Poll

Who Will Win The 2020 Election?

Biden
41 (26.5%)
Trump
79 (51%)
Tied up in court/decided by Supreme Court
32 (20.6%)
Electoral Tie
3 (1.9%)

Total Members Voted: 154

Author Topic: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?  (Read 138644 times)

Offline Yef

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1060 on: November 04, 2020, 01:37:15 PM »
If trump wins AZ and loses mi and wi does he still win? Assuming he keeps everything he is ahead by.

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1061 on: November 04, 2020, 01:38:04 PM »
If trump wins AZ and loses mi and wi does he still win? Assuming he keeps everything he is ahead by.
yes same goes for NV.
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Offline drosenberg88429

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1062 on: November 04, 2020, 01:39:23 PM »
If trump wins AZ and loses mi and wi does he still win? Assuming he keeps everything he is ahead by.
Yes, if he holds PA

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1063 on: November 04, 2020, 01:40:02 PM »
Can we reset the poll and start over? @Dan  @jj1000
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Offline joe1234

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1064 on: November 04, 2020, 01:41:30 PM »
For all that this suspense is worth we might as well have a tie... wouldn’t that be historic... at least then trump can boast to be the first president to win a tie...

Offline Dan

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1065 on: November 04, 2020, 01:41:51 PM »
Only 230k left. Biden needs 70%. Long shot.
NYT still saying 64% Biden.
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Offline KSMH

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1066 on: November 04, 2020, 01:41:54 PM »
Trump is crazy tight in PA, and even losing based on 2016vs2020 data in comparing % of in person and mail in ballots, meaning its mostly mail in ballots that need to be counted an those are favorably dem.
Always praying for delayed baggage.

Offline AsherO

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1067 on: November 04, 2020, 01:44:42 PM »
AFAF: What happens if uncounted ballots burn?
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Offline Dan

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1068 on: November 04, 2020, 01:44:46 PM »
For all that this suspense is worth we might as well have a tie... wouldn’t that be historic... at least then trump can boast to be the first president to win a tie...
Went back to the map and I came up with this:



Anything else?  @CountValentine
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Offline AsherO

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1069 on: November 04, 2020, 01:46:53 PM »
Went back to the map and I came up with this:



Anything else?  @CountValentine

Everything's possible, but doesn't necessarily follow where Trump/Biden are favored (e.g. Trump losing GA.
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Offline Lamppost

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1070 on: November 04, 2020, 01:47:25 PM »
Went back to the map and I came up with this:



Anything else?  @CountValentine

You really think that GA will go blue and AZ and NV red?

Offline ShimshonK

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1071 on: November 04, 2020, 01:52:03 PM »
NV is very likely going to end for Biden.

To summarize Trump's (most likely) path: win PA, GA, NC, and one of WI, MI, NV, and AZ (this could also happen via recounts).

Offline Dan

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1072 on: November 04, 2020, 01:52:16 PM »
You really think that GA will go blue and AZ and NV red?
Think? No.
Possible? Sure.
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Offline Lamppost

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1073 on: November 04, 2020, 01:53:51 PM »
NV is very likely going to end for Biden.

To summarize Trump's (most likely) path: win PA, GA, NC, and one of WI, MI, NV, and AZ (this could also happen via recounts).

WI and MI is done for Biden. No? Is there a better chance for Trump in AZ or NV?

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1074 on: November 04, 2020, 01:53:59 PM »
Went back to the map and I came up with this:



Anything else?  @CountValentine
I wait for you to give us the ties.
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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1075 on: November 04, 2020, 01:55:06 PM »
Friend bought options for private prisons. If Trump wins 20x return (market assuming Biden will ban them)
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Offline ShimshonK

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1076 on: November 04, 2020, 01:55:13 PM »
WI and MI is done for Biden. No? Is there a better chance for Trump in AZ or NV?
Nothing is done when it's that close. Will be recounts, fights, etc. Every media outlet calls things differently, so I don't know which outlet you're seeing.
Probably more hope in AZ at this point.

Offline ShimshonK

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1077 on: November 04, 2020, 01:56:10 PM »
GEOFFREY SKELLEY
NOV. 4, 1:28 PM
If you’re wondering how exactly a “blue shift” in Pennsylvania could be significant enough for Biden to overcome Trump’s 8-point lead there, consider this small batch of votes that just came in from Allegheny County (Pittsburgh). About 4,700 new votes were reported there, and Biden won nearly 80 percent of them. It’s important for readers to understand that a lot of the outstanding mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania are not only from populous Democratic-leaning areas, but are also going to be even more Democratic than those areas on the whole because Democrats were far more likely to vote by mail. While there are some outstanding votes from more rural GOP areas, it’s the large number of strongly Democratic mail-in ballots that could boost Biden enough to overtake Trump. Will that happen? We’ll have to wait and see.


Offline Lamppost

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1078 on: November 04, 2020, 01:56:16 PM »
Nothing is done when it's that close. Will be recounts, fights, etc. Every media outlet calls things differently, so I don't know which outlet you're seeing.
Probably more hope in AZ at this point.

MI up for biden by 50k. Its finished id think even with the fights

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1079 on: November 04, 2020, 01:57:43 PM »
Remember the states that can still receive and count mail in ballots postmarked 11/3. PA is one of those.
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