Author Topic: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?  (Read 6320 times)

Online YitzyS

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #40 on: November 02, 2020, 07:47:00 PM »
Biden will win if both candidates haves the exact same discrepancy
But we like to cherry pick.

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #41 on: November 02, 2020, 08:15:45 PM »
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #42 on: November 02, 2020, 08:41:21 PM »
I think someone has to archive the entire DDF now because people may try deleting all that egg later this week.

Enough people have made enough ridiculous predictions based on biases in both directions that the egg will probably be on both sides no matter who wins.
Feelings don't care about your facts

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #43 on: November 02, 2020, 08:45:47 PM »
Enough people have made enough ridiculous predictions based on biases in both directions that the egg will probably be on both sides no matter who wins.
No crow for me!  :P
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #44 on: November 02, 2020, 11:15:57 PM »
https://twitter.com/ryan_mac_phd/status/1323433361629696000?s=21

Shows how confident Trump really is

Those interested in facts might like to know that neither the Trump campaign, nor the Republican Party were part of this effort.

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #45 on: November 02, 2020, 11:23:36 PM »
Those interested in facts might like to know that neither the Trump campaign, nor the Republican Party were part of this effort.
That's interesting and I did not realize that, however while it may or may not be true, it's not far off

https://www.fox4news.com/news/federal-judge-rejects-effort-to-invalidate-nearly-127000-votes-in-harris-county

Hanen said the opponents to drive-thru centers -- who were represented by former Harris County GOP Chairman Jared Woodfill
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #46 on: November 02, 2020, 11:27:23 PM »
That's interesting and I did not realize that, however while it may or may not be true, it's not far off

https://www.fox4news.com/news/federal-judge-rejects-effort-to-invalidate-nearly-127000-votes-in-harris-county

Hanen said the opponents to drive-thru centers -- who were represented by former Harris County GOP Chairman Jared Woodfill
You mean the lawyer who took on the case?

Either way, this seems like a local effort and may be more about local elections than national.
Feelings don't care about your facts

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #47 on: November 02, 2020, 11:31:01 PM »
There is an effort at every level by the R's to suppress votes.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #48 on: November 02, 2020, 11:31:49 PM »
nor the Republican Party were part of this effort.

The plaintiffs include

Wendell Champion - Republican house candidate

Steve Toth - Republican member of the Texas House.

I think there are other Republican candidates named but I don't have patience to look through it.

4:20-cv-03709 Hotze et al v. Hollins
Andrew S Hanen, presiding
Date filed: 10/28/2020
Date of last filing: 11/02/2020
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #49 on: November 02, 2020, 11:32:10 PM »
There is an effort at every level by the R's to suppress votes.
In TX?
Feelings don't care about your facts

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #50 on: November 02, 2020, 11:33:23 PM »
There is an effort at every level by the R's to suppress votes.
You would think that is universal knowledge by now...
In TX?
Umm, yeah.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #51 on: November 02, 2020, 11:34:40 PM »
You would think that is universal knowledge by now... Umm, yeah.
Where besides this case?
Feelings don't care about your facts

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #52 on: November 02, 2020, 11:36:20 PM »
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #53 on: November 02, 2020, 11:37:41 PM »
Either way, this seems like a local effort and may be more about local elections than national.
You're probably right, although there is no way to know who's paying
Where besides this case?
Abott's EO limiting one drop site per county that the courts went back and forth on

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/10/us/politics/texas-ballot-judge.html

״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #54 on: November 03, 2020, 08:19:02 AM »


You're probably right, although there is no way to know who's paying
Then it doesn't tell us anything about anyone's chances.
Feelings don't care about your facts

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Re: Election Polls: Which polls are accurate?
« Reply #55 on: November 03, 2020, 08:35:24 AM »
The plaintiffs include

Wendell Champion - Republican house candidate

Steve Toth - Republican member of the Texas House.

I think there are other Republican candidates named but I don't have patience to look through it.

4:20-cv-03709 Hotze et al v. Hollins
Andrew S Hanen, presiding
Date filed: 10/28/2020
Date of last filing: 11/02/2020

Right, so these candidates might think that they have a better chance if those votes don't count, but how does that say anything about
how confident Trump really is
?

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