You still giving FL to Biden? Your reputation is on the line!!!
Yes. The Republican turnout is maybe 1-2% advantage. It will be decided by the 20%+ independents. I trust the polls for that sub group. My only hesitation is by enthusiasm appearing to be higher amongst republicans.
Oh wow. I still find it hard to believe trump will win the popular vote, though with turnout high (I think, no data) in blue states, even if he wins the popular vote he could still lose the electoral vote.
The likelihood of Trump winning the popular vote but losing the electoral college is less than Biden winning the popular vote by 25%