Author Topic: 2022 Races  (Read 573 times)

Offline PlatinumGuy

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2022 Races
« on: January 22, 2021, 01:30:23 PM »
Riskiest currently GOP seats up for reelection in 2022:

PA - Pat Toomey (retiring)
WI - Ron Johnson (may retire)
NC - Richard Burr (retiring, contenders incl Lara Trump)
IA - Chuck Grassley (will be 89 in '22)
FL - Marco Rubio
OH - Rob Portman

Riskiest currently DNC seats:

Georgia - Raphael Warnock
AZ - Mark Kelly
NH - Maggie Hassan
NV - Catherine Cortez-Masto
MD -  Chris Van Hollen (Popular R governor Larry Hogan may run)


Replicating the 2020 Presidential results would increase the Dem majority, but judging the likelihood of change by size of the 2016 margin of victory would hand the Senate back over to the Republicans.


https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/530880-seven-senate-races-to-watch-in-2022

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/23/republicans-2022-senate-map-438812

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Online AsherO

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Re: 2022 Races
« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2021, 02:02:17 PM »
What’s the point in discussing this now? Isn’t that like trying to predict the weather in 2022?

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2022 Races
« Reply #2 on: February 14, 2021, 03:38:55 PM »

Is he right that Lara Trump will definitely be the NC nominee? 

This is how the GOP self destructs. If Lara Trump primaries, there are enough very motivated Trumpster MAGAs that will likely guarantee her the nomination, but NC is a very tight state, it elected a Democrat governor with a 4% margin, Trump beat Biden by 1.3%, and Tillis beat Cunnigham by 1.8%.

If Lara Trump runs, it's likely that at the very least 5% of the GOP voters will be turned off enough to stay home, and then the Republicans can't win. There went the senate seat that swung the Senate to Republican control in 2014.
« Last Edit: February 14, 2021, 03:54:03 PM by PlatinumGuy »
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Offline Jellybelly

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Re: 2022 Races
« Reply #3 on: February 15, 2021, 03:48:04 PM »
People are saying Trump should run for a seat in the House.
That would definitely be interesting  To say the least

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Re: 2022 Races
« Reply #4 on: February 15, 2021, 03:58:05 PM »
People are saying Trump should run for a seat in the House.
That would definitely be interesting  To say the least
I think it'd be interesting if he became an astronaut and was the first man to Mars because he'd blend in nicely.

But so what?
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Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2022 Races
« Reply #5 on: February 15, 2021, 05:49:43 PM »

People are saying Trump should run for a seat in the House.
That would definitely be interesting  To say the least
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Offline joe1234

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Re: 2022 Races
« Reply #6 on: February 15, 2021, 05:57:25 PM »
People are saying Trump should run for a seat in the House, win it, and not take it...
That would definitely be interesting  To say the least
FTFY

Offline Jellybelly

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Re: 2022 Races
« Reply #7 on: February 15, 2021, 07:27:06 PM »
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I personally hope he doesn’t run in 2024 and backs someone else and goes all out with his rallies. I think it’s a big mistake of the part of the Republicans that are trying to push him out, they don’t understand why people voted for him and that 95% of them aren’t crazy.

As far as getting elected to the House, it wouldn’t be a step up, but it would give him a platform and let him be the center of attention. I’m sure he would turn it into a circus and they wouldn’t know what to do with him.

Offline PlatinumGuy

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Re: 2022 Races
« Reply #8 on: February 15, 2021, 07:51:08 PM »
they wouldn’t know what to do with him.
Fani Willis certainly has an idea...
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