Author Topic: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?  (Read 53510 times)

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 16691
  • Total likes: 7496
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #400 on: August 18, 2020, 04:22:38 PM »
I think there is a good chance that by the time anyone realized that such a move would do anything it was too late. Which date do you think it should have been done?
Same time as China. Do you feel the China move was to late?
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline aygart

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: May 2008
  • Posts: 18460
  • Total likes: 14637
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 14
    • View Profile
    • Lower Watt Energy Brokers
  • Programs: www.lowerwatt.com
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #401 on: August 18, 2020, 04:30:56 PM »
Same time as China. Do you feel the China move was to late?
On the same day that Italy reported its first case? Yes I think that was too late.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5128
  • Total likes: 6394
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #402 on: August 18, 2020, 04:31:33 PM »
I think there is a good chance that by the time anyone realized that such a move would do anything it was too late. Which date do you think it should have been done?

Too late for what? I don't think we could have prevented the virus from reaching the US. I think that we could have mitigated the initial severity by decreasing its prevalence, even a little. If we had stopped flights from Europe at the end of Feb or even the beginning of Mar, I think the needle may have moved enough to make a difference. Again, I don't see the point in guessing what actions back then would have changed the outcome, except in the context of learning from mistakes in order to guide future plans.
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline aygart

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: May 2008
  • Posts: 18460
  • Total likes: 14637
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 14
    • View Profile
    • Lower Watt Energy Brokers
  • Programs: www.lowerwatt.com
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #403 on: August 18, 2020, 04:46:57 PM »
Too late for what? I don't think we could have prevented the virus from reaching the US. I think that we could have mitigated the initial severity by decreasing its prevalence, even a little. If we had stopped flights from Europe at the end of Feb or even the beginning of Mar, I think the needle may have moved enough to make a difference. Again, I don't see the point in guessing what actions back then would have changed the outcome, except in the context of learning from mistakes in order to guide future plans.
maybe, but my feeling is that maybe around Feb 20 was a reasonable time to think that it should have closed based on what was known at the time and that maybe right then would have helped a bit but even a week later would make a minimal difference if any.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5128
  • Total likes: 6394
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #404 on: August 18, 2020, 05:00:53 PM »
maybe, but my feeling is that maybe around Feb 20 was a reasonable time to think that it should have closed based on what was known at the time and that maybe right then would have helped a bit but even a week later would make a minimal difference if any.

Given the Rt, I think preventing infected people coming from Europe even as last as mid-March could have made a dent in NY hospitalizations in late March and through April.
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline CountValentine

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Mar 2013
  • Posts: 16691
  • Total likes: 7496
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips -1
  • Gender: Female
    • View Profile
  • Location: Poland - Exiled
  • Programs: DAOTYA, DDF Level 3, 5K Lounge
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #405 on: August 18, 2020, 05:04:30 PM »
maybe, but my feeling is that maybe around Feb 20 was a reasonable time to think that it should have closed based on what was known at the time and that maybe right then would have helped a bit but even a week later would make a minimal difference if any.
Also closing China and not Europe gave the appearance of (insert your word).
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline avromie7

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Feb 2014
  • Posts: 8304
  • Total likes: 2747
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
    • View Profile
  • Location: Lakewood
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #406 on: August 18, 2020, 05:31:47 PM »
Also closing China and not Europe gave the appearance of (insert your word).
Why? China was the hotspot. Just like FL required quarantine from NY/NJ but not the rest of the country.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline how

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2010
  • Posts: 1878
  • Total likes: 62
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
    • View Profile
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #407 on: August 23, 2020, 02:51:43 PM »
How is that NYS always has less than 1% positive rate? They are running 50k tests on healthcare workers that will automatically make the state's positive number look good.

Offline Ergel

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2010
  • Posts: 13070
  • Total likes: 905
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 3
    • View Profile
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #408 on: August 23, 2020, 02:55:27 PM »
How is that NYS always has less than 1% positive rate? They are running 50k tests on healthcare workers that will automatically make the state's positive number look good.
Honestly, I am not a Covid denier, by any stretch. But you guys have to stop. The fear mongering gives credence to the covidiots
Life isn't about checking the boxes. Nobody cares.

