Haven’t opened this thread in months, and this is the first post I see. Surprising because all 4 states you mentioned ended up being at the forefront of the summer wave.
Which also makes a lot of sense in the current context. Those states all have great weather during later winter and early spring, so people spend more time outdoors. When the intense heat came, accompanied in FL and TX by a solid amount of rain, people go indoors where the risk of spread is higher. Add to that the false sense of security I was talking about because the numbers were initially so low, and you have a perfect storm for a second wave. In this case, I think it's just a spike in the first wave, but if you extrapolate the conditions onto the NY metro area, as well as MI, IL, PA, and other places which were hit harder in March and April, it makes you wonder what those places will look like when the weather cools, the rains come, and people are forced back indoors come fall and winter.