Author Topic: NY Quarantine State Metrics  (Read 5028 times)

Offline Agoldsc1

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2015
  • Posts: 1518
  • Total likes: 125
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 1
    • View Profile
  • Location: New York, NY
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2020, 11:19:29 AM »
Looks like the numbers are going the wrong way in FL. Almost 16/100k in FL, and almost 20/100k in Miami :(

Offline avromie7

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Feb 2014
  • Posts: 8188
  • Total likes: 2713
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
    • View Profile
  • Location: Lakewood
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2020, 11:48:43 AM »
Looks like the numbers are going the wrong way in FL. Almost 16/100k in FL, and almost 20/100k in Miami :(
The numbers are going up this week, but it will drop (partially) tomorrow. Last week they didn't release numbers one day but released 2 days worth the next day, today the day with 0 fell off the 7 day average leaving 8 days worth of numbers in the 7 day average.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5054
  • Total likes: 6390
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2020, 11:59:09 AM »
Looks like the numbers are going the wrong way in FL. Almost 16/100k in FL, and almost 20/100k in Miami :(
The numbers are going up this week, but it will drop (partially) tomorrow. Last week they didn't release numbers one day but released 2 days worth the next day, today the day with 0 fell off the 7 day average leaving 8 days worth of numbers in the 7 day average.

The 7 day average after adjusting for the data dump is 2566 (just make it an 8 day average for a day). The average will likely drop tomorrow, both because the data dump day won't be counted, and because Sun-Tues numbers tend to be much lower. They will likely climb again to new highs by the end of the week, though. There were several days with over 3k cases, and we hit 4k in a day for the first time since late August (excluding 2 data dumps).
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5054
  • Total likes: 6390
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2020, 09:59:07 PM »
The 7 day average after adjusting for the data dump is 2566 (just make it an 8 day average for a day). The average will likely drop tomorrow, both because the data dump day won't be counted, and because Sun-Tues numbers tend to be much lower. They will likely climb again to new highs by the end of the week, though. There were several days with over 3k cases, and we hit 4k in a day for the first time since late August (excluding 2 data dumps).

Just took a closer look at the numbers. The data dump is already outside of the 7 day window. As of today, the rolling 7 day average is currently at 2958.
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline avromie7

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Feb 2014
  • Posts: 8188
  • Total likes: 2713
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 6
    • View Profile
  • Location: Lakewood
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2020, 11:59:25 PM »
Just took a closer look at the numbers. The data dump is already outside of the 7 day window. As of today, the rolling 7 day average is currently at 2958.
It's still it was still in the 7 day window unless you're including the numbers released today 10/19, in which case you should see a significant drop from the previous day.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline nocovubu

  • DansDeals Copper Elite
  • *
  • Join Date: Oct 2020
  • Posts: 1
  • Total likes: 0
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
  • Location: Belle Plaine
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #25 on: October 20, 2020, 12:26:52 AM »
it looks like this mess will never end without a vaccine

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5054
  • Total likes: 6390
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #26 on: October 20, 2020, 02:28:16 AM »
It's still it was still in the 7 day window unless you're including the numbers released today 10/19, in which case you should see a significant drop from the previous day.

The dump happened on 10/11, after no numbers were announced on 10/10. My new average includes the numbers announced on 10/19, but even if it didn't, it would be from 10/12-10/18.
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline Afrages6

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2017
  • Posts: 917
  • Total likes: 402
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #27 on: October 20, 2020, 08:41:23 AM »
NJ and CT should both be added to the list today.

Offline grodnoking

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Nov 2014
  • Posts: 5847
  • Total likes: 767
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 17
    • View Profile
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #28 on: October 20, 2020, 09:30:45 AM »
NJ and CT should both be added to the list today.
Yup. Let's see where the goalposts move.
I'm not who you think I am.

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5054
  • Total likes: 6390
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #29 on: October 20, 2020, 09:31:47 AM »
Yup. Let's see where the goalposts move.