Offline yaakov35

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Silver Elite
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jun 2019
  • Posts: 719
  • Total likes: 162
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
  • Location: US
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #409 on: August 23, 2020, 03:03:58 PM »
Honestly, I am not a Covid denier, by any stretch. But you guys have to stop. The fear mongering gives credence to the covidiots
I don't think anyone who lives in any frum community that was hit by covid denies it at all by any stretch. The fear mongering never helps anything.

Offline how

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2010
  • Posts: 1878
  • Total likes: 62
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
    • View Profile
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #410 on: August 23, 2020, 03:12:39 PM »
Honestly, I am not a Covid denier, by any stretch. But you guys have to stop. The fear mongering gives credence to the covidiots
Huh fear-mongering? I am pointing out that NY is at an unfair advantage due to their mandate that all healthcare workers constantly test

Offline aygart

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: May 2008
  • Posts: 18460
  • Total likes: 14637
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 14
    • View Profile
    • Lower Watt Energy Brokers
  • Programs: www.lowerwatt.com
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #411 on: August 23, 2020, 07:28:04 PM »
Huh fear-mongering? I am pointing out that NY is at an unfair advantage due to their mandate that all healthcare workers constantly test
Look at cases per 100k population not positivity rate.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5128
  • Total likes: 6394
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #412 on: August 23, 2020, 08:06:16 PM »
Look at cases per 100k population not positivity rate.

I think that each has value. In FL, we look at 2 different positivity rates: total test positivity, and new person tested positivity. This helps you see how many tests are from repeat testers like healthcare workers. Additionally, total tests administered helps put those numbers into perspective. All of that, in conjunction with the total cases per 100k population, will give you part of a picture. The rest is guesswork.
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline how

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2010
  • Posts: 1878
  • Total likes: 62
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
    • View Profile
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #413 on: August 23, 2020, 08:22:52 PM »
Look at cases per 100k population not positivity rate.
Coumo daily numbers are percent of those tested

Offline Jerseysteve

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite
  • ****
  • Join Date: Sep 2008
  • Posts: 394
  • Total likes: 74
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile

Offline sguitarist18

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jul 2011
  • Posts: 1838
  • Total likes: 895
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
    • View Profile
  • Location: NY
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #415 on: September 01, 2020, 09:42:58 PM »
How is that NYS always has less than 1% positive rate? They are running 50k tests on healthcare workers that will automatically make the state's positive number look good.

FYI I'd say well over 50k Nursing Home staff tests per week. Probably somewhere in the 80k range.

Offline how

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2010
  • Posts: 1878
  • Total likes: 62
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
    • View Profile
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #416 on: September 01, 2020, 09:51:46 PM »
FYI I'd say well over 50k Nursing Home staff tests per week. Probably somewhere in the 80k range.
there are around 160k nursing home workers in the state

Offline Kobe Bryant

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Jan 2017
  • Posts: 3981
  • Total likes: 2288
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 17
    • View Profile
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #417 on: September 03, 2020, 04:20:31 PM »


Offline Jerseysteve

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite
  • ****
  • Join Date: Sep 2008
  • Posts: 394
  • Total likes: 74
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile

Offline yungermanchik

  • Dansdeals Presidential Platinum Elite
  • ********
  • Join Date: Nov 2018
  • Posts: 2737
  • Total likes: 2091
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: Previous Signatures: If you chapped hana'ah from a post, like it; You think you know the answers and things are the way they seem.. it just ain't so -The Rebbe from Lublin-
Re: Will the truth come out how NYC & NYS made blunder after blunder?
« Reply #419 on: September 09, 2020, 08:17:27 PM »
https://twitter.com/MaxRose4NY/status/1303800787617939456
While he is right about this, Max Rose is a complete fraud. He pretends to be a moderate around election time to win a largely conservative district, when in fact he is a left-wing-kook.
Small people talk about other people.
Average people talk about things
BIG PEOPLE TALK ABOUT IDEAS.