The original argument was that we get a huge spike, overwhelm the healthcare system and run out of ventilators resulting in hundreds of thousands of deaths. Well in NYC just about everyone for whom doctors wanted a ventilator, got a ventilator. And 88% of those put on the ventilators died. Yet the fatality rate was nowhere near the huge numbers they were throwing out. So that argument doesn’t really hold water.
I didnt know much about ventilator use and treatment at the beginning.
They treated patients as they knew how to. Would the numbers be lower with better treatment? Absolutely.
Now, we still don't know what will happen. Hence the endless discussion.
But the original numbers reflected the data they had then which includes limited knowledge of the virus
Arguing against the projected numbers as a way of saying we over reacted is merely guesswork.
The concern was an NYC like outbreak all over the country.
California saved this with LA.