Poll

Who Will Win The 2020 Election?

Biden
41 (26.5%)
Trump
79 (51%)
Tied up in court/decided by Supreme Court
32 (20.6%)
Electoral Tie
3 (1.9%)

Total Members Voted: 154

Author Topic: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?  (Read 138598 times)

Offline YitzyS

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #120 on: November 01, 2020, 01:16:31 PM »
https://twitter.com/noteamsindy/status/1322877540365705225?s=21
Look at the numbers. They have accurately predicted races in both directions.

Those who got it wrong have no right to lecture those who got it right. Until Trafalgar fails, I will put weight on them. Not all the weight, but more than on those who got it wrong.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #121 on: November 01, 2020, 01:19:11 PM »
I just posted 2 races were they were way off. Look at the numbers
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #122 on: November 01, 2020, 01:20:09 PM »
WOW you can get 4 1/2:1 Trump wins electoral and popular vote.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline YitzyS

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #123 on: November 01, 2020, 01:21:22 PM »
I just posted 2 races were they were way off. Look at the numbers
Single races don't prove much.

To be honest, I didn't do extensive research on this. But the fact that other pollsters call him a partisan hack when they got it wrong doesn't sit well with me.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #124 on: November 01, 2020, 01:23:39 PM »
Single races don't prove much.

To be honest, I didn't do extensive research on this. But the fact that other pollsters call him a partisan hack when they got it wrong doesn't sit well with me.
The only suggestion Traflagar is accurate is from a handful of state polls in 2016. So if single polls don’t matter, he’s definitely outside the consensus
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Offline Mordyk

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #125 on: November 01, 2020, 01:23:43 PM »
Throwback ;D ;D

&ab_channel=GentleArt
#TYH

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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline YitzyS

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #127 on: November 01, 2020, 01:27:23 PM »
Here is a map I made. I took the liberty to give Trump all the states in which there are polls showing him ahead. (IIRC.) All he needs is 10 more points to get him to the finish line, which can come in a number of forms.

I'm not trying to show that Trump is winning. Pollsters have him down in some of the state's I've given him. I'm just trying to point out that he can win without it being against all polls. There is reason for Biden to be doing all he can.




Offline YitzyS

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #128 on: November 01, 2020, 01:29:40 PM »
Here is a map I made. I took the liberty to give Trump all the states in which there are polls showing him ahead. (IIRC.) All he needs is 10 more points to get him to the finish line, which can come in a number of forms.

I'm not trying to show that Trump is winning. Pollsters have him down in some of the state's I've given him. I'm just trying to point out that he can win without it being against all polls. There is reason for Biden to be doing all he can.



BTW, Trafalgar gave him Michigan, which would get him over the finish line.

And, he's within the margin of error in most of the other states.

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #129 on: November 01, 2020, 01:31:25 PM »
Here is a map I made. I took the liberty to give Trump all the states in which there are polls showing him ahead. (IIRC.) All he needs is 10 more points to get him to the finish line, which can come in a number of forms.
Are saying you cherry picked the polls that were in his favor?
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline YitzyS

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #130 on: November 01, 2020, 01:33:02 PM »
Are saying you cherry picked the polls that were in his favor?
Yes, but they are basically the same few polls.

Again, my point wasn't that he's winning. My money is on Biden. But it's not outside polls for him to win. He can win without all pollsters being wrong.

Offline Kobe Bryant

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #131 on: November 01, 2020, 01:35:25 PM »
Yes, but they are basically the same few polls.

Again, my point wasn't that he's winning. My money is on Biden. But it's not outside polls for him to win. He can win without all pollsters being wrong.
Not buying that. The pollsters will never be trusted again.

Offline Mordyk

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #132 on: November 01, 2020, 01:35:42 PM »
&ab_channel=MarkConklin
#TYH

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #133 on: November 01, 2020, 01:35:48 PM »
Yes, but they are basically the same few polls.
At least you are being honest about it.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #134 on: November 01, 2020, 01:38:11 PM »
Not buying that. The pollsters will never be trusted again by the kool-aid drinkers.
:)
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline YitzyS

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #135 on: November 01, 2020, 01:42:05 PM »
At least you are being honest about it.
I'm trying to bring out a very narrow point, that a victory is possible according to some pollsters. I said it before and I'll say it again: my money is on Biden. I think he has the advantage here.

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #136 on: November 01, 2020, 01:47:09 PM »
I'm trying to bring out a very narrow point, that a victory is possible according to some pollsters. I said it before and I'll say it again: my money is on Biden. I think he has the advantage here.
Anyone who thinks only one candidate has a chance is an idiot.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #137 on: November 01, 2020, 01:49:24 PM »
I'm trying to bring out a very narrow point, that a victory is possible according to some pollsters. I said it before and I'll say it again: my money is on Biden. I think he has the advantage here.
I'll agree with that. Posted that somewhere too.
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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #138 on: November 01, 2020, 01:51:48 PM »
I'll agree with that. Posted that somewhere too.
So does Trump have a chance or is Biden winning with 400 electorals?

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #139 on: November 01, 2020, 01:52:42 PM »
So does Trump have a chance or is Biden winning with 400 electorals?
The two are not contradictory.
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