Poll

Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach (NEW case)?

Don't know
I know in Tri-State area
I know other location in us
I know out of the US

Author Topic: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?  (Read 102469 times)

Online S209

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #80 on: May 16, 2020, 09:42:10 PM »
2099. 5 new positives reported since Friday
And anecdotally, more people are out and about for the last couple of weeks so that’s an encouraging sign
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Offline sams

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #81 on: May 16, 2020, 09:43:03 PM »
Are there a lot of new hospitalizations ?
The “new” cases can be ppl still testing positive after a few months

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #82 on: May 16, 2020, 09:46:34 PM »
Are there a lot of new hospitalizations ?
The “new” cases can be ppl still testing positive after a few months
Which is good because there’s no uptick in cases, but concerning because they may still be infectious
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Offline avromie7

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #83 on: May 16, 2020, 09:51:37 PM »
Which is good because there’s no uptick in cases, but concerning because they may still be infectious
If most people who had it months ago were really still infectious I don't think we'd be seeing little to no real new cases.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline sams

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #84 on: May 16, 2020, 09:54:27 PM »
If most people who had it months ago were really still infectious I don't think we'd be seeing little to no real new cases.
Good point even though we all know ppl who tested positive months later

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #85 on: May 16, 2020, 09:56:08 PM »
If most people who had it months ago were really still infectious I don't think we'd be seeing little to no real new cases.
Good point
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Offline 4yourinfo

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #86 on: May 17, 2020, 12:22:52 PM »
Just tested positive for virus and Antibodies😨 had mild symptoms a week after Purim... Still have a burning sensation in the throat and nose - don't know if it's allergies or something else...

Offline avromie7

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #87 on: May 17, 2020, 12:27:38 PM »
Just tested positive for virus and Antibodies😨 had mild symptoms a week after Purim... Still have a burning sensation in the throat and nose - don't know if it's allergies or something else...
Is it consistent with your normal seasonal allregies?
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #88 on: May 17, 2020, 12:30:56 PM »
Is it consistent with your normal seasonal allregies?
No - it could be stressed related - as soon as I found out positive seemed to get worse...

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #89 on: May 17, 2020, 01:42:15 PM »
2099. 5 new positives reported since Friday
2138. 39 additional. Maybe uneven reporting? Yesterday and today average out to 22 daily....

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #90 on: May 17, 2020, 01:43:33 PM »
2138. 39 additional. Maybe uneven reporting? Yesterday and today average out to 22 daily....
I’ve heard that weekend reporting dips then rises for lack of staff, but this seems to be the inverse. I’m not going to voice the other obvious tzad.
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Offline avromie7

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #91 on: May 17, 2020, 01:54:26 PM »
I’ve heard that weekend reporting dips then rises for lack of staff, but this seems to be the inverse. I’m not going to voice the other obvious tzad.
You're not taking the delay between testing and reporting in to account. My parents got tested last week and were told it takes 4-5 business days for results.
The only number that should matter when it comes to testing is the positive rate.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #92 on: May 18, 2020, 05:30:57 PM »
2138. 39 additional. Maybe uneven reporting? Yesterday and today average out to 22 daily....

2151 positives in Lakewood. 13 additional positives since yesterday.

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #93 on: May 19, 2020, 02:05:27 PM »
2151 positives in Lakewood. 13 additional positives since yesterday.
2164. Steady as she goes with 13 cases since yesterday.

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #94 on: May 20, 2020, 05:30:14 PM »
2164. Steady as she goes with 13 cases since yesterday.
2194. Additional 30 cases since yesterday

Offline Jellybelly

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #95 on: May 20, 2020, 05:49:28 PM »
2194. Additional 30 cases since yesterday
But I heard lkwd hatzalah hasn’t had any calls this week. Does that mean they’re not serious cases? Or people are just testing positive now but had it weeks ago

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #96 on: May 20, 2020, 06:40:34 PM »
But I heard lkwd hatzalah hasn’t had any calls this week. Does that mean they’re not serious cases? Or people are just testing positive now but had it weeks ago
It can mean many things. There are non Jews in Lakewood too, these can be people still testing positive from weeks ago, or these can be tests that are coming back from earlier, to name a few.

The worst case would be if there are people testing positive but hospitalizations haven’t started yet (that indicator lags behind positive testing when testing is freely available). Please don’t attack me for voicing that possibility. If it wasn’t a possibility we wouldn’t have any restrictions in place anymore.
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Offline Jellybelly

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #97 on: May 20, 2020, 07:00:38 PM »
It can mean many things. There are non Jews in Lakewood too, these can be people still testing positive from weeks ago, or these can be tests that are coming back from earlier, to name a few.

The worst case would be if there are people testing positive but hospitalizations haven’t started yet (that indicator lags behind positive testing when testing is freely available). Please don’t attack me for voicing that possibility. If it wasn’t a possibility we wouldn’t have any restrictions in place anymore.
I’m not so confident that that last line Is true unfortunately
« Last Edit: May 20, 2020, 07:05:39 PM by Jellybelly »

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #98 on: May 20, 2020, 07:03:52 PM »
It can mean many things. There are non Jews in Lakewood too, these can be people still testing positive from weeks ago, or these can be tests that are coming back from earlier, to name a few.

The worst case would be if there are people testing positive but hospitalizations haven’t started yet (that indicator lags behind positive testing when testing is freely available). Please don’t attack me for voicing that possibility. If it wasn’t a possibility we wouldn’t have any restrictions in place anymore.

If we had reliable data showing an increase relative to testing (percent positive) that would be something to look for. As of now it’s reasonable to assume that the numbers are simply related to availability/ incentivization of tests, and are actually holding steadily low on a rolling average basis,  but as always keep an eye on the trends and look out for anomalies or even anecdotal indicators which can often be leading indicators long before it shows up in the data. Nothing would indicate such right now.

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Re: Do you know someone who has had Coronavirus after Pesach?
« Reply #99 on: May 20, 2020, 07:16:09 PM »
It's also possible that people are getting tested at the onset of symptoms instead of waiting until they need to call Hatzalah.
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