I had previously posted this on the psa thread where these things were discussed, but seems this is the new water cooler
https://www.theyeshivaworld.com/news/general/2199063/mailbag-ponzi-schemes-and-investors-in-our-community-a-warning-to-all-involved.html2) my two cents in the discussion above, as someone in the industry -
A. The law requires accredited investors for a reason. That is circumvented one way or another in many cases and shouldn't be.
B. Even the most honest syndicator will mess up a lot of people if they don't have proper precautions in place. Anyone who financed or refinanced with a floating IO loan in 2021 is having a major cash flow issue now in the best case scenario, or selling at a loss / foreclosure. I see those deals hitting the market every day. Forget paying returns.
C. Those who have lived through previous cycles were generally more cautious and survived BezH. At the ecore 2021 conference, (I didn't go but watched the headliners) this was the direct warning given by sternlicht and Slone and others.
D. The setups and projections in those years had the same problem, assumptions that 3% interest rates are here to stay, and instead of locking rates and paying down principal, they went for max cash flow and instant gratification.
That might have been. 04