Poll

There are two races.

Jon Ossoff (D) (Running v David Perdue (R))
1 (4.3%)
David Perdue (R) (Running v Jon Ossoff (D))
11 (47.8%)
Raphael Warnock (D) (Running v Kelly Loefler (R))
1 (4.3%)
Kelly Loefler (R) (Running v Raphael Warnock (D))
10 (43.5%)

Total Members Voted: 12

Author Topic: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?  (Read 739 times)

Online PlatinumGuy

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Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« on: November 21, 2020, 11:00:35 PM »
Up until last week I thought Loefler had 80% odds, and Perdue 60%. Warnock only got 30% of the vote with 70% going to the Libertarian party and GOP, but  he's polling evenly to Loefler now. Ossoffe is a strong and articulate candidate, in what was considered a Red state but Atlanta is the fastest growing metro in the country and that's changing. I would think more people care more about a Republican Senate now that the President & Congress are Democrat, but they also may less enthusiastic about participating and voting.

I know think the Dems will take both seats. Trump is digging in deeper and deeper, and the Republican voters are going to be split between Trumpsters and the Anti-Trump Republican establishment, which includes 5 senators, and the GA Governor and SoS who are getting brutally attacked by Trump.

It is yet to be seen which side Loeffler & Perude are going to stick with, but either way they are going to lose turnout with the other group. Thus far Trump isn't providing any help with rallies. The Trumpsters who are buying the stolen elections story, are also less likely to bother voting if it's rigged anyways. Incensed Democrats are going to turn out in record numbers.
Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect - Mark Twain

Offline davidrotts63

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2020, 11:03:07 PM »
If the Ds play their cards right, they can easy take both IMO.
(Quit) pulling out the flowers, and watering the weeds. -Peter Lynch

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #2 on: November 21, 2020, 11:04:21 PM »
Also, I should add Democrats are focusing heavily on healthcare, which is a winning card. If the election is about healthcare they will win by a landslide
Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect - Mark Twain

Offline justaregularguy

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #3 on: November 21, 2020, 11:51:05 PM »
republicans only need 1 win to hold senate
nothings impossible- the word itself says Im possible

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #4 on: November 21, 2020, 11:56:27 PM »
republicans only need 1 win to hold senate
Yes except Susan Collins isn't really all that much of a Republican. She's from Maine. The Democrats aren't homogenous either though.
Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect - Mark Twain

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #5 on: November 23, 2020, 06:54:16 PM »
?s=21
Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect - Mark Twain

Offline aygart

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #6 on: November 23, 2020, 07:00:19 PM »
From Trump's attorney. Lol at how he tagged a parody account for Loeffler.

Feelings don't care about your facts

Online PlatinumGuy

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #7 on: November 23, 2020, 07:05:30 PM »
From Trump's attorney.
He's a pro Trump attorney but I don't think there's any affiliation. IIRC he was behind the lawsuit that claimed more people voted in Michigan than live in Minnesota.

But yeah, divide and conquer. If this rhetoric picks up steam the Dems will win
Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect - Mark Twain

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #8 on: November 23, 2020, 07:28:59 PM »
I think the odds are almost overwhelming that both seats will go to the same party. Almost nobody is coming out to split their vote. It's a matter of turnout. If the Dems get the turnout (or the fraud), they win both. If the Rs get the turnout (or the fraud), they win both.

The Rs are favored to keep both, but as I've said before, 2020 has taught me to never make any predictions with too much conviction.
'When red-headed people are above a certain social grade their hair is auburn.' -Mark Twain

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #9 on: November 23, 2020, 08:18:52 PM »
Invalid Tweet ID?s=21

Biden won GA by 12,000. Every vote counts
Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect - Mark Twain

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #10 on: November 23, 2020, 08:20:33 PM »
I think the odds are almost overwhelming that both seats will go to the same party. Almost nobody is coming out to split their vote. It's a matter of turnout. If the Dems get the turnout (or the fraud), they win both. If the Rs get the turnout (or the fraud), they win both.

The Rs are favored to keep both, but as I've said before, 2020 has taught me to never make any predictions with too much conviction.
Just put your money on who the polls say will win. You will be just fine.
You're so far up Trump's a** you can see Giuliani's feet.  HT Baruch

Offline davidrotts63

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #11 on: November 23, 2020, 08:27:53 PM »
Just put your money on who the polls say will win. You will be just fine.
Haha.
(Quit) pulling out the flowers, and watering the weeds. -Peter Lynch

Offline CountValentine

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #12 on: November 23, 2020, 08:29:32 PM »
Haha.
Laugh all you want but facts are facts. The polls got it right again!!!
You're so far up Trump's a** you can see Giuliani's feet.  HT Baruch

Online YitzyS

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #13 on: November 23, 2020, 08:30:26 PM »
Just put your money on who the polls say will win. You will be just fine.
I find it more entertaining to put my money into a blender with water and watch it get shredded up into tiny strands.
'When red-headed people are above a certain social grade their hair is auburn.' -Mark Twain

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Re: Who do you think will win the GA runoff (and US Senate)?
« Reply #14 on: November 23, 2020, 08:31:44 PM »
Laugh all you want but facts are facts. The polls got it right again!!!
Presidential polls got the right winner, though their numbers were extremely skewed in many states. Polls for senate and the house couldn't have been more wrong.

Those who bet on the president based on polls got money. Those who bet on senate and house lost it all.
'When red-headed people are above a certain social grade their hair is auburn.' -Mark Twain