Covid Resurgences Around The World (Second Waves)

[PlatinumGuy]

Is there any reason to assume NY won't be hit again?

Here is a growing list of areas where Covid cases resurged after all but dying down. NY still has ~1000 cases/day. We know the timeline from case 1 to rapid spread can be 3 months or longer.

Iran
Louisiana
Israel
Spain

[Afrages6]

Is there any reason to assume NY won't be hit again?

Here is a growing list of areas where Covid cases resurged after all but dying down. NY still has ~1000 cases/day. We know the timeline from case 1 to rapid spread can be 3 months or longer.

Iran
Louisiana
Israel
Spain

I could think of a couple.

There are still very strict restrictions in place which make it unlikely for exponential spread.

Contact tracing which supposedly has been very effective.

Some sort of built up immunity, over 20 percent in NYC which will definitely help keep the numbers low.

[moish]

Is there any reason to assume NY won't be hit again?

Here is a growing list of areas where Covid cases resurged after all but dying down. NY still has ~1000 cases/day. We know the timeline from case 1 to rapid spread can be 3 months or longer.

Iran
Louisiana
Israel
Spain

I can only speak for Israel, that the numbers went up as they relaxed regulations. We saw an immediate impact.
For all intents and purposes, NY is pretty much open, certainly in the Jewish communities, with hardly mask wearing or social distancing. Yet we haven't seen a major surge in cases.

[Moishebatchy]

I can only speak for Israel, that the numbers went up as they relaxed regulations. We saw an immediate impact.
For all intents and purposes, NY is pretty much open, certainly in the Jewish communities, with hardly mask wearing or social distancing. Yet we haven't seen a major surge in cases.

Huge difference between Israel and NY: NY had people dying by the thousands, while Israel had hardly any infection the first time around. So once things “open,” Israel has plenty of vulnerable cannon fodder, while NY has already been “pruned,” so to speak.

Or, as I said to someone who was bragging how amazing NY is now, that everything is open and nobody is getting affected: “Saying that you’re immune to forest fires simply because anything flammable that you own has already been burned isn’t really much to brag about.” NY isn’t seeing a major surge because almost everyone who could be the victim of such a surge is already dead, unfortunately.

[moish]

Huge difference between Israel and NY: NY had people dying by the thousands, while Israel had hardly any infection the first time around. So once things “open,” Israel has plenty of vulnerable cannon fodder, while NY has already been “pruned,” so to speak.

Or, as I said to someone who was bragging how amazing NY is now, that everything is open and nobody is getting affected: “Saying that you’re immune to forest fires simply because anything flammable that you own has already been burned isn’t really much to brag about.” NY isn’t seeing a major surge because almost everyone who could be the victim of such a surge is already dead, unfortunately.

I completely agree with that. I wasn't addressing the underlying reasons, but rather the OP's question as to if there was any reason to assume NY wouldn't be hit again based on what he saw from other locations including Israel. I don't know whether NY will be hit again, but pointing out the difference between it and Israel

[Happyguy]

Iran
Louisiana
Israel
Spain

Australia

[ExGingi]

Australia

Not the entire country. And they seem to have crazy lockdown and quarantine rules for interstate travel. And no one is allowed to leave the country without permission. Crazy.

[Happyguy]

They seem to have crazy lockdown and quarantine rules for interstate travel. And no one is allowed to leave the country without permission. Crazy.

Well they just want to avoid being like the US

[ExGingi]

Well they just want to avoid being like the US

Yet in certain areas they are having flare ups.

רבות מחשבות....

[PlatinumGuy]

NY isn’t seeing a major surge because almost everyone who could be the victim of such a surge is already dead, unfortunately.

That's what people said about Iran & Spain

[ExGingi]

That's what people said about Iran & Spain

IINM Spain is having it now in a different, previously mostly unaffected region.

[PlatinumGuy]

IINM Spain is having it now in a different, previously mostly unaffected region.

Nope it's widespread throughout the country