Author Topic: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel  (Read 299992 times)

Offline Moshe123

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2680 on: August 09, 2021, 12:58:22 PM »
2-3 weeks to hospital system collapse. It's already too late to do anything about it.

Expecting the third dose to seriously start kicking in.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2681 on: August 09, 2021, 01:02:58 PM »
Expecting the third dose to seriously start kicking in.
The severe cases are mostly coming from those who didn't even get the first dose. Eventually the government will probably mandate it or come close to it, but it's too late already.
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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2682 on: August 09, 2021, 01:05:45 PM »
Expecting the third dose to seriously start kicking in.

According to the graph @PlatinumGuy is posting about 4/5ths of hospitalizations are from non vaccinated individuals. So a third dose may have little affect on the numbers ( I hope this is wrong)

Offline Moshe123

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2683 on: August 09, 2021, 01:21:29 PM »
According to the graph @PlatinumGuy is posting about 4/5ths of hospitalizations are from non vaccinated individuals. So a third dose may have little affect on the numbers ( I hope this is wrong)

No. That's normalized to population. Not the absolute numbers.

Offline avromie7

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2684 on: August 09, 2021, 01:42:24 PM »
No. That's normalized to population. Not the absolute numbers.
+1 somewhere in the range of 2/3 to 3/4 of hospitalizations are vaccinated.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline S209

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2685 on: August 09, 2021, 01:50:53 PM »
No. That's normalized to population. Not the absolute numbers.
You’re correct, I misread the graph earlier
Quote from: YitzyS
Quotes in a signature is annoying, as it comes across as an independent post.

Offline Moshe123

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2686 on: August 09, 2021, 04:05:12 PM »
Going to be a crazy new amount of cases in Israel today.

3,609 cases today so far, with 2 more updates to go.

373 in serious condition.

549k with the third dose.

Positive rate shooting up to 4.75%.

14 deaths yesterday.

5,140 cases so far today. 1 more update to go.
This is highest of this wave by more than 1k.

Offline Ergel

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2687 on: August 09, 2021, 04:16:51 PM »
5,140 cases so far today. 1 more update to go.
This is highest of this wave by more than 1k.
It's a Monday thing. Will probably hit almost 6K today and settle back down to ~5250 tomorrow
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Offline Moshe123

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2688 on: August 09, 2021, 04:38:02 PM »
It's a Monday thing. Will probably hit almost 6K today and settle back down to ~5250 tomorrow

Yes. Every Monday has been a huge surge, followed by a even bigger surge the following Monday...

Offline Ergel

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2689 on: August 09, 2021, 04:38:29 PM »
Yes. Every Monday has been a huge surge, followed by a even bigger surge the following Monday...
Yup :(
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2690 on: August 09, 2021, 04:41:33 PM »
From a severe cases perspective, it’s about 350 now, 700 in a week, 1400 in 2 weeks, and 2800 in 3 weeks.

The previous peak was around 1100.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline Lurker

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2691 on: August 09, 2021, 04:42:28 PM »
From a severe cases perspective, it’s about 350 now, 700 in a week, 1400 in 2 weeks, and 2800 in 3 weeks.

The previous peak was around 1100.

Have the severe cases been doubling every 7 days to this point?
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline Euclid

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2692 on: August 09, 2021, 04:54:26 PM »
From a severe cases perspective, it’s about 350 now, 700 in a week, 1400 in 2 weeks, and 2800 in 3 weeks.

The previous peak was around 1100.
Based on the UK's "schedule", shouldn't cases begin falling next week?

(Though UK cases are up over the past couple of days.)

Offline Moshe123

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2693 on: August 09, 2021, 05:02:15 PM »
Israel. Decline among those who got the third shot is already starting to show up in the data. Let's wait and see.

https://twitter.com/GazitDoron/status/1424836440010203159?s=19

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2694 on: August 09, 2021, 05:02:45 PM »
Have the severe cases been doubling every 7 days to this point?
I think 6 days.
Based on the UK's "schedule", shouldn't cases begin falling next week?

(Though UK cases are up over the past couple of days.)
Yes, the question is if Israel will look like the UK.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2695 on: August 09, 2021, 05:03:58 PM »
Israel. Decline among those who got the third shot is already starting to show up in the data. Let's wait and see.

https://twitter.com/GazitDoron/status/1424836440010203159?s=19

Of course, we don't know if the 3rd dose is effectively immediately or it takes 7-14 days like the first doses. It could be the lower incidence rate is a correlation because those first to get 3rd dose are also the most likely to be careful and avoid exposure.
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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« Last Edit: August 09, 2021, 07:41:13 PM by PlatinumGuy »
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline Moshe123

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Offline avromie7

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2698 on: August 09, 2021, 08:53:36 PM »
Have the severe cases been doubling every 7 days to this point?
I think 6 days.
It doesn't follow a straight line, but over the past 30 days it doubled 3 times almost exactly. That's every 10 days.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

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Re: The current state of COVID-19 in Israel
« Reply #2699 on: August 09, 2021, 09:39:35 PM »
I think 6 days. Yes, the question is if Israel will look like the UK.
You seem to have predicted that they will be worse. Why?
Feelings don't care about your facts