Okay I looked at the map for the trains. 30 minutes.
No way I'll make the flight with baggage and security check and maybe covid check.
It is because of the reduced availability of transportation (buses, rental cars, train) that causes me to arrive so late in Newark.
And then add on fewer flights in case I miss this one and it's a perfect storm.
I used my points to buy a last minute flight. Safety comes first!