Author Topic: Is there a second wave?  (Read 100037 times)

Offline aygart

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #660 on: July 27, 2020, 04:18:47 PM »
Took much longer for cases to get serious than the first wave though.
When do you consider the first wave to have started?
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Offline jose34

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #661 on: July 27, 2020, 06:13:23 PM »
When do you consider the first wave to have started?
Right after Purim. By Pesach things were crazy but after that things started getting in control.

The in-between came a little after Shavous.

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #662 on: July 27, 2020, 06:20:01 PM »
Right after Purim. By Pesach things were crazy but after that things started getting in control.

The in-between came a little after Shavous.

The peak was between Purim and Pesach. It started way before then.
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Offline yuneeq

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #663 on: July 29, 2020, 02:33:39 PM »
Early signs of a new wave in NJ? New cases have more than doubled over the last 5 days.



Compared to NY which is still trending down.


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Offline Ergel

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #664 on: July 29, 2020, 02:47:11 PM »
I just don't get how NY has been so static at 6-800 cases a day for so long
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Offline Yard sale

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #665 on: July 29, 2020, 04:53:25 PM »
Early signs of a new wave in NJ? New cases have more than doubled over the last 5 days.



Compared to NY which is still trending down.


Something to keep an eye on. Keep in mind that daily tests have gone up and the positivity rate has not budged that much so likely some increase, but the doubled numbers should be taken in context.

Offline yuneeq

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #666 on: July 30, 2020, 12:45:31 AM »
Something to keep an eye on. Keep in mind that daily tests have gone up and the positivity rate has not budged that much so likely some increase, but the doubled numbers should be taken in context.

That's not what I'm seeing on a couple sites. Covidtracking shows tests have gone down recently before going back to normal the last couple days. And NJ state data is showing down trends as well. https://www.state.nj.us/health/cd/documents/topics/NCOV/COVID_Confirmed_Case_Summary.pdf

2 things are clear from either source. The testing rate hasn't doubled and testing is not at its peak.






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Offline Moshe123

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #667 on: July 30, 2020, 07:34:18 AM »
My neighbor in shul had Corona with everyone 4.5 months ago and had tested positive at the time.
Last week he had surgery for something and needed to get tested beforehand. Test was positive... It's obviously remnants and I think chances are that a big part of the positives in the Tristate area are of similar nature.

Offline yuneeq

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #668 on: July 30, 2020, 07:10:35 PM »
Early signs of a new wave in NJ? New cases have more than doubled over the last 5 days.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/30/nyregion/coronavirus-cases-nj.html
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Offline Euclid

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Is there a second wave?
« Reply #669 on: July 31, 2020, 01:22:53 PM »
Early signs of a new wave in NJ? New cases have more than doubled over the last 5 days.



Compared to NY which is still trending down.


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« Last Edit: July 31, 2020, 01:59:24 PM by Euclid »

Offline Euclid

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Offline avromie7

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #671 on: August 03, 2020, 09:28:32 AM »
https://twitter.com/OneJerseySchorr/status/1290026499903328257
You can't ignore the fact that there were thousands of additional tests administered. I would love to see the positivity rate, it's probably lower than it's been recently.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline aygart

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #672 on: August 03, 2020, 09:31:39 AM »
You can't ignore the fact that there were thousands of additional tests administered. I would love to see the positivity rate, it's probably lower than it's been recently.

Almost all needed results before the middle of last week.
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Offline Ergel

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #674 on: September 17, 2020, 01:59:56 PM »
Rachmana Litzlan
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Offline Yard sale

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #675 on: September 17, 2020, 04:17:14 PM »

Offline Lurker

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #676 on: September 17, 2020, 04:20:01 PM »
I was beginning to think there was a second wave until the WHO claimed there was.

Generally the WHO gets things late, not completely wrong.
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Offline Yard sale

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #677 on: September 17, 2020, 04:30:06 PM »
Generally the WHO gets things late, not completely wrong.
Tip of the iceberg
https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1217043229427761152?s=20

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #678 on: September 17, 2020, 05:47:08 PM »
Tip of the iceberg
https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1217043229427761152?s=20

This is one of those things I'd consider late. They relied on the Chinese, and then changed (too late) once they investigated for themselves.

Just to clarify: I've been on record here as not being a fan of the WHO. I'm still not a fan. But if it's independently verifiable, it's not wrong just because they said it, too.
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Offline yuneeq

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Re: Is there a second wave?
« Reply #679 on: September 17, 2020, 08:53:19 PM »
Generally the WHO gets things late, not completely wrong.

I’d say both are about even
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