Poll

Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach (NEW case)?

Don't know
I know in Tri-State area
I know other location in us
I know out of the US

Author Topic: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?  (Read 26754 times)

Offline good sam

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Jun 2011
  • Posts: 3110
  • Total likes: 378
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 10
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #255 on: July 01, 2020, 08:32:21 PM »
That's a lot of yellow and light orange. When will we start talking precautions? When it's dark orange? Red?
If you don't care why would you comment?
HT: DMYD

Online Euclid

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Jun 2010
  • Posts: 883
  • Total likes: 424
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 1
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #256 on: July 01, 2020, 08:34:31 PM »

I suspect that this is the same origin as this
If it is then I know that the entire family quarantined in FL for 2 weeks before coming. This would mean that it was contracted either in transit or after arriving in Lakewood.
Good to hear that they were being responsible, but it's still possible that the 2 week FL quarantine wasn't sealed off enough.

Online Yard sale

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Jun 2018
  • Posts: 860
  • Total likes: 439
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #257 on: July 01, 2020, 08:51:10 PM »
This rebbi is family with my married daughter who is now quarantining due to exposure to the same person, so due to my personal knowledge I will temporarily step out of my DDF quarantine and give over some information here.

I suspect that this is the same origin as this
If it is then I know that the entire family quarantined in FL for 2 weeks before coming. This would mean that it was contracted either in transit or after arriving in Lakewood.
If they quarantined in Florida like most people quarantined in Lakewood thatís not saying much. What are the odds that they contacted it in Lakewood rather than catching it in Florida despite the quarantine, or in the airport? I imagine minuscule.

Online PlatinumGuy

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Apr 2011
  • Posts: 10849
  • Total likes: 312
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 8
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #258 on: July 01, 2020, 08:54:32 PM »
I think pretty much all of the staff at MCO had Corona, but also people tend to overestimate their version of lockdown. Additionally there are documented cases of people who developed symptoms only after 14 days
Purpose > Pleasure

Online Yard sale

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Jun 2018
  • Posts: 860
  • Total likes: 439
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #259 on: July 01, 2020, 08:56:41 PM »
That's a lot of yellow and light orange. When will we start talking precautions? When it's dark orange? Red?
When the orange and red amounts to meaningful numbers not just more or less than before

Offline good sam

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Jun 2011
  • Posts: 3110
  • Total likes: 378
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 10
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #260 on: July 01, 2020, 08:58:13 PM »
When the orange and red amounts to meaningful numbers not just more or less than before
In other words, too late.
If you don't care why would you comment?
HT: DMYD

Online YitzyS

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jan 2015
  • Posts: 1908
  • Total likes: 2015
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 8
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: Lakewood, NJ
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #261 on: July 01, 2020, 09:01:29 PM »
If Rabbi Yisroel Reisman would be a rov in Lakewood and would hear about an uptick, he would demand that everyone in his shul start wearing masks and maintaining a reasonable distance.

You are naive if you think that every Lakewood rov is like him, but you are foolish if you think that there are no Lakewood rabbonim like him.

Speak to your rov. He may not do anything. But if he does, you can save lives. It seems almost certain.
Is there a clever way to solicit likes without sounding like a classless wannabee?

Online Euclid

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Jun 2010
  • Posts: 883
  • Total likes: 424
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 1
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #262 on: July 01, 2020, 09:06:23 PM »
If Rabbi Yisroel Reisman would be a rov in Lakewood and would hear about an uptick, he would demand that everyone in his shul start wearing masks and maintaining a reasonable distance.

You are naive if you think that every Lakewood rov is like him, but you are foolish if you think that there are no Lakewood rabbonim like him.

Speak to your rov. He may not do anything. But if he does, you can save lives. It seems almost certain.
R' Uren Reich was very vocal first time around...someone should talk to him.

Online Yard sale

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Jun 2018
  • Posts: 860
  • Total likes: 439
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #263 on: July 01, 2020, 09:22:04 PM »
In other words, too late.
The numbers have to be meaningfu to be of any use. Dutchess county is orange for example . They have 7 positives up from a just under that a few days ago. Makes for a pretty color but is meaningless. Real data is test numbers, percent positives, and random antibody sampling that show significant trends.

Hereís the accompanying chart in that article which is a far more accurate picture
« Last Edit: July 01, 2020, 09:27:08 PM by Yard sale »

Online yuneeq

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jan 2013
  • Posts: 6567
  • Total likes: 761
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 10
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: NJ
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #264 on: July 01, 2020, 09:36:00 PM »
That's a lot of yellow and light orange. When will we start talking precautions? When it's dark orange? Red?

I've been following the daily numbers for NY/NJ, and these graphics don't reflect reality.
The graph is showing COVID cases are increasing almost in every county, while new cases have been decreasing or flat for more than 2 months across the board.

Offline good sam

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Jun 2011
  • Posts: 3110
  • Total likes: 378
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 10
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #265 on: July 01, 2020, 09:36:41 PM »
I've been following the daily numbers for NY/NJ, and these graphics don't reflect reality.
The graph is showing COVID cases are increasing almost in every county, while new cases have been decreasing or flat for more than 2 months across the board.
What's the pshat?
If you don't care why would you comment?
HT: DMYD

Online yuneeq

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jan 2013
  • Posts: 6567
  • Total likes: 761
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 10
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Location: NJ
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #266 on: July 01, 2020, 09:41:46 PM »
What's the pshat?

I have no idea as I didn't see the source, but I would guess they set illogical criteria behind each color.

Online Yard sale

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Jun 2018
  • Posts: 860
  • Total likes: 439
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #267 on: July 01, 2020, 09:43:10 PM »
What's the pshat?
The bar charts are showing absolute number changes so an increase of 2 in Dutchess looks to be equal to a decrease of 100 in NYC

Offline good sam

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Jun 2011
  • Posts: 3110
  • Total likes: 378
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 10
    • View Profile
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #268 on: July 01, 2020, 09:44:03 PM »
The bar charts are showing absolute number changes so an increase of 2 in Dutchess looks to be equal to a decrease of 100 in NYC
That doesn't explain what yuneeq did about cases going down.
If you don't care why would you comment?
HT: DMYD

Offline S209

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Jun 2016
  • Posts: 3925
  • Total likes: 948
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
    • Gowns By Shevy
  • Location: Lakewood, NJ
  • Programs: Marriott Gold, SPG Gold, Ritz Carlton Gold, *G, Hyatt Explorist, Hertz PC, National EE, Rock Royalty Wild Card, Wyndham Diamond, MLife Gold, Total Rewards Diamond, Hilton Diamond, Uber VIP, IHG Platinum Elite, DDF Prez Platinum Elite, AmEx Platinum
Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #269 on: July 01, 2020, 09:59:38 PM »
That doesn't explain what yuneeq did about cases going down.
It does. Total NY can be going down even if most counties are going up, because NYC has had 10x more cases than the next. So even if NYC went down by 100 while other places ticked up by 5-10 apiece, total numbers would still be going down.
Gowns By Shevy
732-806-1136
info@gownsbyshevy.com