Poll

Who Will Win The 2020 Election?

Biden
41 (26.5%)
Trump
79 (51%)
Tied up in court/decided by Supreme Court
32 (20.6%)
Electoral Tie
3 (1.9%)

Total Members Voted: 154

Author Topic: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?  (Read 138629 times)

Offline Mordyk

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1240 on: November 04, 2020, 06:19:10 PM »
is Trump going to win with the USPS method? ;D

Offline 159dallas

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1241 on: November 04, 2020, 06:25:35 PM »
Did I do this right to get a 269-269 tie?

Trump
PA
NC
AZ
PA

Biden
GA
MI
WI

https://www.270towin.com/map-images/D4Nn8

Looks like I am right

Offline 159dallas

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1242 on: November 04, 2020, 06:26:58 PM »
And something else.... IMO the most likely thing now is that Biden wins 270-268 Isn't it jyst possible we will have 1 faithless elector? That is all that it would take

Offline ilherman

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1243 on: November 04, 2020, 06:28:01 PM »
@SethAbramson
CNN (reporter Jim Acosta, live on-air): Trump campaign "giving up" on both Wisconsin and Michigan, is unlikely to seek a recount in either state despite prior public assertions from the campaign

I'll also note that while it was a given that the Rs will keep the senate, it's not a given anymore. David Perdue is leading Ossoff by 50.4 percent. If he falls below 50 which while not likely, is still possible, with the tightening race in GA, there will be 2 runoffs in Jan. And IF the Rs lose both then it will be 50-50 with Harris breaking the tie.
You can say what you think when you think what you say.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1244 on: November 04, 2020, 06:30:58 PM »
There will be 2 run-offs but the republicans will win GA2 and likely GA1. They will be off the chart senate campaigns though.

Trumps behavior isn’t helping at all. Mitch McConnell has already come out against him in favor of counting every vote
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline PlatinumGuy

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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline YitzyS

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1246 on: November 04, 2020, 06:38:15 PM »
is Trump going to win with the USPS method? ;D
Aha! The UPS method finally revealed!

Offline ShimshonK

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1247 on: November 04, 2020, 06:44:42 PM »
That MI senate race is back and forth. In for a photo finish with 97% reporting.

Offline Boruch Parnes

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1248 on: November 04, 2020, 06:46:37 PM »
That MI senate race is back and forth. In for a photo finish with 97% reporting.
the focus is that the last 3% are biden votes

Offline ShimshonK

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1249 on: November 04, 2020, 06:48:03 PM »
If D wins AZ, MI, and 1 of the GA's, would that be 50/50? With a potential Biden presidency giving the majority.

Offline ShimshonK

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1250 on: November 04, 2020, 06:48:57 PM »
the focus is that the last 3% are biden votes
I understand that, but I feel like they've been saying that the final much more than 3% were the mail-ins, look how that's gone.

Offline ilherman

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1251 on: November 04, 2020, 06:57:39 PM »
If D wins AZ, MI, and 1 of the GA's, would that be 50/50? With a potential Biden presidency giving the majority.
I believe will need both GA seats
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Offline Traveler718

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1252 on: November 04, 2020, 07:03:09 PM »
The Senate currently stands at 53R / 47D, so even if Biden wins the D's need a net +3 to flip control, with Harris as the tiebreaker. As of now, they flipped CO and AZ but R's flipped AL, so D's are currently +1 assuming they hold a very tight race in MI, and also assuming R's hang onto NC where they're more comfortably ahead.

Thus D's would need both GA seats to move to +3, which is quite unlikely, but would make for some crazy expensive campaigns, and would make me glad I don't live in Atlanta.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1253 on: November 04, 2020, 07:11:14 PM »
The NC race is more close than it seems. Look what happened everywhere else. They're also counting ballots received until Nov 12 (unlike GA).

However, I think the Republicans will win both GA reruns.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline how

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1254 on: November 04, 2020, 07:38:41 PM »
Did I do this right to get a 269-269 tie?

Trump
PA
NC
AZ
PA

Biden
GA
MI
WI
was Alaska called yet?

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1255 on: November 04, 2020, 07:41:02 PM »
GA Trump +47K with 95% counted

Nevada is that friend who says they're on their way but is actually still lying around in a towel
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline Traveler718

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1256 on: November 04, 2020, 07:44:25 PM »
NV had announced that because of mass interest, they would move up their reporting from tomorrow at noon as schedule to tonight. Now NYT reports that they changed their mind and are back to tomorrow at noon.

In other news, due to the dire state of affairs Rabbonim have added a name - the incumbent is now Donald Victor Trump and his opponent is now Joseph Eluzer Biden.

Online CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1257 on: November 04, 2020, 08:22:43 PM »
Where can I find the covid numbers? Can't find them watching cable!  :)
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline Lurker

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1258 on: November 04, 2020, 08:24:46 PM »
Where can I find the covid numbers? Can't find them watching cable!  :)

You're better off watching the numbers you're seeing on cable. The other ones may cause you to run out of weed much quicker.
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Offline ilherman

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1259 on: November 04, 2020, 08:25:54 PM »
Where can I find the covid numbers? Can't find them watching cable!  :)
I thought Trump was joking when he kept on saying that come Nov 4 the media will forget about covid..
You can say what you think when you think what you say.