Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?

[Yard sale]

2256. Another 17 positives since yesterday. Consistent rolling average of new daily #’s in the teens for around 2 weeks now in Lakewood .

2263. 7 additional positives.

[Yard sale]

2263. 7 additional positives.

2276. 13 positives in Lakewood since yesterday.

[YitzyS]

At 2:34:28 Rabbi Rotberg says he knows 2 families that are sick with covid for the first time

[shulemw]

Sick or tested positive?

[S209]

Sick or tested positive?

Watch. He says both families have just tested positive for the first time and their whole families are sick.

[junion]

Sick or tested positive?

He doesnt say where, though

[S209]

He doesnt say where, though

True, I noticed that. He is a Rav in Toms River but the families could be in LA or Detroit honestly. Would be a bit disingenuous if they’re not in his neighborhood though because he was addressing his Shul.

[aygart]

True, I noticed that. He is a Rav in Toms River but the families could be in LA or Detroit honestly. Would be a bit disingenuous if they’re not in his neighborhood though because he was addressing his Shul.

He is a Rov for Lakewood Hatzolah as well. So i would presume it is Lakewood area but may not be his shul.

[S209]

He is a Rov for Lakewood Hatzolah as well. So i would presume it is Lakewood area but may not be his shul.

That broadens the horizons on how he may know of these people (maybe through Hatzalah calls) although he calls them friends.

[Euclid]

Dr. Lempel (Lakewood) said on Monday that he's still getting Covid-19 patients although no new hospitalizations.

I'm wondering if SD is impacting viral loads so most new cases are low viral loads and therefore very low hospitalization rate. Can't think of another reason why the rate is so low.

[Yard sale]

Rabbi Rottbergs circle extends beyond Toms River/Lakewood so not much of a datapoint without location of the family, did they observe a strict quarantine, were they recently in a location where the virus is still ongoing etc.

The Lakewood medical practitioners have recently started to develop very decent coordination and sharing of info so if there would be an upswing in cases it should be known fairly quickly....

[ari3]

Dr. Lempel (Lakewood) said on Monday that he's still getting Covid-19 patients although no new hospitalizations.

I'm wondering if SD is impacting viral loads so most new cases are low viral loads and therefore very low hospitalization rate. Can't think of another reason why the rate is so low.

May also be because high risk individuals are being very cautious so the new cases would be younger low risk people

[Yard sale]

High risk individuals are generally being more cautious along with the fact that we continue to see under 20 new positive tests daily. The percent of positives in the general population that are hospitalized is minuscule so one would not expect to see significant hospitalizations unless new numbers increase dramatically.

[YitzyS]

Dr. Lempel (Lakewood) said on Monday that he's still getting Covid-19 patients although no new hospitalizations.

I'm wondering if SD is impacting viral loads so most new cases are low viral loads and therefore very low hospitalization rate. Can't think of another reason why the rate is so low.

Viruses often mutate. It could be that it is growing weaker with the passage of time.

[S209]

High risk individuals are generally being more cautious along with the fact that we continue to see under 20 new positive tests daily. The percent of positives in the general population that are hospitalized is minuscule so one would not expect to see significant hospitalizations unless new numbers increase dramatically.

Hospitalization rates in symptomatic patients of all ages are relatively high, if there is a steady flow to doctors of new cases (that would mean symptomatic) we should be seeing some hospitalizations.

Viruses often mutate. It could be that it is growing weaker with the passage of time.

I want to believe this is the case.

[Yard sale]

Hospitalization rates in symptomatic patients of all ages are relatively high, if there is a steady flow to doctors of new cases (that would mean symptomatic) we should be seeing some hospitalizations.I want to believe this is the case.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html
Symptomatic hospitalizations are estimated to be around .034 for all ages (take CDC data for what it’s worth). Take out the long term care population, and the vulnerable who are still strictly quarantining and it’s probably somewhere around .01- .02
You would have to see hundreds of symptomatic patients to expect meaningful hospitalization numbers.

[PlatinumGuy]

Viruses often mutate. It could be that it is growing weaker with the passage of time.

New strains are being constantly monitored and published, and there is zero evidence of that. https://nextstrain.org

Lower hospitalization rate is solely because of higher testing rates, diluting the percentage of severe symptoms.

[Afrages6]

New strains are being constantly monitored and published, and there is zero evidence of that. https://nextstrain.org

Lower hospitalization rate is solely because of higher testing rates, diluting the percentage of severe symptoms.

Also because of early intervention and monitoring of O/Sat levels. If it gets too low doctors will put them on oxygen compressors.

Getting it now is much different then people who were getting it two months ago.

[Yard sale]

[aygart]

Shocked I tell you.