Author Topic: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?  (Read 2771 times)

Online CountValentine

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Lets try and not turn this into the blame game or politics. We have enough threads for that. If you don't have the will power probably best you don't post.

One of the first major things that was done was to stop most flights from China.
This was the logical and common sense thing to do.
What we didn't know at the time is that it already spread to Europe. Stopping those flights would have had a much bigger impact.

Next came social distancing and lockdowns.
Again common sense and logical things to do.
Are missing something that would have helped us more?
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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2020, 11:59:39 AM »
One of the first major things that was done was to stop most flights from China.
This was the logical and common sense thing to do.
What we didn't know at the time is that it already spread to Europe. Stopping those flights would have had a much bigger impact.
Not sure it would have been bigger since it could have possibly been much worse had it also been coming in from China.
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Offline S209

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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #2 on: May 11, 2020, 12:02:55 PM »
Lets try and not turn this into the blame game or politics. We have enough threads for that. If you don't have the will power probably best you don't post.

One of the first major things that was done was to stop most flights from China.
This was the logical and common sense thing to do.
What we didn't know at the time is that it already spread to Europe. Stopping those flights would have had a much bigger impact.

Next came social distancing and lockdowns.
Again common sense and logical things to do.
Are missing something that would have helped us more?
How do you know Europe had a bigger impact than China would have had?
Quote from: YitzyS
Quotes in a signature is annoying, as it comes across as an independent post.

Offline Afrages6

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Lets try and not turn this into the blame game or politics. We have enough threads for that. If you don't have the will power probably best you don't post.

One of the first major things that was done was to stop most flights from China.
This was the logical and common sense thing to do.
What we didn't know at the time is that it already spread to Europe. Stopping those flights would have had a much bigger impact.

Next came social distancing and lockdowns.
Again common sense and logical things to do.
Are missing something that would have helped us more?
The only thing that would’ve changed anything would’ve been closing borders and a complete lockdown enforced at the end of February. When the infection rate was still low enough to be able to institute a strict contact tracing program. After that the cat was out of the bag and our only choice was mitigation.

Though anyone calling for that in February would’ve been called crazy so therefore obviously you can’t really blame anyone 

Offline S209

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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #4 on: May 11, 2020, 12:06:28 PM »
Lets try and not turn this into the blame game or politics. We have enough threads for that. If you don't have the will power probably best you don't post.

One of the first major things that was done was to stop most flights from China.
This was the logical and common sense thing to do.
What we didn't know at the time is that it already spread to Europe. Stopping those flights would have had a much bigger impact.

Next came social distancing and lockdowns.
Again common sense and logical things to do.
Are missing something that would have helped us more?
Masks?
Quote from: YitzyS
Quotes in a signature is annoying, as it comes across as an independent post.

Online aygart

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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #5 on: May 11, 2020, 12:08:47 PM »
The only thing that would’ve changed anything would’ve been closing borders and a complete lockdown enforced at the end of February. When the infection rate was still low enough to be able to institute a strict contact tracing program. After that the cat was out of the bag and our only choice was mitigation.

Though anyone calling for that in February would’ve been called crazy so therefore obviously you can’t really blame anyone 

It could have been done the same way it was done in Israel. That would have required influencing the public opinion and educating them about the risks.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline Mordyk

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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #6 on: May 11, 2020, 12:12:10 PM »
Hindsight is 2020.

if drastic actions were taken right away and the death toll would be very low, people would say we overreacted.

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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #7 on: May 11, 2020, 12:13:03 PM »
Hindsight is 2020.

Which is why it is a great tool to use in order to know what can be improved for the future.
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Offline Afrages6

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It could have been done the same way it was done in Israel. That would have required influencing the public opinion and educating them about the risks.
Israel has the huge advantage of being one centralized government as well as only having one real entry point.

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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #9 on: May 11, 2020, 12:15:40 PM »
Israel has the huge advantage of being one centralized government as well as only having one real entry point.
Yes, but ports of entry are federally controlled.
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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #10 on: May 11, 2020, 12:28:28 PM »
Not sure it would have been bigger since it could have possibly been much worse had it also been coming in from China.
How do you know Europe had a bigger impact than China would have had?
I am not sure. Reports are now leaning that NYC was infected with the European strain.
The point is we need to open ours eyes to this just as we must open are eyes to shutdown was not the correct course. 
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Offline mme

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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #11 on: May 11, 2020, 12:30:37 PM »
Yes, but ports of entry are federally controlled.
Israel was doing contact tracing very strongly that helped a lot

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The only thing that would’ve changed anything would’ve been closing borders and a complete lockdown enforced at the end of February. When the infection rate was still low enough to be able to institute a strict contact tracing program. After that the cat was out of the bag and our only choice was mitigation.

Though anyone calling for that in February would’ve been called crazy so therefore obviously you can’t really blame anyone
Lets leave blame out of this.  ;)
Locking down ALL borders is an idea but would that have worked when the virus was already here?
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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #13 on: May 11, 2020, 12:48:38 PM »
I am not sure. Reports are now leaning that NYC was infected with the European strain.
The point is we need to open ours eyes to this just as we must open are eyes to shutdown was not the correct course. 
How does that change anything? What would have been had we been infected from BOTH?

Also, I have seen one or two places which discussed there being a different strain coming in from Europe, but the vast majority of research seems to be pointing to there being only one strain.
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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #14 on: May 11, 2020, 01:00:53 PM »
Also, I have seen one or two places which discussed there being a different strain coming in from Europe, but the vast majority of research seems to be pointing to there being only one strain.
That is because what I/we call a different strain. I guess a better word is a mutation. They seem to agree on that. That is how they can tell if it came from Europe or China (NYC infections).
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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #15 on: May 11, 2020, 01:06:23 PM »
That is because what I/we call a different strain. I guess a better word is a mutation. They seem to agree on that. That is how they can tell if it came from Europe or China (NYC infections).

What I have seen shows otherwise. Can you point me to the information you are basing this on?
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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #18 on: May 11, 2020, 01:29:08 PM »
What I have seen shows otherwise. Can you point me to the information you are basing this on?
They absolutely have ways of differentiating by looking sequencing the genes of the virus:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-24/how-did-covid-19-spread-viral-genetics-leave-trail-of-clues

Whether the different mutations have yielded substantially unique strains is a separate question, and the answer appears to be no thus far.

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Re: Has our response been "can't see the forest for the trees"?
« Reply #19 on: May 11, 2020, 01:46:12 PM »
GIYF
https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coronavirus/study-finds-most-cases-of-covid-19-in-nyc-came-from-europe-other-places-in-us/2368010/
This looks to all be coming from one source and that source seems to be conflicting with other sources.
ETA this is explained by this
They absolutely have ways of differentiating by looking sequencing the genes of the virus:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-24/how-did-covid-19-spread-viral-genetics-leave-trail-of-clues

Whether the different mutations have yielded substantially unique strains is a separate question, and the answer appears to be no thus far.
Feelings don't care about your facts