Author Topic: NY Quarantine State Metrics  (Read 2499 times)

Offline Agoldsc1

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2020, 11:19:29 AM »
Looks like the numbers are going the wrong way in FL. Almost 16/100k in FL, and almost 20/100k in Miami :(

Offline avromie7

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2020, 11:48:43 AM »
Looks like the numbers are going the wrong way in FL. Almost 16/100k in FL, and almost 20/100k in Miami :(
The numbers are going up this week, but it will drop (partially) tomorrow. Last week they didn't release numbers one day but released 2 days worth the next day, today the day with 0 fell off the 7 day average leaving 8 days worth of numbers in the 7 day average.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline Lurker

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2020, 11:59:09 AM »
Looks like the numbers are going the wrong way in FL. Almost 16/100k in FL, and almost 20/100k in Miami :(
The numbers are going up this week, but it will drop (partially) tomorrow. Last week they didn't release numbers one day but released 2 days worth the next day, today the day with 0 fell off the 7 day average leaving 8 days worth of numbers in the 7 day average.

The 7 day average after adjusting for the data dump is 2566 (just make it an 8 day average for a day). The average will likely drop tomorrow, both because the data dump day won't be counted, and because Sun-Tues numbers tend to be much lower. They will likely climb again to new highs by the end of the week, though. There were several days with over 3k cases, and we hit 4k in a day for the first time since late August (excluding 2 data dumps).
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Offline Lurker

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2020, 09:59:07 PM »
The 7 day average after adjusting for the data dump is 2566 (just make it an 8 day average for a day). The average will likely drop tomorrow, both because the data dump day won't be counted, and because Sun-Tues numbers tend to be much lower. They will likely climb again to new highs by the end of the week, though. There were several days with over 3k cases, and we hit 4k in a day for the first time since late August (excluding 2 data dumps).

Just took a closer look at the numbers. The data dump is already outside of the 7 day window. As of today, the rolling 7 day average is currently at 2958.
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Offline avromie7

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2020, 11:59:25 PM »
Just took a closer look at the numbers. The data dump is already outside of the 7 day window. As of today, the rolling 7 day average is currently at 2958.
It's still it was still in the 7 day window unless you're including the numbers released today 10/19, in which case you should see a significant drop from the previous day.
I wonder what people who type "u" instead of "you" do with all their free time.

Offline nocovubu

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #25 on: October 20, 2020, 12:26:52 AM »
it looks like this mess will never end without a vaccine

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #26 on: October 20, 2020, 02:28:16 AM »
It's still it was still in the 7 day window unless you're including the numbers released today 10/19, in which case you should see a significant drop from the previous day.

The dump happened on 10/11, after no numbers were announced on 10/10. My new average includes the numbers announced on 10/19, but even if it didn't, it would be from 10/12-10/18.
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Offline Afrages6

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #27 on: October 20, 2020, 08:41:23 AM »
NJ and CT should both be added to the list today.

Offline grodnoking

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #28 on: October 20, 2020, 09:30:45 AM »
NJ and CT should both be added to the list today.
Yup. Let's see where the goalposts move.
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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #29 on: October 20, 2020, 09:31:47 AM »
Yup. Let's see where the goalposts move.

More likely they'll find a distraction rather than move the goalposts.
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Offline grodnoking

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #30 on: October 20, 2020, 10:03:00 AM »
More likely they'll find a distraction rather than move the goalposts.
Sounds like they'll add them and then ignore it.
https://newyork.cbslocal.com/2020/10/19/new-jerseys-coronavirus-infection-rate-enough-to-quality-for-tri-states-travel-advisory-list-but-commuters-not-required-to-quarantine/
Y'Know, cuz it's all about saving lives and nothing to do with politics.
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Offline Traveler718

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #31 on: October 20, 2020, 10:28:30 AM »
Watch Cuomo find a way to use statistics to just add Ocean County and exempt the rest of the state.

Offline Afrages6

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #32 on: October 20, 2020, 10:39:02 AM »
Watch Cuomo find a way to use statistics to just add Ocean County and exempt the rest of the state.
Donít give him any ideas.

Offline etech0

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #33 on: October 20, 2020, 10:48:24 AM »
Donít give him any ideas.
He doesn't need our help
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Offline Afrages6

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #34 on: October 20, 2020, 11:50:46 AM »
Cuomo said he will ask NJ/CT to restrict non essential travel to NY

Offline Lurker

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #35 on: October 20, 2020, 11:52:48 AM »
None of this will matter in a few weeks. NY's cases will be high enough that they'll be focused on NY, not the other 49 states.
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Offline Afrages6

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #36 on: October 20, 2020, 12:21:47 PM »
None of this will matter in a few weeks. NY's cases will be high enough that they'll be focused on NY, not the other 49 states.
Eh, Cuomo will keep twisting the numbers to make them look good so he could stroke his ego and criticize other states and the president.

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #37 on: October 20, 2020, 12:24:06 PM »
Eh, Cuomo will keep twisting the numbers to make them look good so he could stroke his ego and criticize other states and the president.

In the lead-up to Xmas, when NY looks like FL in July/Aug, there will be nothing to twist. He'll be touting the hospitals and the great progress they've made since Wave 1. And he'll take the credit, per usual.
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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #38 on: October 20, 2020, 02:13:05 PM »
Just took a closer look at the numbers. The data dump is already outside of the 7 day window. As of today, the rolling 7 day average is currently at 2958.

3091 after today's numbers. The short of it is, do what you need to do. Don't wait for FL to be green listed, unless you're ok with waiting 6 months.
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Offline Afrages6

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Re: NY Quarantine State Metrics
« Reply #39 on: October 30, 2020, 04:11:50 PM »
New York is now on its own quarantine list.