More likely they'll find a distraction rather than move the goalposts.
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline grodnoking

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Nov 2014
  • Posts: 5847
  • Total likes: 767
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 17
    • View Profile
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #30 on: October 20, 2020, 10:03:00 AM »
More likely they'll find a distraction rather than move the goalposts.
Sounds like they'll add them and then ignore it.
https://newyork.cbslocal.com/2020/10/19/new-jerseys-coronavirus-infection-rate-enough-to-quality-for-tri-states-travel-advisory-list-but-commuters-not-required-to-quarantine/
Y'Know, cuz it's all about saving lives and nothing to do with politics.
We think with science not feelings.
It's all about the facts.
I'm not who you think I am.

Online Traveler718

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Jun 2010
  • Posts: 1220
  • Total likes: 693
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 3
    • View Profile
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #31 on: October 20, 2020, 10:28:30 AM »
Watch Cuomo find a way to use statistics to just add Ocean County and exempt the rest of the state.

Offline Afrages6

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2017
  • Posts: 917
  • Total likes: 402
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #32 on: October 20, 2020, 10:39:02 AM »
Watch Cuomo find a way to use statistics to just add Ocean County and exempt the rest of the state.
Don’t give him any ideas.

Online etech0

  • Dansdeals Lifetime 10K Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *******
  • Join Date: Dec 2013
  • Posts: 12862
  • Total likes: 3317
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 1
    • View Profile
  • Location: not lakewood
  • Programs: DDF
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #33 on: October 20, 2020, 10:48:24 AM »
Don’t give him any ideas.
He doesn't need our help
Workflowy. You won't know what you're missing until you try it.

Offline Afrages6

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2017
  • Posts: 917
  • Total likes: 402
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #34 on: October 20, 2020, 11:50:46 AM »
Cuomo said he will ask NJ/CT to restrict non essential travel to NY

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5054
  • Total likes: 6390
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #35 on: October 20, 2020, 11:52:48 AM »
None of this will matter in a few weeks. NY's cases will be high enough that they'll be focused on NY, not the other 49 states.
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline Afrages6

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2017
  • Posts: 917
  • Total likes: 402
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #36 on: October 20, 2020, 12:21:47 PM »
None of this will matter in a few weeks. NY's cases will be high enough that they'll be focused on NY, not the other 49 states.
Eh, Cuomo will keep twisting the numbers to make them look good so he could stroke his ego and criticize other states and the president.

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5054
  • Total likes: 6390
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #37 on: October 20, 2020, 12:24:06 PM »
Eh, Cuomo will keep twisting the numbers to make them look good so he could stroke his ego and criticize other states and the president.

In the lead-up to Xmas, when NY looks like FL in July/Aug, there will be nothing to twist. He'll be touting the hospitals and the great progress they've made since Wave 1. And he'll take the credit, per usual.
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline Lurker

  • Dansdeals Lifetime Presidential Platinum Elite
  • *********
  • Join Date: Jul 2019
  • Posts: 5054
  • Total likes: 6390
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 2
    • View Profile
  • Location: As always, silence is NOT an admission of agreement on DDF. It just means that people lack the stamina to keep on arguing with made up "facts", illogical arguments, deceiving statements, nasty and degrading comments, and fuzzy math. - @yelped
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #38 on: October 20, 2020, 02:13:05 PM »
Just took a closer look at the numbers. The data dump is already outside of the 7 day window. As of today, the rolling 7 day average is currently at 2958.

3091 after today's numbers. The short of it is, do what you need to do. Don't wait for FL to be green listed, unless you're ok with waiting 6 months.
Failing at maintaining Lurker status.

Offline Afrages6

  • Dansdeals Platinum Elite + Lifetime Gold Elite
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2017
  • Posts: 917
  • Total likes: 402
  • DansDeals.com Hat Tips 0
    • View Profile
Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #39 on: October 30, 2020, 04:11:50 PM »
New York is now on its own quarantine list.