Question for @PlatinumGuy - theoretically, if we learn shortly after polls close on the east coast that Trump won Florida, would you adjust the odds you gave him for winning the election, or would you still assert that he has almost no chance of winning?
We'll probably know NC before we know FL. I would go up to 10-20% I guess if he does win Florida. The turning point is definitely PA, then I'd give him 70%. If he loses NC he's probably toast even if he wins FL & PA though.
So he was within the margin of error. That's still considered accurate in the polling world. You know that... Others were tester + 9....
I didn't say he's always wrong, I said he's always just +3-5 Republican, and he's always wrong when the final results are left of the consensus.
So, what if Trump does win??
@PlatinumGuy I wonder how you deal with stress...
This is not at all what stresses me out, but walks/beach/wine/cigars