Who Will Win The 2020 Election?

[stooges44]

[Traveler718]

Wolf is peeing his pants over Georgia!!!

Right up there with Chris Matthews letting us know how Obama made his legs feel...

[skyguy918]

Some pretty clear evidence of Trump taking the frum vote:
https://gothamist.com/news/map-see-how-your-nyc-neighbors-voted-2020-election

Only surprise to me is that coming from Gothamist, the headline isn't something like Covid red zones go red for Trump, with some mention of Jews.

[yungermanchik]

It's interesting that Trump got 43% of NY, far more than last time.

[Zevwolf]

It's interesting that Trump got 43% of NY, far more than last time.

Only 78% reporting Biden will get most remaining.

[skyguy918]

It's interesting that Trump got 43% of NY, far more than last time.

Results still coming in, you just don't hear about it bc it doesn't matter.. That 43% is out of date already, most outlets showing 40% now. Though if it stayed as is now, Biden's +18 is a drop from HRC's +23.

[zh cohen]

There is no evidence of voter fraud...

https://www.inquirer.com/news/voter-fraud-philadelphia-ward-leader-judge-of-elections-domenick-demuro-guilty-plea-20200521.html

[Traveler718]

And of course Cuomo blames (who else) deBlasio for the D underperformance in NY - you can't make this stuff up!

https://nypost.com/2020/11/05/andrew-cuomo-blames-de-blasio-for-democratic-election-losses/

[skyguy918]

There is no evidence of voter fraud...

https://www.inquirer.com/news/voter-fraud-philadelphia-ward-leader-judge-of-elections-domenick-demuro-guilty-plea-20200521.html

Just so we're clear, this guy added a mere 10's of votes for local D's. And he was caught. To do this on any meaningful scale without being caught...

[Traveler718]

Biden picks up ~10K from new batch of Philly ballots, Trump lead down to ~26k

[drosenberg88429]

I don't know why betting sites are still giving Trump 8% odds. With PA as apparent as it is, he doesn't stand a chance, and he's likely losing Georgia and almost certainly Nevada too.

That being said, 30% odds on Trump winning AZ is cheap, in my opinion.

[zh cohen]

Just so we're clear, this guy added a mere 10's of votes for local D's. And he was caught. To do this on any meaningful scale without being caught...

More than 20% of the votes cast at that location were done by this one guy. How many other people did this "consultant" have on his payroll?

Also, you missed my point. Any time election security measures are proposed, Democrats (including some on this forum) say that "there is no evidence of voter fraud." They therefore say, the only reason Republicans want those measures is because they hate black people.

I'm pointing out that the next time you hear someone claim "there is no evidence of voter fraud" you should know that they are either lying to you, or repeating a lie told to them.

[skyguy918]

More than 20% of the votes cast at that location were done by this one guy. How many other people did this "consultant" have on his payroll?

Also, you missed my point. Any time election security measures are proposed, Democrats (including some on this forum) say that "there is no evidence of voter fraud." They therefore say, the only reason Republicans want those measures is because they hate black people.

I'm pointing out that the next time you hear someone claim "there is no evidence of voter fraud" you should know that they are either lying to you, or repeating a lie told to them.

What you'll usually hear is there's no evidence of widescale voter fraud. Scaling up what this guy did is not feasible, certainly not without it becoming obvious.

[Traveler718]

Biden up to -2000

[Traveler718]

A NYT reporter tweets:

Democrats are urging voters in Georgia to fix absentee ballots that were rejected because of invalid or missing signatures before the deadline on Friday evening.

Even if technically legal (I'm not familiar with GA rules and procedures), this will certainly provide needless ammunition to Trumps's claims of the election being stolent by people voting after the Tuesday deadline.

[PlatinumGuy]

Curable ballots are 100% legal. Nobody disputes that to my knowledge.

[Traveler718]

Interesting article on not blaming Jorgenson (Libertarian candidate) as the spoiler for Trump's reelection, even though she got more votes in some key states (e.g. WI) than the gap between Biden and Trump:

https://reason.com/2020/11/05/think-jo-jorgensen-is-a-spoiler-run-these-numbers-first/

[ShimshonK]

NATE SILVER
NOV. 5, 10:53 PM
We’re still waiting on Georgia, but here’s a good article on other types of ballots, such as some overseas and military absentee ballots, that will still need to be counted there even after officials finish counting the mail votes. Plus, there might be a recount, which could uncover other issues. So even if Biden takes a lead there, that doesn’t mean he’s home free; he’d like to build up a bit of a cushion.

[joe1234]

Infowars has this clip saying that the ballots were watermarked... how crazy is that?

[yesitsme]

Infowars has this clip saying that the ballots were watermarked... how crazy is that?

dont states print the ballots?