Author Topic: Will the Rs hold the senate?  (Read 10730 times)

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #100 on: November 07, 2020, 08:07:34 PM »
So did Trump
...and he is the reason for both.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Online YitzyS

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #101 on: November 07, 2020, 08:09:00 PM »
I hope so. He needs to be irrelevant now.
I hope he becomes irrelevant by his own will, not by force. He deserves credit for what he's done, and he should not be disregarded just because he lost. He's done great things for this country, which should not be discounted. The divisiveness was not solely his doing.

Online YitzyS

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #102 on: November 07, 2020, 08:10:18 PM »
...and he is the reason for both.
I believe widespread mail-in voting was the reason for both. Had there been in-person voting only (and requested absentees), there would have been millions less votes, IMO, and Trump probably would've won (side point).

Offline yelped

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #103 on: November 07, 2020, 08:21:27 PM »
I hope he becomes irrelevant by his own will, not by force. He deserves credit for what he's done, and he should not be disregarded just because he lost. He's done great things for this country, which should not be discounted. The divisiveness was not solely his doing.
Agreed.

Online aygart

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #104 on: November 07, 2020, 09:20:22 PM »
Over 70% of Americans now support government healthcare for all. The Democrats should put that at the forefront of the GA run-offs
Do 70% of Georgians support it?
Feelings don't care about your facts

Online Yehuda57

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #105 on: November 07, 2020, 09:24:48 PM »
Over 70% of Americans now support government healthcare for all. The Democrats should put that at the forefront of the GA run-offs

Source?

Offline CountValentine

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Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #107 on: November 07, 2020, 10:05:35 PM »
Notice Biden's emphasis on healthcare in his speech. The democrats have more of a chance of winning this than we realize.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #108 on: November 07, 2020, 10:06:16 PM »
Do 70% of Georgians support it?
I don't know.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים


Online aygart

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #110 on: November 07, 2020, 11:26:55 PM »
I don't know.
That makes a bit of a difference in how successful it would be when campaigning in GA ya know.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #111 on: November 07, 2020, 11:32:18 PM »
That makes a bit of a difference in how successful it would be when campaigning in GA ya know.
If 70% of the country want something, it's safe to assume as a starting point that GA residents feel the same.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #112 on: November 07, 2020, 11:37:29 PM »
If 70% of the country want something, it's safe to assume as a starting point that GA residents feel the same.
Math is hard, huh? Why is there any reason to believe they are evenly distributed in all 50 states?
Feelings don't care about your facts

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #113 on: November 07, 2020, 11:41:39 PM »
Math is hard, huh? Why is there any reason to believe they are evenly distributed in all 50 states?
Nothing to do with math. If you know 70% of the country leans a certain way, you need a reason to assume Georgia is different the majority. Do you have any? The baseline should be they are similar.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #114 on: November 07, 2020, 11:49:09 PM »
Nothing to do with math. If you know 70% of the country leans a certain way, you need a reason to assume Georgia is different the majority. Do you have any? The baseline should be they are similar.
Because almost all issues are not evenly supported across the country.
Feelings don't care about your facts

Online Yehuda57

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #115 on: November 08, 2020, 12:08:26 AM »
If 70% of the country want something, it's safe to assume as a starting point that GA residents feel the same.

You keep repeating the 70% without providing a source. Unless you are using CV's above, which don't come from serious polling outfits.

Offline S209

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #116 on: November 08, 2020, 01:47:24 PM »
Nothing to do with math. If you know 70% of the country leans a certain way, you need a reason to assume Georgia is different the majority. Do you have any? The baseline should be they are similar.
I’m not sure if that would be the Bayesian baseline. More likely the baseline would be the % of support in R leaning states.
Quote from: YitzyS
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Offline skyguy918

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #117 on: November 08, 2020, 01:49:36 PM »

Online YitzyS

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #118 on: November 09, 2020, 06:23:26 PM »
Democrat Senator Joe Manchin just committed on Fox to vote against packing the court or abolishing the filibuster.

This is tremendous! That means it is impossible for them to do it (as everything seems right now).

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Will the Rs hold the senate?
« Reply #119 on: November 09, 2020, 06:26:20 PM »
Democrat Senator Joe Manchin just committed on Fox to vote against packing the court or abolishing the filibuster.

This is tremendous! That means it is impossible for them to do it (as everything seems right now).
This was never going to happen in the first place but it was a good scare tactic for the R's.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half