Author Topic: UK COVID Mutation  (Read 20008 times)

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #60 on: December 29, 2020, 05:46:51 PM »
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline Ergel

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #61 on: December 30, 2020, 03:55:13 PM »
Quote from: https://www.theyeshivaworld.com/news/featured/1933701/important-alert-hatzolah-of-rockland-warns-community-about-new-surge-in-covid-cases.html
There is a new variant of the virus that has been seen in Eretz Yisroel and England that is affecting younger people as well and causing more serious symptoms.
Is this true?
Life isn't about checking the boxes. Nobody cares.

Offline Dan

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #62 on: December 30, 2020, 04:08:33 PM »
Save your time, I don't answer PM. Post it in the forum and a dedicated DDF'er will get back to you as soon as possible.

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #63 on: December 30, 2020, 04:12:05 PM »

Offline AsherO

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #64 on: December 30, 2020, 05:11:40 PM »
They're just quoting hatzolah
https://twitter.com/hasidic_1/status/1344386683488395265

Hatzalah of Rockland letter says they aren’t seeing UK variant, does that mean it’s been checked for?
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline Proisrael

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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #67 on: January 03, 2021, 02:07:06 AM »
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-55518248

So who is right?
I posted a tweet that includes actual numbers straight from the UK government. Your article includes anecdotes from a few hospital doctors, that can be explained with the simple fact even a 2x rise in Child covid hospitalizations that were very low in the first place wouldn’t really be noticeable in a hospital
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline zh cohen

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #68 on: January 03, 2021, 07:43:37 PM »
the simple fact even a 2x rise in Child covid hospitalizations that were very low in the first place wouldn’t really be noticeable in a hospital

If they were low enough, the 2x rise might not be very statistically significant either.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #69 on: January 03, 2021, 10:07:22 PM »
If they were low enough, the 2x rise might not be very statistically significant either.

UK Covid hospital admissions for 0-5, using a 7 day average, peaked at 12. It progressed gradually since October and is now over 20.

6-17 age group peaked at 12, progressed gradually since October and is now around 15.

The data set is huge and the numbers are most definitely significant.

https://twitter.com/Datagraver/status/1345858984750821381/photo/1


Israel currently has 50,799 known active Covid infections. 10,381 of them are school students. That's with many schools closed in 'red' areas.


״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #70 on: January 04, 2021, 11:32:23 AM »
https://www.kikar.co.il/382457.html

Quote
גורמי מקצוע במודיעין עילית, מאתרים בימים האחרונים מאות מקרים של פעוטות מהעיר שנדבקו בקורונה, במה שעשוי להיות תוצאה של התפשטות המוטציה הבריטית, שכבר נחשפה במקום.

Lot of Charedi kindergartens in Israel are seeing significant infection clusters.
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #71 on: January 04, 2021, 12:50:50 PM »
״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline PlatinumGuy

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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Offline PlatinumGuy

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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

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״וזה כלל גדול: שישנא אדם כל דבר שקר. וכל מה שיוסיף שנאה לדרכי השקר – יוסיף אהבה לתורה.״ - אורחות צדיקים

Online Euclid

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #75 on: January 22, 2021, 12:40:20 PM »

Online yuneeq

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #76 on: January 22, 2021, 01:46:55 PM »
https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1352671170198450177

IOW they're seeing a 30-40% increase in fatalities. Among 60 years that just means a death rate of 1.4% compared to 1%, which is not substantial. The question is if it applies to 80 year olds where a 40% death rate increase would mean a huge increase in deaths.
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Offline AsherO

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #77 on: January 22, 2021, 01:53:18 PM »
IOW they're seeing a 30-40% increase in fatalities. Among 60 years that just means a death rate of 1.4% compared to 1%, which is not substantial. The question is if it applies to 80 year olds where a 40% death rate increase would mean a huge increase in deaths.

40% increase coupled with increased transmission/spread is certainly significant.
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Offline AsherO

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #78 on: January 22, 2021, 01:55:11 PM »
https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1352671170198450177

How are they isolating the UK variant? Did they decode x amount of PCR positives in their 60s until they had 1000 of the UK variant, and then compared that to those that were decoded and found to not be UK variant?

ETA: What does “expected to die” mean? If they aren’t comparing actual deaths then how do they determine whether death is “expected”?

Is it possible that higher viral load for UK variant just means faster progression of the disease, and that’s what’s being observed here?
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Online Joel

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Re: UK COVID Mutation
« Reply #79 on: January 25, 2021, 04:51:53 PM »
Speaking at the daily Downing Street news briefing on Friday, he said: "I don't think this virus is going anywhere."
And the prime minister agreed, adding: "We will have to live with coronavirus in one way or another for a long time to come."

https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-virus-will-be-with-us-forever-but-controlled-admits-government-adviser-12195768