Poll

Who did you think would win the 2020 election, prior to Election Day?

Biden
Trump
Tied up in court/decided by Supreme Court
Electoral Tie

Author Topic: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?  (Read 3851 times)

Offline S209

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Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« on: November 07, 2020, 07:54:41 PM »
Vote now!


(This is a social experiment)
Quote from: YitzyS
Quotes in a signature is annoying, as it comes across as an independent post.

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2020, 07:55:47 PM »
Not understanding.
ETA: Got it.
I had no idea but went with the polls that were right again.
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline AsherO

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2020, 07:56:06 PM »
No option for I had no idea?

Especially with the troves of people voting, if felt like there were lots of unknowns.
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Offline Shmulie

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2020, 07:56:29 PM »
No option for I had no idea?

Especially with the troves of people voting, if felt like there were lots of unknowns.

+1

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2020, 07:58:36 PM »
(This is a social experiment)
You trying to figure out how many liars there are?  :)
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline S209

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2020, 08:13:54 PM »
No option for I had no idea?

Especially with the troves of people voting, if felt like there were lots of unknowns.
It’s just a post facto mirror of this thread, where I don’t believe anybody asked for that option.
Quote from: YitzyS
Quotes in a signature is annoying, as it comes across as an independent post.

Offline AsherO

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2020, 08:16:46 PM »
It’s just a post facto mirror of this thread, where I don’t believe anybody asked for that option.

I didn’t vote there or comment before 11/3
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Offline yuneeq

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2020, 08:18:00 PM »
I was leaning Biden maybe 55-60% chance
Visibly Jewish

Offline S209

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2020, 08:18:18 PM »
I didn’t vote there or comment before 11/3
Fair. So you’re not part of the social experiment ;)
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2020, 08:21:37 PM »
If the trend continues we have a bunch of liars!
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline S209

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2020, 08:22:18 PM »
If the trend continues we have a bunch of liars!
Shy Trump voters :)
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Quotes in a signature is annoying, as it comes across as an independent post.

Offline drosenberg88429

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2020, 08:24:24 PM »
Election was a lot closer than I thought it would be, honestly.

Betting money is usually pretty accurate. Their 30% Trump odds were a lot more generous than the polls, and turned out to be pretty accurate.

Arizona remains the worst call of the year.

Offline S209

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2020, 08:47:39 PM »
Poll results are absolutely fascinating, although the sample size is still small. Only one out of eleven so far says they thought Trump would win. But more than 50% answered the original poll saying they think Trump will win..
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2020, 08:48:26 PM »
Poll results are absolutely fascinating
...but not unexpected?
Only on DDF does 24/6 mean 24/5/half/half

Offline S209

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2020, 08:49:33 PM »
...but not unexpected?
No, I suspected this would be the case, which is why I started the poll.
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Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2020, 08:51:28 PM »
No, I suspected this would be the case, which is why I started the poll.
Then you need to post your conclusion of this social experiment when it is over.  ;)
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Offline zh cohen

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2020, 08:59:33 PM »
It’s just a post facto mirror of this thread, where I don’t believe anybody asked for that option.

Any reason there isn't a poll option for "I don't know"?

Offline S209

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2020, 09:29:33 PM »

I stand corrected. Still doesn’t explain the current poll results.
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Offline S209

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2020, 09:30:15 PM »
I didn’t vote there or comment before 11/3
The answer: All uncertainties (and predictions) are precisely that, uncertain, but one should be able to assign probabilities to the various outcomes and select the one that they believe has the highest likelihood of becoming true. That is after all how we make all decisions in life.
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Offline zh cohen

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Re: Who did YOU think would win the 2020 election?
« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2020, 09:38:35 PM »
I stand corrected. Still doesn’t explain the current poll results.

Right, but selection bias does.