Poll

Who Will Win The 2020 Election?

Biden
41 (26.5%)
Trump
79 (51%)
Tied up in court/decided by Supreme Court
32 (20.6%)
Electoral Tie
3 (1.9%)

Total Members Voted: 154

Author Topic: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?  (Read 138655 times)

Online ah giten

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #340 on: November 03, 2020, 06:45:30 PM »
[tweet]1323725293106987008[/tweet]?s=21


My personal conviction now is Trump has a 40% chance in Florida. Not because the 200k votes are tipping the balance, but because it's proof Republican turnout is as high as democrat, and Trump has a lot of new voters. It's going to be decided more on the opinions of the independents than the turnout of either base.
if trump has Florida 538 gives trump a 33% chance of winning.

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #341 on: November 03, 2020, 06:46:16 PM »
BTW, The CNN exit polls has college educated voters up from 40% in 2016 to 45% in 2020. That's seriously bad news for Trump.
What about the stupid uneducated vote?
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #342 on: November 03, 2020, 06:52:21 PM »
What about the stupid uneducated vote?
55% vs 60% in 2016.
White vote 71% in 2016 vs 65% in 2020.

Florida may be close but the elector college isn't.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Online zh cohen

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #343 on: November 03, 2020, 06:53:36 PM »
BTW, The CNN exit polls has college educated voters up from 40% in 2016 to 45% in 2020. That's seriously bad news for Trump.

Early exit polls are meaningless! (And yes, that includes the ones showing that the economy is the primary issue for voters)

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #344 on: November 03, 2020, 06:58:33 PM »
Early exit polls are meaningless! (And yes, that includes the ones showing that the economy is the primary issue for voters)
I think the demographics are more reliable. I think Women/men share is showing the exact same as 2016
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline ilherman

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #345 on: November 03, 2020, 06:59:01 PM »
PSA

For the guys here who didn't have much time to waste the past few days.

Florida early results will lean Biden. Everyone expects that. Because they are counting EVs right away. Same for Georgia.

In PA it will be the other way around. First reporting election day vote which will be pro Trump. And will shift towards Biden as more early votes come in
You can say what you think when you think what you say.

Online zh cohen

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #346 on: November 03, 2020, 07:03:08 PM »
I think the demographics are more reliable. I think Women/men share is showing the exact same as 2016

Except that they always have to adjust the demographic results once the votes are counted to reflect the actual results.

Offline yuneeq

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #347 on: November 03, 2020, 07:04:13 PM »
PSA

For the guys here who didn't have much time to waste the past few days.

Florida early results will lean Biden. Everyone expects that. Because they are counting EVs right away. Same for Georgia.

Trump +12 in FL at 7%
Visibly Jewish

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #348 on: November 03, 2020, 07:08:16 PM »
Trump +12 in FL at 7%
...but Trump is slightly underperforming county by county compared to 2016.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #349 on: November 03, 2020, 07:13:09 PM »
CNN John King is knocking it out of the park. Nothing but data, no spin!!!
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline Dan

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #350 on: November 03, 2020, 07:13:21 PM »
...but Trump is slightly underperforming county by county compared to 2016.
Yup. Bad news for Trump.
Save your time, I don't answer PM. Post it in the forum and a dedicated DDF'er will get back to you as soon as possible.

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #351 on: November 03, 2020, 07:16:17 PM »
CNN John King is knocking it out of the park. Nothing but data, no spin!!!
Wolf needs to shut up and let John run the show!!!
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #352 on: November 03, 2020, 07:17:14 PM »
Yup. Bad news for Trump.
Did you say who you voted for?
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Online zh cohen

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #353 on: November 03, 2020, 07:24:38 PM »
Early exit polls are meaningless! (And yes, that includes the ones showing that the economy is the primary issue for voters)

Also including the exit polls that shows 48% believe Covid was handled well.

Offline Dan

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #354 on: November 03, 2020, 07:27:58 PM »
Looks like Trump did much better in MIA than he did in 2016.
Save your time, I don't answer PM. Post it in the forum and a dedicated DDF'er will get back to you as soon as possible.

Offline ilherman

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #355 on: November 03, 2020, 07:29:16 PM »
Looks like Trump did much better in MIA than he did in 2016.
Ye. And if you follow smart dems they just gave up on FL because of that
You can say what you think when you think what you say.

Offline KSMH

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #356 on: November 03, 2020, 07:29:51 PM »
Looks like Trump did much better in MIA than he did in 2016.

The NYT has him @ 91% in FL - I think he has a good chance as was discussed earlier in the day, ppl are scared of AOC.

Always praying for delayed baggage.

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #357 on: November 03, 2020, 07:30:35 PM »
Looks like Trump did much better in MIA than he did in 2016.
Watch total votes and not just % but Trump looks good there.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline Mordyk

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #358 on: November 03, 2020, 07:36:31 PM »
The NYT has him @ 91% in FL - I think he has a good chance as was discussed earlier in the day, ppl are scared of AOC.

I saw this.  Why are they so convinced?
#TYH

Offline Boruch Parnes

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #359 on: November 03, 2020, 07:37:22 PM »
GA dosent look good for trump  if he loses GA his path isnt so clear