Poll

Who Will Win The 2020 Election?

Biden
41 (26.5%)
Trump
79 (51%)
Tied up in court/decided by Supreme Court
32 (20.6%)
Electoral Tie
3 (1.9%)

Total Members Voted: 154

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Author Topic: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?  (Read 142994 times)

Offline Traveler718

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1520 on: November 05, 2020, 02:26:26 PM »
Finally there's movement on whether Melania will divorce DJT if he loses. It's still unlikely, but yes is down from +300 to +250. Maybe someone discovered her new Tinder account...

There are also now polls on both GA runoffs, with Perdue at -300 but Loeffler the underdog at +100 (the two R's).
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Offline Traveler718

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1521 on: November 05, 2020, 02:28:28 PM »
Maybe this is one of the closed poles (sic) that Trump tweeted about?


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Offline Traveler718

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1522 on: November 05, 2020, 02:31:16 PM »
https://electionbettingodds.com/ has Biden at 78% to win AZ, 91% for NV, 71% for GA, and 86% for PA. The odds of Trump carrying GA/PA/AZ for 270 is 0.9%.
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1523 on: November 05, 2020, 02:35:08 PM »
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Offline Lurker

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1524 on: November 05, 2020, 02:36:15 PM »
Quote from: PlatinumGuy on November 05, 2020, 02:35:08 PM
I thought GA doesn’t count received after Nov 3?

I believe it's postmarked after Nov 3 that they won't take.
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Offline drosenberg88429

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1525 on: November 05, 2020, 02:40:30 PM »
Quote from: Traveler718 on November 05, 2020, 02:31:16 PM
https://electionbettingodds.com/ has Biden at 78% to win AZ, 91% for NV, 71% for GA, and 86% for PA. The odds of Trump carrying GA/PA/AZ for 270 is 0.9%.

They're still giving Trump 10% though.

71% for GA seems high.
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Offline Lamppost

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1526 on: November 05, 2020, 02:43:23 PM »
Quote from: PlatinumGuy on November 05, 2020, 02:35:08 PM
https://twitter.com/macfarlanenews/status/1324382660232388608?s=21

I thought GA doesn’t count received after Nov 3?


ETA I guess I was wrong

https://twitter.com/whiffedpunish/status/1324407877692542977?s=21

If majority are not from Atlanta, that should help Trump, no?
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Offline skyguy918

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1527 on: November 05, 2020, 02:44:03 PM »
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Offline Yehudaa

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1528 on: November 05, 2020, 02:48:11 PM »
Quote from: Traveler718 on November 05, 2020, 02:28:28 PM
Maybe this is one of the closed poles (sic) that Trump tweeted about?




Similar:



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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1529 on: November 05, 2020, 02:49:47 PM »
Quote from: Lamppost on November 05, 2020, 02:43:23 PM
If majority are not from Atlanta, that should help Trump, no?
All mail-ins in GA are biased Biden bc there was very little mail in.

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1324437837991841801?s=21
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Offline luckyluck

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1530 on: November 05, 2020, 02:53:15 PM »
Quote from: PlatinumGuy on November 05, 2020, 02:35:08 PM
https://twitter.com/macfarlanenews/status/1324382660232388608?s=21

I thought GA doesn’t count received after Nov 3?


ETA I guess I was wrong

https://twitter.com/whiffedpunish/status/1324407877692542977?s=21

I think you were right

https://www.wsbtv.com/news/politics/how-do-i-vote-by-absentee-ballot-georgia/D7STONI7LJDUZLKX7TWGW6KYK4/

"All absentee ballots must be in the hands of county Election Officials by the time polls close on Election Day, Nov.3. An initial ruling by a judge allowed ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted, but that has since been overturned."

Post office is not Election Officials.
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1531 on: November 05, 2020, 02:56:34 PM »
Quote from: luckyluck on November 05, 2020, 02:53:15 PM
I think you were right

https://www.wsbtv.com/news/politics/how-do-i-vote-by-absentee-ballot-georgia/D7STONI7LJDUZLKX7TWGW6KYK4/

"All absentee ballots must be in the hands of county Election Officials by the time polls close on Election Day, Nov.3. An initial ruling by a judge allowed ballots postmarked by Election Day to be counted, but that has since been overturned."

Post office is not Election Officials.
I think there’s a decent chance SCOTUS will overturn since it’s been proven USPS was malicious. But it won’t be critical enough to make it up there
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Offline drosenberg88429

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1532 on: November 05, 2020, 03:01:59 PM »
Quote from: PlatinumGuy on November 05, 2020, 02:49:47 PM
All mail-ins in GA are biased Biden bc there was very little mail in.


I don't think there was very little mail in (1.25M mail in vs 3.55M in person, so over 25% of total), but Biden got 64.34% of total mail in votes in state. If he gets that percentage of remaining votes, he wins GA by 600 votes. That's 0.01%. Trump fans will not be amused. Additionally, military can easily tip such a small margin.
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Offline Traveler718

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1533 on: November 05, 2020, 03:09:59 PM »
Quote from: PlatinumGuy on November 05, 2020, 02:56:34 PM
I think there’s a decent chance SCOTUS will overturn since it’s been proven USPS was malicious.

Malicious? Or just generally incompetent?
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Offline Traveler718

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1534 on: November 05, 2020, 03:11:00 PM »
Biden now at -1400.
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Offline zh cohen

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1535 on: November 05, 2020, 03:19:06 PM »
Quote from: PlatinumGuy on November 05, 2020, 02:56:34 PM
I think there’s a decent chance SCOTUS will overturn since it’s been proven USPS was malicious. But it won’t be critical enough to make it up there

You do realize that claiming it was malicious on DDF does not equal "proven"?
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Offline Yo ssi

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1536 on: November 05, 2020, 03:22:40 PM »
Quote from: zh cohen on November 05, 2020, 03:19:06 PM
You do realize that claiming it was malicious on DDF does not equal "proven"?
Ahh.. but it does..
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1537 on: November 05, 2020, 03:26:46 PM »
Quote from: zh cohen on November 05, 2020, 03:19:06 PM
You do realize that claiming it was malicious on DDF does not equal "proven"?
Disobeying a court order is malicious
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Offline Mootkim

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1538 on: November 05, 2020, 03:28:49 PM »
Quote from: YitzyS on November 05, 2020, 12:47:34 PM
Can anyone recommend a good Jewish music CD on the market now? I think I'm going to switch to music in my car until the results are all confirmed...   :(
Joey Newcombs new CD is great.
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Online CountValentine

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Re: Who Will Win The 2020 Election?
« Reply #1539 on: November 05, 2020, 03:33:48 PM »
Just got back from my bike ride. Did the Fat Lady sing?

2020 U.S Presidential Election
Odds to Win the 2020 Presidential Election
2   Joe Biden      -1600   
1   Donald Trump   +890   
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