Author Topic: Stocks  (Read 374729 times)

Online aygart

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3855 on: February 28, 2020, 09:11:36 AM »
זה וזה גורם.

After Trump's Corona news conference, some might think that there's a serious risk that a D could beat him, and when one sees what the Ds have to offer at the debate, it sure scares the markets. 
But what new information are you expecting to hear? What you know everyone else does too.

Online Zevwolf

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3856 on: February 28, 2020, 09:58:14 AM »
I looks like the SP going to break the 52 low less than two weeks after reaching record highs.

Offline yos9694

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3857 on: February 28, 2020, 09:59:33 AM »
I know it's not a stock, but oil prices are compelling. If coronavirus is truly going to be a long-term pandemic then travel will absolutely be crushed and with it oil demand. But prices are at $45/bb right now and they can't go any lower without bankrupting suppliers. So I see an announcement about supply cuts coming extremely soon.

Then before you can blink we'll be talking about Memorial Day driving season coming up. Should be very volatile. If you have experience with oil, this could be a lifetime sized opportunity.

Offline Kobe bryent

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3858 on: February 28, 2020, 10:07:38 AM »
This is closing in on 10x as many cases and double the deaths of SARS and MERS combined.
fatality for SARS was actually 5 times higher (9.6%) then COVID 19 is currently at the epicenter of this epidemic in Wuhan (2%) [by all available data].
regardless its semantics , human nature is the same , we have a fear of the unknown and then things turn around, its a natural ebb and flow of the market with this kind of thing, and in 10 years this wont matter to anyone who stayed in the market.
the only thing that can truly wreck the market long term, is a Sanders nomination and the markets tumble and then its essentially a self fulfilling prophecy and he gets elected. 

Online aygart

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3859 on: February 28, 2020, 10:11:23 AM »
fatality for SARS was actually 5 times higher (9.6%) then COVID 19 is currently at the epicenter of this epidemic in Wuhan (2%) [by all available data].
regardless its semantics , human nature is the same , we have a fear of the unknown and then things turn around, its a natural ebb and flow of the market with this kind of thing, and in 10 years this wont matter to anyone who stayed in the market.
the only thing that can truly wreck the market long term, is a Sanders nomination and the markets tumble and then its essentially a self fulfilling prophecy and he gets elected.
You are taking percent and I am talking numbers.

Offline Yammer

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3860 on: February 28, 2020, 10:39:09 AM »
https://www.google.com/amp/s/finance.yahoo.com/amphtml/news/corona-crisis-ripening-buys-233211747.html

Do you share this view?
When did we start believing the Chinese numbers?
If it keeps going down interest rates will be cut slowly again.
There have been other such risks and markets went down and the issues got sorted and then we were back on track.
The problem here isn't on the consumer end... It's on the massive disruptions on the production end.

Even if you spray the entire world tomorrow with an anti Coronovirus vaccine that will eliminate it 100% you still lost a few months before the full manufacturing gets back into shape.
fatality for SARS was actually 5 times higher (9.6%) then COVID 19 is currently at the epicenter of this epidemic in Wuhan (2%) [by all available data].
regardless its semantics , human nature is the same , we have a fear of the unknown and then things turn around, its a natural ebb and flow of the market with this kind of thing, and in 10 years this wont matter to anyone who stayed in the market.
the only thing that can truly wreck the market long term, is a Sanders nomination and the markets tumble and then its essentially a self fulfilling prophecy and he gets elected.
Do you believe the Chinese figures? According to this ( https://covid19info.live/ ) it's 3.5% and that's without accounting the ppl that got it again after recovering...

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3861 on: February 28, 2020, 12:07:08 PM »
This is starting to become reminiscent of 2008. GLD and SLV are down too now.

If remaining invested, it is probably prudent to put portfolio insurance in place (long put options).

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-28/gold-prices-plunge-by-the-most-intraday-since-june-2013?srnd=premium
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Online ExGingi

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I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
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Offline yuneeq

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3863 on: February 28, 2020, 12:20:40 PM »
fatality for SARS was actually 5 times higher (9.6%) then COVID 19 is currently at the epicenter of this epidemic in Wuhan (2%) [by all available data].

Hubei province (the epicenter where Wuhan is located) is at 4.1%, not sure where you're getting your numbers from.

I think it's also good to point out - the fact that COVID-19 isn't extremely fatal is the same reason it is infecting and killing much, much, more than SARS or Ebola.

Online ExGingi

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3864 on: March 01, 2020, 12:14:24 AM »
I've been waiting over 5 years with bated breath for someone to say that!
-- Dan

Offline @Yehuda

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3865 on: March 01, 2020, 07:22:24 AM »
Anyone getting involved with virus-related stocks (mask companies, vaccine/testing pharmaceuticals)? Been a crazy $ week, curious how itíll continue come Monday.

Offline justmeha

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instead of writing "+1" and clogging up the thread give a like!

Online ExGingi

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Online ExGingi

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Re: Stocks
« Reply #3868 on: March 01, 2020, 07:30:09 PM »
Trying to catch a falling knife?

If that's your conviction, why not liquidate and reenter at a lower price?

Have you lived through/experienced 2008/2009 or 1999/2000 drops?
Which means it needs to rise 13.25% just to break even.

https://on.mktw.net/3ckLltK
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Offline cgr

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