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4369 on: July 21, 2021, 07:19:17 PM »

I would take a 3rd Pfizer dose now if I had the opportunity.
"Have you gotten your weekly shot?"

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4370 on: July 21, 2021, 07:38:28 PM »

I would take a 3rd Pfizer dose now if I had the opportunity.

What does odds ratio mean? 1.5 > 0.5 means 3x the risk of infection? After only 12 weeks from second dose? If true that’s a really lousy number.

But if they’re comparing vaccinated to other vaccinated, then its relative odds but all still within the 90%+ effective vaccine, which means you’re still very unlikely to get infected, even at the 0.5 ratio.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4371 on: July 22, 2021, 06:07:47 AM »
What does odds ratio mean? 1.5 > 0.5 means 3x the risk of infection? After only 12 weeks from second dose? If true that’s a really lousy number.

But if they’re comparing vaccinated to other vaccinated, then its relative odds but all still within the 90%+ effective vaccine, which means you’re still very unlikely to get infected, even at the 0.5 ratio.

I'm in the UK a lot without being particularly careful. The vaccine is much safer than the salad I'm eating for brunch now, all the FUD is a bunch of nonsense.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline AsherO

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4372 on: July 22, 2021, 02:23:17 PM »
I'm in the UK a lot without being particularly careful. The vaccine is much safer than the salad I'm eating for brunch now, all the FUD is a bunch of nonsense.

I'm not talking about safety at all, I'm talking about efficacy. If that chart is just showing a significant relative efficacy difference between 2-4 and 12 weeks, but in absolute terms the difference is miniscule, then it doesn't necessarily make a practical difference on the policy level.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4373 on: July 22, 2021, 02:48:55 PM »
I'm in the UK a lot without being particularly careful. The vaccine is much safer than the salad I'm eating for brunch now, all the FUD is a bunch of nonsense.

This post leaves me with more questions about your salad than reassurance about the vaccine.
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4374 on: July 22, 2021, 03:15:12 PM »
This post leaves me with more questions about your salad than reassurance about the vaccine.
Don’t mess with the British & their salads. They take it very personally.

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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4375 on: July 22, 2021, 03:22:06 PM »
Don’t mess with the British & their salads. They take it very personally.

The British take everything personally. You shoulda seen their reaction when some Americans dunked their tea in the wrong water...
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Re: COVID-19 (Wuhan Novel Coronavirus) Pandemic Master Thread
« Reply #4376 on: Yesterday at 06:06:14 AM »
UK case count is receding.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים