Poll

Who Will Win The 2020 Election?

Biden
41 (26.5%)
Trump
79 (51%)
Tied up in court/decided by Supreme Court
32 (20.6%)
Electoral Tie
3 (1.9%)

Total Members Voted: 154

Author Topic: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?  (Read 138765 times)

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1260 on: November 04, 2020, 08:27:19 PM »
Melania just joined Tinder
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1261 on: November 04, 2020, 08:31:30 PM »
Outstanding ballot estimates for Arizona: If county not listed then exceeded my forecast. *= Official estimate
Apache: 8.8k
Cochise: 8.6k
Coconino: 5.5k
Greenlee: 250
La Paz: 400
Maricopa: 390k
Pima: *46k
Pinal: *41k
Santa Cruz: *1.5k
Yavapai: *1.7k
Yuma: *10.4k
Gila: *2.3k
Graham: *1.1k
Greenlee: *650
La Paz: *900

These are all official estimates. Brings AZ estimate to ~515k ballots outstanding.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1262 on: November 04, 2020, 08:33:59 PM »
https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1324162245174198274?s=21

Trump + 39k in GA with 120k to go, Biden needs ~65%
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1263 on: November 04, 2020, 08:34:22 PM »
In other news, due to the dire state of affairs Rabbonim have added a name - the incumbent is now Donald Victor Trump and his opponent is now Joseph Eluzer Biden.
Anyone want to explain as it seems it is liked.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1264 on: November 04, 2020, 08:36:13 PM »
Anyone want to explain as it seems it is liked.
There is a practice in Judaism to add a name to direly ill patients in the hope of changing their luck or other spiritual impact that I'm not aware of.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1265 on: November 04, 2020, 08:36:36 PM »
Looks very much like Biden is winning Georgia.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1266 on: November 04, 2020, 08:38:56 PM »
Looks very much like Biden is winning Georgia.
Can we get a probability update for Biden/Trump winning.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1267 on: November 04, 2020, 08:42:06 PM »
Can we get a probability update for Biden/Trump winning.
95% - the data on where the missing ballots are is mostly hearsay, but Trump's options are running out. PA will probably be a significant margin pro Biden.

Biden can win with GA/MI/WI/NV even if Trump takes NC/AZ/PA.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline ShimshonK

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1268 on: November 04, 2020, 08:43:03 PM »
ABC called Peters (D) in MI

Offline KSMH

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1269 on: November 04, 2020, 08:43:07 PM »
Can we get a probability update for Biden/Trump winning.

A little past 9 when AZ dumps, well know if it'll be long week or a short night.
@CountValentine Ill give you the honor of dumping all conservative melt downs.
Always praying for delayed baggage.

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1270 on: November 04, 2020, 08:44:07 PM »
A little past 9 when AZ dumps, well know if it'll be long week or a short night.
@CountValentine Ill give you the honor of dumping all conservative melt downs.
GA & PA can turn blue tonight and AZ won't matter anymore.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline Yo ssi

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1271 on: November 04, 2020, 08:44:57 PM »
95% - the data on where the missing ballots are is mostly hearsay, but Trump's options are running out. PA will probably be a significant margin pro Biden.

Biden can win with GA/MI/WI/NV even if Trump takes NC/AZ/PA.
NYT still saying 64%, though it hadn't moved all today so perhaps it's done?
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Offline KSMH

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1272 on: November 04, 2020, 08:45:15 PM »
GA & PA can turn blue tonight and AZ won't matter anymore.
Yeah, but those will be fought over a bit harder then AZ...
Always praying for delayed baggage.

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1273 on: November 04, 2020, 08:46:34 PM »
A little past 9 when AZ dumps, well know if it'll be long week or a short night.
@CountValentine Ill give you the honor of dumping all conservative melt downs.
It is never good to gloat.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1274 on: November 04, 2020, 08:48:24 PM »
NYT still saying 64%, though it hadn't moved all today so perhaps it's done?
They're probably just not updating it or lacking confidence in the reliability of the data on the uncounted ballots. 64% will still make them geniuses if Biden win, but 90% Biden will make them idiots if Trump Wins

Georgia has 122,000 uncounted absentee ballots, all from Atlanta & Savanaha. Biden may win GA by a larger margin than WI.

This is the landslide.
Yeah, but those will be fought over a bit harder then AZ...
There is no argument to fight with.... Recounts won't swing so many votes...
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1275 on: November 04, 2020, 08:49:07 PM »
 Lit all cones down to AZ whoever wins there is the winner of the election

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1276 on: November 04, 2020, 08:51:02 PM »
Arizona doesn't matter anymore. If Biden gets 90% of the remaining GA ballots he will win GA with 50k. He was polling 89-9 statewide amongst people who already voted and this is deep blue territory.

Time to pop the champagne.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1277 on: November 04, 2020, 08:51:19 PM »
Someone said it earlier but how ironic if AZ is his downfall. Is there such a thing as karma?
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1278 on: November 04, 2020, 08:52:00 PM »
Arizona doesn't matter anymore. If Biden gets 90% of the remaining GA ballots he will win GA with 50k. He was polling 89-9 statewide amongst people who already voted and this is deep blue territory.

Time to pop the champagne.
AZ was the beginning of the end.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline AsherO

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1279 on: November 04, 2020, 08:52:07 PM »
Arizona doesn't matter anymore. If Biden gets 90% of the remaining GA ballots he will win GA with 50k. He was polling 89-9 statewide amongst people who already voted and this is deep blue territory.

Time to pop the champagne.

So you’ve let go of your 1% Trump and are 100% Biden?
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