Will you get the COVID vaccine?

[YitzyS]

I am not a fan of most of the polls about willingness to take a vaccine, as I explain in a comment I wrote on the Lakewood Scoop. I therefore created a new poll that has options that can show with greater accuracy real indications of vaccine confidence.

I believe the first three options are much bigger indicators of a level of confidence. Polls that mix in those who already got covid who assume themselves to be immune automatically skew confidence levels downwards.

If you already got the vaccine, check the "plan to get it as soon as it's available" box in your category, as it's an indication that you have confidence in the vaccine.

[Euclid]

You need to add a "I don't know; ask me again in 4 months when it will be available for me" option. Because that's where I'm leaning.

[drosenberg88429]

You have to add in age group and risk bracket. There are so many factors that one would have to take a huge survey to be able to extrapolate numbers for the general population.

The actual scientifically proven efficacy is also a very relevant number, on which I believe there's currently not great data. (I don't think enough people in control placebo group got infected to have comparative exact inoculation effectiveness ascertained.) Once that number is more accurately pinpointed, people can start doing the math if they have to be concerned for protecting those in the higher risk bracket, or if they can assume that they've been effectively protected by the vaccine.

The length of implied immunity due to previous infection is also an unknown, as is long term covid effects.


There's a lot of moving parts, and a long way to go on this.

[Der Deutsche Jude]

You have to add in age group and risk bracket. There are so many factors that one would have to take a huge survey to be able to extrapolate numbers for the general population.

The actual scientifically proven efficacy is also a very relevant number, on which I believe there's currently not great data. (I don't think enough people in control placebo group got infected to have comparative exact inoculation effectiveness ascertained.) Once that number is more accurately pinpointed, people can start doing the math if they have to be concerned for protecting those in the higher risk bracket, or if they can assume that they've been effectively protected by the vaccine.

The length of implied immunity due to previous infection is also an unknown, as is long term covid effects.


There's a lot of moving parts, and a long way to go on this.

Are you suggesting this for a DDF poll? First of all it’s a poor sample. Secondly, there won’t be enough responses to draw any conclusion even within the DDF demographic. Thirdly, the DDF poll features are quite basic and not capable of anything slightly advanced.

[avromie7]

You have to add in age group and risk bracket. There are so many factors that one would have to take a huge survey to be able to extrapolate numbers for the general population.

The actual scientifically proven efficacy is also a very relevant number, on which I believe there's currently not great data. (I don't think enough people in control placebo group got infected to have comparative exact inoculation effectiveness ascertained.) Once that number is more accurately pinpointed, people can start doing the math if they have to be concerned for protecting those in the higher risk bracket, or if they can assume that they've been effectively protected by the vaccine.

The length of implied immunity due to previous infection is also an unknown, as is long term covid effects.


There's a lot of moving parts, and a long way to go on this.

While the efficacy numbers aren't 100% exact, they're close enough. I don't think it will change many minds if the efficacy is 94% or 96% instead of 95%.

[YitzyS]

You have to add in age group and risk bracket. There are so many factors that one would have to take a huge survey to be able to extrapolate numbers for the general population.

The actual scientifically proven efficacy is also a very relevant number, on which I believe there's currently not great data. (I don't think enough people in control placebo group got infected to have comparative exact inoculation effectiveness ascertained.) Once that number is more accurately pinpointed, people can start doing the math if they have to be concerned for protecting those in the higher risk bracket, or if they can assume that they've been effectively protected by the vaccine.

The length of implied immunity due to previous infection is also an unknown, as is long term covid effects.


There's a lot of moving parts, and a long way to go on this.

I seriously considered including risk factors, but I was afraid of the poll ending up like this one. However, the poll so far, with 12 respondents, seems to indicate that my hunch was right, and that those who never got COVID are much more willing to take the vaccine, and that any poll without this distinction is probably skewed by responses by those who already got COVID.

[Der Deutsche Jude]

I seriously considered including risk factors, but I was afraid of the poll ending up like this one. However, the poll so far, with 12 respondents, seems to indicate that my hunch was right, and that those who never got COVID are much more willing to take the vaccine, and that any poll without this distinction is probably skewed by responses by those who already got COVID.

I'm sorry but a poll with a sample size of 16 is meaningless

[YitzyS]

I'm sorry but a poll with a sample size of 16 is meaningless unscientific

I'm not trying to make a scientific theory here. I'm trying to get a feeling of what people think, and that can be done with with a small sample size. Also, hopefully more people will respond.

[etech0]

The question is how many people didn't vote because there wasn't a good option for them

[Yehuda57]

The question is how many people didn't vote because there wasn't a good option for them

Geez, every thread becomes political

[YitzyS]

The question is how many people didn't vote because there wasn't a good option for them

Anyone is welcome to weigh in here, as a post. I've turned off my zapper for posts I don't like. Really, guys, you can say what's on your mind now.

[etech0]

No politics, but there weren't any options that left room for deciding in the future.
I "liked" this post since that was my answer:

You need to add a "I don't know; ask me again in 4 months when it will be available for me" option. Because that's where I'm leaning.

Though it might be more than 4 months, who knows!

[avromie7]

No politics, but there weren't any options that left room for deciding in the future.
I "liked" this post since that was my answer:Though it might be more than 4 months, who knows!

I think "I plan to wait" means I'm holding out, and if everything looks good at some point in the future I'll take it then. I think anyone who votes "I plan to wait" is leaving open the possibility that they won't feel comfortable with it in the future.

[S209]

Geez, every thread becomes political

*tears of laughter emoji* *tears of laughter emoji*

[etech0]

I think "I plan to wait" means I'm holding out, and if everything looks good at some point in the future I'll take it then. I think anyone who votes "I plan to wait" is leaving open the possibility that they won't feel comfortable with it in the future.

It says "I plan to wait before I get the vaccine", not "I plan to wait and see/decide".